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Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#121.2:2.03-4FT01/112.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.181XBX3.70B36521.65WHMargin at best6.9%Books9Markets52Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet5.003.651.658.0%
Pinnacle5.013.681.638.5%
Betano4.853.651.658.6%
Betfair4.753.601.6210.6%
1xBet5.183.541.5810.8%
William Hill4.803.401.6510.9%
Bet3654.503.701.6011.7%
Marathonbet5.053.541.5612.2%
BetVictor4.203.201.5320.4%
Best of all books5.183.701.656.9%
Average4.823.551.6111.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fuerte San FranciscoÁguila
Last 10#12Table position#40.67Points per game1.674Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 52.82.0Goals against · last 51.030Attack rating7033Defence rating6724Form rating7615H2H rating8542Goals model5830Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 03:01 UTC

Fuerte San Francisco

1W 3D 6L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

1 NovHÁguila3-4L
25 OctHAtletico Balboa1-2L
18 OctAIsidro Metapán2-3L
10 OctHCacahuatique2-1W
4 OctAInter1-1D
1 OctHFirpo0-3L
27 SepAPlatense0-0D
24 SepAAlianza2-2D
19 SepAInca Aruba1-2L
13 SepHMunicipal Limeño0-2L

Águila

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

24 OctHFAS3-1W
18 OctAAtletico Balboa2-2D
11 OctHIsidro Metapán3-0W
3 OctHCacahuatique4-1W
30 SepHInter2-1W
27 SepAFirpo0-2L
20 SepAPlatense1-0W
12 SepHInca Aruba3-1W
10 SepAMunicipal Limeño0-0D
6 SepHAlianza2-2D

Head to head

0Fuerte San Francisco wins
6draws
8Águila wins

14 meetings · goals 11:24 · last 10: 0W 4D 6L for Fuerte San Francisco

30 Aug 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionÁguila4-1Fuerte San Francisco
1 Apr 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionÁguila1-1Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb 2026Copa PresidenteCopa PresidenteFuerte San Francisco0-1Águila
4 Feb 2026Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco2-3Águila
29 Oct 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionÁguila3-3Fuerte San Francisco
10 Aug 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco0-0Águila
17 Apr 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionÁguila3-0Fuerte San Francisco
23 Feb 2025Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco1-1Águila
7 Nov 2024Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionFuerte San Francisco1-2Águila
31 Jul 2024Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionÁguila1-0Fuerte San Francisco

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 4 Nov 03:50 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th with 12 points from 18 games, while Águila are 4th with 30 points from 18.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Firpo1796230:13+1733
2FAS1895429:19+1032
3Isidro Metapán1894524:19+531
4Águila1886434:24+1030
5Inter1869324:16+827
6Platense1876525:20+527
7Alianza1758423:22+123
8Municipal Limeño1864827:27022
9Atletico Balboa1845917:28-1117
10Cacahuatique1837819:29-1016
11Inca Aruba18441013:32-1916
12Fuerte San Francisco18261017:33-1612

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.82X25%3.55256%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 09:001 Nov 13:001 4.80X 3.542 1.61
14.69 → 4.80 +2.3%X3.54 → 3.54 0.0%21.65 → 1.61 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.931.865.6%
Betano1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.871.809.0%
Marathonbet1.871.809.0%
BetVictor1.691.6420.1%
Best of all books1.951.865.0%
Average1.861.809.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.851.829.0%
1xBet1.861.819.0%
Marathonbet1.861.789.9%
BetVictor1.701.6519.4%
Best of all books1.861.857.8%
Average1.821.7810.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fuerte San Francisco 10%Draw 45%Águila 45%

The statistical model rated Fuerte San Francisco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Águila at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.82 | 3.55 | 1.61, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (12 pts, 17-33 goals), Águila 4th (30 pts, 34-24).

Over their last five matches, Fuerte San Francisco averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Águila averaged 2.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Águila.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.823.551.61

Double chance

1XX212
2.121.131.20

Draw no bet

12
3.471.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.821.78

1st half

1X2
5.142.142.15

2nd half

1X2
4.852.501.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.3817.822.3
HT X10.45.474.33
HT 247.017.02.48

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.919.201.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.037.03
1.51.253.10
2.51.861.80
3.52.981.27
4.55.131.08
5.513.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.70
1.251.184.30
1.751.332.92
21.412.45
2.251.632.00
2.752.061.59
32.441.41
3.252.861.34
3.753.881.18
45.301.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.581.39
+0.52.141.59
+0.751.901.74
+11.652.03
+1.251.492.30
+1.51.412.63
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-19.601.01
-0.756.001.12
-0.54.501.19
-0.254.281.17
03.741.22
+1.751.293.17
+21.174.30
+2.251.174.60
+2.51.135.07
+2.751.126.25
+31.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.672.10
91.951.85
9.51.911.81

Latest Primera Division results

1 NovFirpo 1-1 FAS
1 NovAtletico Balboa 1-0 Alianza
1 NovIsidro Metapán 1-1 Municipal Limeño
31 OctCacahuatique 1-0 Inca Aruba
31 OctInter 0-0 Platense
25 OctFuerte San Francisco 1-2 Atletico Balboa