Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb• First NL, Croatia

#121.4:1.43-2FT17/10 · Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek0.8:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38DAFX3.25BFR22.85DAFMargin at best7.9%Books4Markets44Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.40	3.13	2.80	9.3%
Bet365	2.30	3.10	2.75	12.1%
1xBet	2.33	3.12	2.69	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.12	2.69	12.1%
Best of all books	2.40	3.13	2.80	9.3%
Average	2.34	3.12	2.73	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VukovarDubrava Zagreb

Last 10#12Table position#111.22Points per game1.226Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 50.864Attack rating3636Defence rating6450Form rating50100H2H rating044Goals model5653Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Vukovar

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Dubrava Zagreb	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Hrvace	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Dinamo Zagreb	0-4	L
27 Sep	A	Opatija	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Jadran LP	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Croatia Zmijavci	3-2	W
9 Sep	H	HNK Cibalia	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	HNK Cibalia	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Dinamo Zagreb U21	2-6	L
28 Aug	H	Segesta Sisak	2-0	W

Dubrava Zagreb

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Vukovar	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Orijent 1919	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Karlovac 1919	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Hrvace	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Opatija	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Jadran LP	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Croatia Zmijavci	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	HNK Cibalia	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Segesta Sisak	0-2	L

Head to head

6Vukovar wins

3draws

1Dubrava Zagreb wins

10 meetings · goals 14:8 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Vukovar

17 May 2025First NL	First NL	Vukovar2-1Dubrava Zagreb
25 Nov 2024First NL	First NL	Vukovar1-0Dubrava Zagreb
13 Sep 2024First NL	First NL	Dubrava Zagreb1-2Vukovar
11 May 2024First NL	First NL	Vukovar3-1Dubrava Zagreb
25 Feb 2024First NL	First NL	Dubrava Zagreb1-2Vukovar
30 Sep 2023First NL	First NL	Vukovar2-2Dubrava Zagreb
6 May 2023First NL	First NL	Vukovar1-1Dubrava Zagreb
29 Oct 2022First NL	First NL	Vukovar1-0Dubrava Zagreb
13 Aug 2022First NL	First NL	Dubrava Zagreb0-0Vukovar
23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Vukovar0-1Dubrava Zagreb

First NL table2 HNLupdated 21 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the First NL table, Vukovar sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Dubrava Zagreb are 11th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Croatia Zmijavci	9	6	1	2	15:7	+8	19
2	Jadran LP	9	4	4	1	17:12	+5	16
3	Segesta Sisak	9	4	2	3	14:12	+2	14
4	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	9	4	2	3	10:9	+1	14
5	Karlovac 1919	9	4	2	3	12:12	0	14
6	Mladost Ždralovi	9	4	2	3	9:10	-1	14
7	HNK Cibalia	9	3	4	2	9:10	-1	13
8	Dinamo Zagreb U21	9	4	0	5	14:13	+1	12
9	Orijent 1919	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
10	Opatija	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
11	Dubrava Zagreb	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
12	Vukovar	9	3	2	4	14:17	-3	11
13	Sesvete	9	3	1	5	10:10	0	10
14	Dugopolje	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10
15	Kustosija	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
16	Hrvace	9	2	1	6	8:15	-7	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.34X29%3.12233%2.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.02	1.70	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Average	1.79	1.88	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vukovar 45%Draw 45%Dubrava Zagreb 10%

The statistical model rated Vukovar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dubrava Zagreb at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.73, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Vukovar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Vukovar are 12th (11 pts, 14-17 goals), Dubrava Zagreb 11th (11 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Vukovar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Dubrava Zagreb averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vukovar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.12	2.73

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	2.04	3.48

2nd half

1	X	2
2.72	2.35	3.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.83	15.5	32.0
HT X	5.75	4.75	6.60
HT 2	28.0	15.5	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	8.45	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.87
1.5	1.32	3.05
2.5	2.03	1.70
3.5	3.64	1.23
4.5	7.37	1.06
5.5	10.5	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.40	2.58
2	1.52	2.26
2.25	1.77	1.89
2.75	2.28	1.51
3	2.83	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	6.00	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	1.39	2.79
-0.25	1.51	2.34
0	1.71	2.00
+0.25	2.02	1.69
+0.5	2.36	1.54
+0.75	2.78	1.37

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	1.09	5.77
-1.25	1.13	5.33
-1	1.13	4.92
-0.75	1.26	3.37
+1	3.81	1.20
+1.25	4.28	1.17
+1.5	4.68	1.14
+1.75	6.25	1.12
+2.5	10.0	1.01

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.00	1.73

Next First NL matches

23 Oct	Dinamo Zagreb U21 – HNK Cibalia
23 Oct	Sesvete – Hrvace
23 Oct	Dubrava Zagreb – Kustosija
23 Oct	Mladost Ždralovi – Jadran LP
24 Oct	Vukovar – Bsk Bijelo Brdo
24 Oct	Dugopolje – Opatija

All First NL fixtures and the table

Latest First NL results

18 Oct	Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Mladost Ždralovi
17 Oct	HNK Cibalia 1-4 Segesta Sisak
17 Oct	Hrvace 1-2 Kustosija
17 Oct	Bsk Bijelo Brdo 0-0 Orijent 1919
17 Oct	Jadran LP 4-4 Dugopolje
16 Oct	Opatija 1-0 Sesvete