Hrvace vs Kustosija• First NL, Croatia

#161.2:1.01-2FT17/10 · Gradski stadion Hrvace, Hrvace0.4:0.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34PINX3.21PIN23.10B365Margin at best6.1%Books5Markets46Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.15	3.20	3.10	10.0%
Pinnacle	2.34	3.21	2.74	10.4%
1xBet	2.30	3.08	2.86	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.08	2.79	12.2%
William Hill	2.25	2.90	2.88	13.6%
Best of all books	2.34	3.21	3.10	6.1%
Average	2.26	3.09	2.87	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HrvaceKustosija

Last 10#16Table position#150.78Points per game1.117Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 50.675Attack rating2538Defence rating6358Form rating429H2H rating9154Goals model4644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 15:00 UTC

Hrvace

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Kustosija	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Vukovar	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Orijent 1919	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Dubrava Zagreb	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Karlovac 1919	1-3	L
2 Sep	A	Opatija	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Jadran LP	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Croatia Zmijavci	0-3	L
30 May	H	Dubrava Zagreb	1-2	L

Kustosija

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Hrvace	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Opatija	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Jadran LP	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Croatia Zmijavci	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	HNK Cibalia	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Dinamo Zagreb U21	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Segesta Sisak	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Mladost Ždralovi	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	HNK Zadar	3-1	W

Head to head

0Hrvace wins

1draws

3Kustosija wins

4 meetings · goals 5:11 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Hrvace

25 Apr 2025Second NL	Second NL	Kustosija4-2Hrvace
26 Oct 2024Second NL	Second NL	Hrvace1-1Kustosija
20 Apr 2024Second NL	Second NL	Hrvace1-3Kustosija
14 Oct 2023Second NL	Second NL	Kustosija3-1Hrvace

First NL table2 HNLupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the First NL table, Hrvace sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games, while Kustosija are 15th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Croatia Zmijavci	9	6	1	2	15:7	+8	19
2	Jadran LP	9	4	4	1	17:12	+5	16
3	Segesta Sisak	9	4	2	3	14:12	+2	14
4	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	9	4	2	3	10:9	+1	14
5	Karlovac 1919	9	4	2	3	12:12	0	14
6	Mladost Ždralovi	9	4	2	3	9:10	-1	14
7	HNK Cibalia	9	3	4	2	9:10	-1	13
8	Dinamo Zagreb U21	9	4	0	5	14:13	+1	12
9	Orijent 1919	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
10	Opatija	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
11	Dubrava Zagreb	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
12	Vukovar	9	3	2	4	14:17	-3	11
13	Sesvete	9	3	1	5	10:10	0	10
14	Dugopolje	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10
15	Kustosija	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
16	Hrvace	9	2	1	6	8:15	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X29%3.12232%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.47 → 2.26 -8.5%X3.07 → 3.09 +0.7%22.67 → 2.87 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.16	1.64	7.3%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.15	1.63	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.87	1.81	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hrvace 10%Draw 45%Kustosija 45%

The statistical model rated Hrvace at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kustosija at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.12 | 2.86, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Hrvace are 16th (7 pts, 8-15 goals), Kustosija 15th (10 pts, 6-7).

Over their last five matches, Hrvace averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kustosija averaged 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kustosija and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.26	3.09	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.52	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	1.99	3.60

2nd half

1	X	2
2.70	2.26	3.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.75	15.8	36.5
HT X	5.65	4.53	6.80
HT 2	29.0	16.8	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	8.25	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.00
1.5	1.36	2.82
2.5	2.15	1.63
3.5	3.95	1.19
4.5	7.70	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.43	2.50
2	1.59	2.16
2.25	1.86	1.82
2.75	2.47	1.44
3	3.15	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.68	1.12
4	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.71	1.39
-0.5	2.22	1.61
-0.25	1.96	1.76
0	1.67	2.11
+0.25	1.47	2.47
+0.5	1.38	2.90

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.03
-2	9.05	1.02
-1.75	5.33	1.13
-1.5	4.72	1.14
-1.25	4.23	1.18
-1	3.61	1.24
+0.75	1.24	3.58
+1	1.10	5.68
+1.25	1.10	5.93
+1.5	1.08	6.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.73	2.00
8	1.98	1.82

Next First NL matches

23 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb U21 – HNK Cibalia
23 Oct	Sesvete – Hrvace
23 Oct	Dubrava Zagreb – Kustosija
23 Oct	Mladost Ždralovi – Jadran LP
24 Oct	Vukovar – Bsk Bijelo Brdo
24 Oct	Segesta Sisak – Croatia Zmijavci

All First NL fixtures and the table

Latest First NL results

18 Oct	Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Mladost Ždralovi
17 Oct	HNK Cibalia 1-4 Segesta Sisak
17 Oct	Vukovar 3-2 Dubrava Zagreb
17 Oct	Bsk Bijelo Brdo 0-0 Orijent 1919
17 Oct	Jadran LP 4-4 Dugopolje
16 Oct	Opatija 1-0 Sesvete