Firpo vs Alianza• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#11.8:1.22-0LiveToday0.8:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.60B36524.33PINMargin at best7.1%Books9Markets49Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 20:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	3.60	4.20	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.55	4.33	8.4%
Betano	1.78	3.50	4.20	8.6%
Betfair	1.70	3.60	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.72	3.42	4.26	10.9%
Bet365	1.70	3.60	4.10	11.0%
William Hill	1.75	3.25	4.20	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.42	4.15	12.2%
BetVictor	1.62	3.13	3.80	20.0%
Best of all books	1.78	3.60	4.33	7.1%
Average	1.72	3.45	4.16	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FirpoAlianza

Last 10#1Table position#71.94Points per game1.356Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3145Defence rating5564Form rating3675H2H rating2585Goals model1566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 02:40 UTC

Firpo

4W 5D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

1 Nov	H	FAS	1-1	D
29 Oct	A	Deportivo Saprissa	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Platense	1-1	D
22 Oct	H	Deportivo Saprissa	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Inca Aruba	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Municipal Limeño	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Alianza	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Fuerte San Francisco	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Águila	2-0	W
24 Sep	H	Cacahuatique	0-0	D

Alianza

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Atletico Balboa	0-1	L
28 Oct	H	CD Marathon	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Isidro Metapán	1-0	W
21 Oct	A	CD Marathon	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Cacahuatique	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Inter	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	FAS	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Firpo	2-2	D
1 Oct	H	Platense	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Inca Aruba	1-1	D

Head to head

6Firpo wins

18draws

30Alianza wins

54 meetings · goals 52:108 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Firpo

4 Oct 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza2-2Firpo
22 Mar 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo2-1Alianza
25 Jan 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza2-3Firpo
21 Dec 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo0-0Alianza
28 Sep 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo0-5Alianza
27 Jul 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza3-3Firpo
10 Apr 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo0-0Alianza
13 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza2-1Firpo
13 Oct 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo0-0Alianza
26 Sep 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza3-0Firpo

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 4 Nov 03:50 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Firpo sit 1st with 33 points from 17 games, while Alianza are 7th with 23 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	17	9	6	2	30:13	+17	33
2	FAS	18	9	5	4	29:19	+10	32
3	Isidro Metapán	18	9	4	5	24:19	+5	31
4	Águila	18	8	6	4	34:24	+10	30
5	Inter	18	6	9	3	24:16	+8	27
6	Platense	18	7	6	5	25:20	+5	27
7	Alianza	17	5	8	4	23:22	+1	23
8	Municipal Limeño	18	6	4	8	27:27	0	22
9	Atletico Balboa	18	4	5	9	17:28	-11	17
10	Cacahuatique	18	3	7	8	19:29	-10	16
11	Inca Aruba	18	4	4	10	13:32	-19	16
12	Fuerte San Francisco	18	2	6	10	17:33	-16	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.72X26%3.45222%4.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.72 +0.6%X3.48 → 3.45 -0.9%24.38 → 4.16 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.94	5.6%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
BetVictor	1.65	1.68	20.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.94	4.2%
Average	1.82	1.84	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Betano	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
BetVictor	1.62	1.73	19.5%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.74	1.89	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Firpo 45%Draw 45%Alianza 10%

The statistical model rates Firpo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.45 | 4.16, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Firpo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Firpo are 1st (33 pts, 30-13 goals), Alianza 7th (23 pts, 23-22).

Over their last five matches, Firpo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Alianza averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Firpo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.45	4.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.94	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	2.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.14	4.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.48	4.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	15.5	41.5
HT X	4.49	5.45	9.56
HT 2	21.5	15.6	7.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	9.35	2.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.15
1.5	1.25	3.24
2.5	1.82	1.84
3.5	2.93	1.30
4.5	5.33	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.16	4.60
1.75	1.30	3.05
2	1.38	2.55
2.25	1.58	2.07
2.75	1.99	1.64
3	2.33	1.45
3.25	2.71	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.85	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.94	1.32
-1.25	2.52	1.38
-1	2.22	1.50
-0.75	1.88	1.76
-0.5	1.73	1.94
-0.25	1.47	2.28

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.5	5.75	1.07
-2.25	5.00	1.13
-2	5.00	1.10
-1.75	3.40	1.28
0	1.29	3.16
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.10	5.20
+1	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.01
10	2.00	1.80

Latest Primera Division results

1 Nov	Firpo 1-1 FAS
1 Nov	Fuerte San Francisco 3-4 Águila
1 Nov	Atletico Balboa 1-0 Alianza
1 Nov	Isidro Metapán 1-1 Municipal Limeño
31 Oct	Cacahuatique 1-0 Inca Aruba
31 Oct	Inter 0-0 Platense