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Jadran LP vs Dugopolje• First NL, Croatia

#21.2:0.84-4FT17/10 · NK Jadran, Luka Ploce0.8:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93PINX3.33PIN23.75BVCMargin at best8.5%Books6Markets49Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 05:35 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.903.403.758.7%
Pinnacle1.893.393.5610.5%
1xBet1.903.303.5810.9%
Bet3651.853.253.7011.9%
Marathonbet1.883.303.4812.2%
William Hill1.913.103.5013.2%
Best of all books1.913.403.758.4%
Average1.893.293.6011.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jadran LPDugopolje
Last 10#2Table position#141.78Points per game1.1110Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.260Attack rating4060Defence rating4071Form rating290H2H rating063Goals model3764Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:20 UTC

Jadran LP

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

9 OctASesvete1-1D
2 OctAZrinjski1-2L
26 SepHKustosija1-0W
19 SepAVukovar3-2W
12 SepHOrijent 19191-0W
6 SepABsk Bijelo Brdo0-1L
2 SepHDubrava Zagreb1-1D
29 AugAHrvace4-1W
22 AugHOpatija2-2D
30 MayHKriževci1-0W

Dugopolje

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHCroatia Zmijavci0-1L
27 SepAHNK Cibalia0-1L
19 SepHDinamo Zagreb U213-2W
12 SepASegesta Sisak1-2L
5 SepHMladost Ždralovi0-0D
2 SepHKarlovac 19192-2D
28 AugASesvete2-1W
22 AugHKustosija1-1D
30 MayAOrijent 19190-3L
23 MayHRudes0-3L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Jadran LP and Dugopolje on record.

First NL table2 HNLupdated 21 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the First NL table, Jadran LP sit 2nd with 16 points from 9 games, while Dugopolje are 14th with 10 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Croatia Zmijavci961215:7+819
2Jadran LP944117:12+516
3Segesta Sisak942314:12+214
4Bsk Bijelo Brdo942310:9+114
5Karlovac 1919942312:12014
6Mladost Ždralovi94239:10-114
7HNK Cibalia93429:10-113
8Dinamo Zagreb U21940514:13+112
9Orijent 191993338:9-112
10Opatija932410:11-111
11Dubrava Zagreb932410:11-111
12Vukovar932414:17-311
13Sesvete931510:10010
14Dugopolje924313:14-110
15Kustosija92436:7-110
16Hrvace92168:15-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X27%3.29225%3.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3016 Oct 14:301 1.89X 3.262 3.59
11.87 → 1.89 +1.1%X3.30 → 3.26 -1.2%23.77 → 3.59 -4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.961.806.6%
BetVictor1.911.778.9%
1xBet1.951.739.1%
Marathonbet1.951.739.1%
Best of all books1.961.855.1%
Average1.941.787.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.791.889.1%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Marathonbet1.791.859.9%
Best of all books1.831.936.5%
Average1.791.889.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jadran LP 50%Draw 50%Dugopolje 0%

The statistical model rated Jadran LP at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Dugopolje at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.29 | 3.60, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Jadran LP win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the First NL table: Jadran LP are 2nd (16 pts, 17-12 goals), Dugopolje 14th (10 pts, 13-14).

Over their last five matches, Jadran LP averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Dugopolje averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jadran LP or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.893.293.60

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.751.25

Draw no bet

12
1.402.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.88

1st half

1X2
2.512.084.26

2nd half

1X2
2.302.393.79

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.0015.840.0
HT X5.055.108.40
HT 225.016.86.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6510.12.39

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.77
1.51.293.21
2.51.941.78
3.53.441.25
4.56.931.07
5.512.51.02
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.90
1.251.154.30
1.751.372.74
21.472.41
2.251.711.98
2.752.201.57
32.701.38
3.253.071.29
3.754.301.14
46.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.751.38
-0.752.181.59
-0.51.891.85
-0.251.652.09
01.402.68
+0.251.313.12
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.301.02
-2.256.801.10
-26.931.06
-1.754.281.17
-1.53.541.24
-1.253.141.30
+0.51.273.55
+0.751.154.61
+11.037.40
+1.51.018.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.732.00
91.981.82

Next First NL matches

23 OctDubrava Zagreb – Kustosija
23 OctDinamo Zagreb U21 – HNK Cibalia
23 OctSesvete – Hrvace

All First NL fixtures and the table

Latest First NL results

18 OctCroatia Zmijavci 3-1 Mladost Ždralovi
17 OctHNK Cibalia 1-4 Segesta Sisak
17 OctHrvace 1-2 Kustosija
17 OctVukovar 3-2 Dubrava Zagreb
17 OctBsk Bijelo Brdo 0-0 Orijent 1919
16 OctOpatija 1-0 Sesvete