Curzon Ashton vs United of Manchester• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#51.6:1.419:45Today · Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne1.6:1.2#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80DAFX3.92PIN23.90BFRMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets69Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.80	3.80	3.85	7.8%
Betano	1.78	3.90	3.70	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.92	3.64	9.8%
Betfair	1.73	3.75	3.90	10.1%
1xBet	1.72	3.72	3.87	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.80	3.60	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.72	3.78	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	3.70	12.7%
BetVictor	1.65	3.25	3.50	19.9%
Best of all books	1.80	3.92	3.90	6.7%
Average	1.74	3.71	3.73	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Curzon AshtonUnited of Manchester

Last 10#5Table position#211.87Points per game0.807Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5046Defence rating5456Form rating4450H2H rating5081Goals model1956Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 01:30 UTC

Curzon Ashton

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Leek Town	2-1	W
27 Oct	A	Gainsborough Trinity	3-0	W
24 Oct	A	Bridlington Town	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Whitby Town	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Rylands	1-5	L
10 Oct	H	Hyde United	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Redcar Athletic	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Stalybridge Celtic	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lancaster City	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1-2	L

United of Manchester

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Lancaster City	0-0	D
27 Oct	H	Quorn	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Whitby Town	4-2	W
20 Oct	H	Altrincham	2-6	L
17 Oct	A	Altrincham	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	AFC Emley	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Stockton Town	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Alfreton Town	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Worksop Town	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Hyde United	0-2	L

Head to head

1Curzon Ashton wins

0draws

1United of Manchester wins

2 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Curzon Ashton

17 Sep 2022FA Cup	FA Cup	United of Manchester2-3Curzon Ashton
3 Oct 2020FA Cup	FA Cup	Curzon Ashton1-2United of Manchester

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 3 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Curzon Ashton sit 5th with 28 points from 15 games, while United of Manchester are 21st with 12 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	16	10	5	1	35:15	+20	35
2	Cleethorpes Town	15	10	3	2	32:9	+23	33
3	Guiseley AFC	14	9	2	3	29:14	+15	29
4	Gainsborough Trinity	16	9	2	5	32:21	+11	29
5	Curzon Ashton	15	9	1	5	29:18	+11	28
6	Avro	15	9	1	5	37:28	+9	28
7	Workington	16	8	3	5	28:26	+2	27
8	Rylands	15	8	2	5	27:22	+5	26
9	Alfreton Town	16	7	2	7	23:18	+5	23
10	Warrington Town	15	6	5	4	27:24	+3	23
11	Bury	13	7	1	5	28:16	+12	22
12	Lancaster City	17	6	3	8	20:29	-9	21
13	Whitby Town	16	6	1	9	22:42	-20	19
14	Quorn	15	4	6	5	27:32	-5	18
15	AFC Emley	16	4	5	7	17:28	-11	17
16	Stockton Town	16	4	3	9	23:28	-5	15
17	Hyde United	16	4	3	9	15:30	-15	15
18	Ashton United	15	3	5	7	18:20	-2	14
19	Leek Town	15	3	5	7	30:33	-3	14
20	Ilkeston Town	16	4	1	11	11:34	-23	13
21	United of Manchester	15	2	6	7	20:26	-6	12
22	Bamber Bridge	15	2	5	8	18:35	-17	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X24%3.71224%3.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.74 +2.4%X3.84 → 3.71 -3.4%23.88 → 3.73 -3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.18	7.2%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
BetVictor	1.50	1.88	19.9%
Best of all books	1.63	2.35	3.9%
Average	1.57	2.16	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.24	7.1%
Average	1.55	2.14	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Curzon Ashton 45%Draw 45%United of Manchester 10%

The statistical model rates Curzon Ashton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and United of Manchester at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.71 | 3.73, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Curzon Ashton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Curzon Ashton are 5th (28 pts, 29-18 goals), United of Manchester 21st (12 pts, 20-26).

Over their last five matches, Curzon Ashton averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; United of Manchester averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Curzon Ashton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	3.71	3.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.93	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	2.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.29	4.03

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.64	3.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	14.7	33.5
HT X	4.83	6.35	9.03
HT 2	21.8	15.4	6.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	14.8	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.15	3.98
2.5	1.57	2.16
3.5	2.39	1.44
4.5	4.06	1.14
5.5	7.08	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.06	6.25
1.75	1.17	3.94
2	1.24	3.21
2.25	1.40	2.47
2.75	1.71	1.88
3	1.93	1.69
3.25	2.17	1.52
3.75	2.93	1.32
4	3.78	1.19
4.25	4.15	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.52	1.38
-1	2.24	1.50
-0.75	1.90	1.73
-0.5	1.69	1.92
-0.25	1.50	2.21
0	1.34	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.60	1.01
-3	8.80	1.02
-2.75	7.90	1.02
-2.5	5.95	1.07
-2.25	5.55	1.08
-2	5.10	1.10
-1.75	3.68	1.20
-1.5	2.91	1.33
+0.25	1.25	3.28
+0.75	1.11	4.90
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.17
7.5	1.18	3.78
8.5	1.40	2.62
9.5	1.73	2.01
10.5	2.14	1.62
11.5	2.79	1.35
12.5	3.88	1.17
13.5	5.77	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.65
8	1.23	3.40
9	1.51	2.34
10	1.93	1.82
11	2.51	1.44
12	3.54	1.21
13	5.37	1.07

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

3 Nov	AFC Emley – Bamber Bridge
3 Nov	Ashton United – Warrington Town
3 Nov	Guiseley AFC – Leek Town
3 Nov	Bury – Avro

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

27 Oct	Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Curzon Ashton
27 Oct	United of Manchester 1-1 Quorn
27 Oct	Bury 5-3 Leek Town
24 Oct	United of Manchester 4-2 Whitby Town
24 Oct	Warrington Town 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity
24 Oct	AFC Emley 1-0 Lancaster City