Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#31.4:0.819:45Today2.2:2.6#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50B365X4.68PIN26.00BFRMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets69Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.47	4.50	5.60	8.1%
Betano	1.50	4.40	5.20	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.43	4.68	5.37	9.9%
Betfair	1.40	4.40	6.00	10.8%
1xBet	1.42	4.35	5.71	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	4.10	4.75	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.35	5.45	12.3%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	5.00	13.3%
BetVictor	1.36	3.75	5.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.50	4.68	6.00	4.7%
Average	1.44	4.30	5.34	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guiseley AFCLeek Town

Last 10#3Table position#192.07Points per game0.9313Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 52.639Attack rating6176Defence rating2467Form rating3350H2H rating5066Goals model3456Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 02:30 UTC

Guiseley AFC

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:8 · per match 2.2 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Rylands	3-1	W
20 Oct	H	Cleethorpes Town	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Leiston	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Avro	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Ilkeston Town	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1-0	W
29 Sep	A	Alfreton Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Bamber Bridge	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Hebburn Town	4-1	W

Leek Town

4W 2D 4L · goals 22:20 · per match 2.2 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	A	Curzon Ashton	1-2	L
27 Oct	A	Bury	3-5	L
24 Oct	H	Bootle	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Lancaster City	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Ashton United	2-2	D
6 Oct	H	Rylands	3-3	D
26 Sep	A	Worcester City	2-0	W
22 Sep	H	Hyde United	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Bromsgrove Sporting	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Redcar Athletic	2-3	L

Head to head

1Guiseley AFC wins

2draws

1Leek Town wins

4 meetings · goals 4:7 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Guiseley AFC

6 Dec 2025Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Guiseley AFC1-0Leek Town
6 Sep 2025Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Leek Town4-0Guiseley AFC
22 Feb 2025Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Leek Town2-2Guiseley AFC
10 Dec 2024Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Guiseley AFC1-1Leek Town

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 3 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Guiseley AFC sit 3rd with 29 points from 14 games, while Leek Town are 19th with 14 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35:15	+20	35
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32:9	+23	33
3	Guiseley AFC	14	9	2	3	29:14	+15	29
4	Gainsborough Trinity	16	9	2	5	32:21	+11	29
5	Curzon Ashton	15	9	1	5	29:18	+11	28
6	Avro	15	9	1	5	37:28	+9	28
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28:26	+2	27
8	Rylands	15	8	2	5	27:22	+5	26
9	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23:18	+5	23
10	Warrington Town	15	6	5	4	27:24	+3	23
11	Bury	13	7	1	5	28:16	+12	22
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20:29	-9	21
13	Whitby Town	16	6	1	9	22:42	-20	19
14	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27:32	-5	18
15	AFC Emley	16	4	5	7	17:28	-11	17
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23:28	-5	15
17	Hyde United	16	4	3	9	15:30	-15	15
18	Ashton United	15	3	5	7	18:20	-2	14
19	Leek Town	15	3	5	7	30:33	-3	14
20	Ilkeston Town	16	4	1	11	11:34	-23	13
21	United of Manchester	15	2	6	7	20:26	-6	12
22	Bamber Bridge	15	2	5	8	18:35	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.44X21%4.30217%5.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.53 → 1.44 -5.9%X4.08 → 4.30 +5.4%24.74 → 5.34 +12.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.41	8.2%
Betano	1.53	2.27	9.4%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
BetVictor	1.43	2.00	19.9%
Best of all books	1.57	2.41	5.2%
Average	1.50	2.27	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.61	2.03	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guiseley AFC 45%Draw 45%Leek Town 10%

The statistical model rates Guiseley AFC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leek Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.34, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Guiseley AFC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Guiseley AFC are 3rd (29 pts, 29-14 goals), Leek Town 19th (14 pts, 30-33).

Over their last five matches, Guiseley AFC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Leek Town averaged 2.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Guiseley AFC or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.30	5.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.48	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	3.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.45	5.23

2nd half

1	X	2
1.75	2.84	5.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.11	16.5	42.8
HT X	4.39	7.23	12.2
HT 2	19.6	16.8	8.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	16.8	2.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	15.0
1.5	1.13	4.22
2.5	1.50	2.27
3.5	2.24	1.51
4.5	3.68	1.17
5.5	6.23	1.04

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.25	1.05	6.45
1.75	1.15	4.25
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.34	2.68
2.75	1.60	2.04
3	1.80	1.81
3.25	2.00	1.62
3.75	2.56	1.37
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.59	1.21
4.75	4.90	1.11
5	6.70	1.05
5.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.48	1.39
-1.5	2.13	1.54
-1.25	1.91	1.69
-1	1.71	1.95
-0.75	1.50	2.21
-0.5	1.41	2.67

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.02
-3	7.00	1.04
-2.75	4.95	1.11
-2.5	3.92	1.18
-2.25	3.58	1.21
-2	3.22	1.27
-0.25	1.31	3.00
0	1.14	4.33
+0.25	1.12	4.80
+0.75	1.04	7.00
+1	1.01	9.60
+1.5	1.02	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.46
7.5	1.32	2.92
8.5	1.62	2.15
9.5	2.01	1.73
10.5	2.62	1.40
11.5	3.65	1.20
12.5	5.44	1.07

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.27
7	1.16	4.01
8	1.41	2.60
9	1.80	1.96
10	2.35	1.51
11	3.31	1.25
12	5.04	1.09

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

3 Nov	AFC Emley – Bamber Bridge
3 Nov	Ashton United – Warrington Town
3 Nov	Curzon Ashton – United of Manchester
3 Nov	Bury – Avro

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

27 Oct	Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Curzon Ashton
27 Oct	United of Manchester 1-1 Quorn
27 Oct	Bury 5-3 Leek Town
24 Oct	United of Manchester 4-2 Whitby Town
24 Oct	Warrington Town 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity
24 Oct	AFC Emley 1-0 Lancaster City