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Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#191.8:2.815:00Tomorrow0.8:2.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BTNX3.80BTN23.25BFRMargin at best8.4%Books3Markets46Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.913.703.1810.8%
Bet3651.913.703.1011.6%
Marathonbet1.893.703.1012.2%
Best of all books1.913.703.1810.8%
Average1.903.703.1311.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Leek TownIlkeston Town
Last 10#19Table position#200.88Points per game0.816Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.82.8Goals against · last 52.069Attack rating3142Defence rating5840Form rating6050H2H rating5075Goals model2555Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 06:01 UTC

Leek Town

4W 2D 4L · goals 21:21 · per match 2.1 for, 2.1 against

3 NovAGuiseley AFC1-4L
31 OctACurzon Ashton1-2L
27 OctABury3-5L
24 OctHBootle4-1W
17 OctALancaster City2-1W
10 OctHAshton United2-2D
6 OctHRylands3-3D
26 SepAWorcester City2-0W
22 SepHHyde United2-1W
19 SepABromsgrove Sporting1-2L

Ilkeston Town

2W 0D 8L · goals 8:22 · per match 0.8 for, 2.2 against

31 OctHHyde United1-0W
17 OctHAvro2-0W
13 OctAGainsborough Trinity1-3L
10 OctHRedcar Athletic0-5L
6 OctHGuiseley AFC0-2L
3 OctALancaster City1-2L
29 SepHRylands0-1L
26 SepHAnstey Nomads1-3L
12 SepAWorkington1-3L
5 SepALeamington1-3L

Head to head

4Leek Town wins
0draws
3Ilkeston Town wins

7 meetings · goals 12:11 · last 7: 4W 0D 3L for Leek Town

31 Jan 2026Non League Premier - NorthernNon League Premier - NorthernIlkeston Town1-3Leek Town
20 Sep 2025Non League Premier - NorthernNon League Premier - NorthernLeek Town1-2Ilkeston Town
4 Jan 2025Non League Premier - NorthernNon League Premier - NorthernIlkeston Town0-2Leek Town
21 Sep 2024Non League Premier - NorthernNon League Premier - NorthernLeek Town1-3Ilkeston Town
3 Nov 2020Non League Div One - Northern MidlandsNon League Div One - Northern MidlandsIlkeston Town2-3Leek Town
22 Feb 2020Non League Div One - Northern MidlandsNon League Div One - Northern MidlandsIlkeston Town2-0Leek Town
10 Sep 2019Non League Div One - Northern MidlandsNon League Div One - Northern MidlandsLeek Town2-1Ilkeston Town

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Leek Town sit 19th with 14 points from 16 games, while Ilkeston Town are 20th with 13 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Redcar Athletic16105135:15+2035
2Cleethorpes Town15103232:9+2333
3Guiseley AFC15102333:15+1832
4Curzon Ashton16101530:18+1231
5Gainsborough Trinity1692532:21+1129
6Avro1692539:30+929
7Workington1683528:26+227
8Rylands1582527:22+526
9Warrington Town1675428:24+426
10Bury1472530:18+1223
11Alfreton Town1672723:18+523
12Lancaster City1763820:29-921
13AFC Emley1755719:28-920
14Whitby Town1661922:42-2019
15Quorn1546527:32-518
16Stockton Town1643923:28-515
17Hyde United1643915:30-1515
18Ashton United1635818:21-314
19Leek Town1635831:37-614
20Ilkeston Town16411111:34-2313
21United of Manchester1626820:27-712
22Bamber Bridge1625918:37-1911

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.91X24%3.70229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.532.299.0%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.542.318.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.482.419.1%
Marathonbet1.482.369.9%
Best of all books1.482.419.1%
Average1.482.389.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leek Town 45%Draw 45%Ilkeston Town 10%

The statistical model rates Leek Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ilkeston Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.16, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Leek Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Leek Town are 19th (14 pts, 31-37 goals), Ilkeston Town 20th (13 pts, 11-34).

Over their last five matches, Leek Town averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Ilkeston Town averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Leek Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.903.703.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.691.18

Draw no bet

12
1.502.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.482.38

1st half

1X2
2.412.373.58

2nd half

1X2
2.262.663.35

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8314.030.0
HT X5.356.407.90
HT 223.014.25.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6617.02.18

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.9
1.51.124.70
2.51.542.31
3.52.351.47
4.54.201.15
5.58.201.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.046.75
1.751.154.26
21.193.76
2.251.362.75
2.751.652.04
31.841.78
3.252.111.60
3.752.751.36
43.501.22
4.253.861.18
4.755.301.09
57.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.701.36
-0.752.171.56
-0.51.981.82
-0.251.701.96
01.482.39
+0.251.372.71
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.201.03
-26.401.05
-1.754.401.14
-1.53.421.23
-1.253.081.28
+0.751.183.87
+11.085.70
+1.251.066.21
+1.51.056.70
+1.751.018.82

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

6 NovQuorn – Alfreton Town
7 NovAvro – Warrington Town
7 NovHyde United – Redcar Athletic
7 NovLancaster City – Cleethorpes Town
7 NovStockton Town – Curzon Ashton
7 NovRylands – Gainsborough Trinity

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

3 NovCurzon Ashton 1-0 United of Manchester
3 NovAshton United 0-1 Warrington Town
3 NovAFC Emley 2-0 Bamber Bridge
3 NovBury 2-2 Avro
3 NovGuiseley AFC 4-1 Leek Town
27 OctGainsborough Trinity 0-3 Curzon Ashton