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Vukovar vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo• First NL, Croatia

#121.8:1.610:45Tomorrow · Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek1.4:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27DAFX3.35DAF23.05DAFMargin at best6.7%Books7Markets43Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:55 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.273.353.056.7%
Betano2.253.203.009.0%
Betfair2.203.253.009.6%
BetVictor2.253.133.009.7%
1xBet2.213.122.9810.9%
Bet3652.203.202.9011.2%
Marathonbet2.193.122.9012.2%
Best of all books2.273.353.056.7%
Average2.223.202.989.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VukovarBsk Bijelo Brdo
Last 10#12Table position#41.22Points per game1.566Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4447Defence rating5356Form rating4475H2H rating2543Goals model5756Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Vukovar

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against

17 OctHDubrava Zagreb3-2W
10 OctHHrvace1-0W
4 OctHDinamo Zagreb0-4L
27 SepAOpatija0-1L
19 SepHJadran LP2-3L
13 SepACroatia Zmijavci3-2W
9 SepHHNK Cibalia1-0W
5 SepHHNK Cibalia1-1D
2 SepHDinamo Zagreb U212-6L
28 AugHSegesta Sisak2-0W

Bsk Bijelo Brdo

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

17 OctHOrijent 19190-0D
9 OctAKarlovac 19192-3L
3 OctANK Osijek1-1D
26 SepADubrava Zagreb1-0W
19 SepHHrvace1-2L
16 SepAKustosija2-1W
11 SepAOpatija3-2W
6 SepHJadran LP1-0W
2 SepACroatia Zmijavci0-1L
28 AugHHNK Cibalia1-1D

Head to head

5Vukovar wins
5draws
1Bsk Bijelo Brdo wins

11 meetings · goals 23:15 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Vukovar

5 Apr 2025First NLFirst NLVukovar2-0Bsk Bijelo Brdo
23 Feb 2025First NLFirst NLBsk Bijelo Brdo1-1Vukovar
16 Oct 2024First NLFirst NLVukovar1-1Bsk Bijelo Brdo
4 Apr 2024First NLFirst NLVukovar2-2Bsk Bijelo Brdo
9 Mar 2024First NLFirst NLVukovar3-2Bsk Bijelo Brdo
11 Oct 2023First NLFirst NLBsk Bijelo Brdo1-3Vukovar
27 Sep 2023CupCupVukovar4-1Bsk Bijelo Brdo
15 Apr 2023First NLFirst NLBsk Bijelo Brdo2-1Vukovar
12 Nov 2022First NLFirst NLVukovar1-1Bsk Bijelo Brdo
27 Aug 2022First NLFirst NLBsk Bijelo Brdo1-1Vukovar

First NL table2 HNLupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the First NL table, Vukovar sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Bsk Bijelo Brdo are 4th with 14 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Croatia Zmijavci961215:7+819
2Jadran LP944117:12+516
3Segesta Sisak942314:12+214
4Bsk Bijelo Brdo942310:9+114
5Karlovac 1919942312:12014
6Mladost Ždralovi94239:10-114
7HNK Cibalia93429:10-113
8Dinamo Zagreb U21940514:13+112
9Orijent 191993338:9-112
10Opatija932410:11-111
11Dubrava Zagreb932410:11-111
12Vukovar932414:17-311
13Sesvete931510:10010
14Dugopolje924313:14-110
15Kustosija92436:7-110
16Hrvace92168:15-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X28%3.20231%2.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0122 Oct 15:011 2.22X 3.202 2.98
12.20 → 2.22 +0.9%X3.15 → 3.20 +1.6%22.93 → 2.98 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Betano2.071.678.2%
BetVictor2.021.689.0%
1xBet2.031.679.1%
Marathonbet2.031.679.1%
Best of all books2.101.706.4%
Average2.051.688.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Betano1.831.858.7%
1xBet1.801.879.0%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.801.849.9%
Best of all books1.831.907.3%
Average1.811.869.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vukovar 45%Draw 45%Bsk Bijelo Brdo 10%

The statistical model rates Vukovar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bsk Bijelo Brdo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.20 | 2.98, which imply roughly 45% for a Vukovar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Vukovar are 12th (11 pts, 14-17 goals), Bsk Bijelo Brdo 4th (14 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, Vukovar averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bsk Bijelo Brdo averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vukovar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.223.202.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.551.28

Draw no bet

12
1.622.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.811.86

1st half

1X2
2.892.023.66

2nd half

1X2
2.582.343.30

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6315.234.0
HT X5.404.676.83
HT 228.015.24.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.848.152.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.07
1.51.332.99
2.52.051.68
3.53.621.23
4.57.181.07
5.510.51.02
6.517.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.60
1.251.183.88
1.751.422.55
21.532.23
2.251.791.86
2.752.311.50
32.881.32
3.253.201.26
3.754.501.16
46.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.621.41
-0.52.231.60
-0.251.911.78
01.622.14
+0.251.442.52
+0.51.383.00
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.501.01
-1.755.701.12
-1.54.351.16
-1.253.951.20
-13.501.24
+0.751.233.57
+11.115.45
+1.251.126.00
+1.51.086.33

Next First NL matches

23 OctDinamo Zagreb U21 – HNK Cibalia
23 OctSesvete – Hrvace
23 OctDubrava Zagreb – Kustosija
23 OctMladost Ždralovi – Jadran LP
24 OctSegesta Sisak – Croatia Zmijavci
24 OctDugopolje – Opatija

All First NL fixtures and the table

Latest First NL results

18 OctCroatia Zmijavci 3-1 Mladost Ždralovi
17 OctHNK Cibalia 1-4 Segesta Sisak
17 OctHrvace 1-2 Kustosija
17 OctVukovar 3-2 Dubrava Zagreb
17 OctBsk Bijelo Brdo 0-0 Orijent 1919
17 OctJadran LP 4-4 Dugopolje