Gainsborough Trinity vs Curzon Ashton• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#43.4:1.019:45Today1.6:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22PINX3.60BFR23.60BFRMargin at best0.6%Books8Markets48Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.16	3.60	2.95	8.0%
Betano	2.22	3.55	2.77	9.3%
Betfair	1.85	3.60	3.60	9.6%
Pinnacle	2.22	3.51	2.71	10.4%
1xBet	2.13	3.46	2.85	10.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.50	2.80	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.46	2.78	12.3%
William Hill	2.20	3.25	2.75	12.6%
Best of all books	2.22	3.60	3.60	0.6%
Average	2.12	3.49	2.90	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gainsborough TrinityCurzon Ashton

Last 10#4Table position#92.00Points per game1.6915Form pts · last 573.4Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.468Attack rating3258Defence rating4263Form rating380H2H rating057Goals model4362Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 01:30 UTC

Gainsborough Trinity

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:14 · per match 2.6 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	A	Warrington Town	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Hyde United	4-0	W
13 Oct	H	Ilkeston Town	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	AFC Emley	2-1	W
6 Oct	A	Whitby Town	6-2	W
3 Oct	H	Anstey Nomads	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Bury	3-3	D
22 Sep	H	Leamington	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Leamington	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Avro	0-2	L

Curzon Ashton

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Bridlington Town	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Whitby Town	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Rylands	1-5	L
10 Oct	H	Hyde United	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Redcar Athletic	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Stalybridge Celtic	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lancaster City	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Ashton United	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cleethorpes Town	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Gainsborough Trinity and Curzon Ashton on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 26 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Gainsborough Trinity sit 4th with 28 points from 14 games, while Curzon Ashton are 9th with 22 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33:13	+20	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31:9	+22	30
3	Guiseley AFC	13	9	1	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Gainsborough Trinity	14	9	1	4	31:17	+14	28
5	Avro	14	9	1	4	37:27	+10	28
6	Workington	15	7	3	5	26:25	+1	24
7	Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	+4	23
8	Warrington Town	14	6	5	3	25:21	+4	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24:17	+7	22
10	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21:17	+4	20
11	Lancaster City	16	6	2	8	20:29	-9	20
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
13	Whitby Town	15	6	1	8	22:37	-15	19
14	AFC Emley	15	4	5	6	16:26	-10	17
15	Hyde United	15	4	3	8	15:29	-14	15
16	Leek Town	13	3	5	5	26:26	0	14
17	Ashton United	14	3	5	6	17:18	-1	14
18	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23:29	-6	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12
20	United of Manchester	13	2	4	7	19:25	-6	10
21	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17:34	-17	10
22	Ilkeston Town	15	3	1	11	10:34	-24	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.12X26%3.49231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 2.12 +12.8%X3.67 → 3.49 -4.9%23.31 → 2.90 -12.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.07	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.68	2.07	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.22	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.26	7.9%
Average	1.55	2.22	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gainsborough Trinity 45%Draw 45%Curzon Ashton 10%

The statistical model rates Gainsborough Trinity at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Curzon Ashton at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.49 | 2.90, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Gainsborough Trinity win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Gainsborough Trinity are 4th (28 pts, 31-17 goals), Curzon Ashton 9th (22 pts, 24-17).

Over their last five matches, Gainsborough Trinity averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Curzon Ashton averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gainsborough Trinity or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.12	3.49	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.65	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.63	2.27	3.37

2nd half

1	X	2
2.49	2.53	3.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.24	14.1	28.0
HT X	5.55	6.03	7.18
HT 2	23.5	14.1	4.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	13.5	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.0
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.68	2.07
3.5	2.61	1.40
4.5	4.58	1.14
5.5	8.27	1.06

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.28	3.13
2.25	1.47	2.41
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.08	1.64
3.25	2.37	1.49
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.41	1.14
4.75	6.00	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.44
-0.5	2.07	1.71
-0.25	1.90	1.81
0	1.64	2.10
+0.25	1.48	2.40
+0.5	1.41	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.5	8.40	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	5.15	1.10
-1.5	4.00	1.17
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.24	1.27
+0.75	1.25	3.35
+1	1.11	4.85
+1.25	1.09	5.31
+1.5	1.07	5.75
+1.75	1.03	7.60
+2	1.01	9.90

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

27 Oct	United of Manchester – Quorn
27 Oct	Bury – Leek Town

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

24 Oct	AFC Emley 1-0 Lancaster City
24 Oct	United of Manchester 4-2 Whitby Town
24 Oct	Warrington Town 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity
21 Oct	Avro 3-2 Ashton United
20 Oct	Guiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
17 Oct	Bamber Bridge 1-2 Workington