Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk• Premier League, Malta

#120.4:2.22-0FTToday · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola2.2:1.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.831XBX4.20BFR21.62B365Margin at best2.7%Books8Markets51Rating19 · 81Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	5.30	4.05	1.53	8.9%
BetVictor	5.50	4.10	1.50	9.2%
Bet365	4.33	3.90	1.62	10.5%
1xBet	5.83	3.82	1.48	10.9%
William Hill	5.50	3.60	1.53	11.3%
Betfair	5.50	4.20	1.44	11.4%
Marathonbet	5.55	3.82	1.47	12.2%
Pinnacle	4.97	3.64	1.44	17.0%
Best of all books	5.83	4.20	1.62	2.7%
Average	5.31	3.89	1.50	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirzebbugaMarsaxlokk

Last 10#12Table position#20.44Points per game1.891Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 51.615Attack rating8542Defence rating589Form rating910H2H rating09Goals model9119Overall rating81

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 01:00 UTC

Birzebbuga

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	A	Hibernians	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Mosta	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Balzan FC	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Floriana	0-3	L
24 Jul	H	Balzan FC	0-0	D
17 Jul	A	Mosta	4-0	W

Marsaxlokk

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

16 Oct	H	Birkirkara	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-4	L
12 Sep	A	Floriana	5-2	W
5 Sep	H	Mosta	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Hibernians	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Gzira United	0-1	L
25 Jul	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Birzebbuga and Marsaxlokk on record.

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 21 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birzebbuga sit 12th with 4 points from 9 games, while Marsaxlokk are 2nd with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	8	4	3	1	20:11	+9	15
4	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
5	Mosta	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
7	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Hibernians	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
11	Gzira United	8	0	4	4	6:17	-11	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.31X23%3.89260%1.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.43 → 5.31 -2.2%X4.01 → 3.89 -3.0%21.49 → 1.50 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.07	10.8%
Best of all books	1.95	2.12	-1.5%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.74	1.96	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birzebbuga 10%Draw 45%Marsaxlokk 45%

The statistical model rated Birzebbuga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marsaxlokk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.31 | 3.89 | 1.50, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birzebbuga are 12th (4 pts, 5-17 goals), Marsaxlokk 2nd (17 pts, 15-12).

Over their last five matches, Birzebbuga averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Marsaxlokk averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Marsaxlokk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.31	3.89	1.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.31	1.11	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.96	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
5.42	2.31	2.03

2nd half

1	X	2
4.98	2.69	1.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.94	16.9	19.8
HT X	11.5	6.23	4.37
HT 2	43.0	16.4	2.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.03	12.1	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.1
1.5	1.22	3.82
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.58	1.42
4.5	4.71	1.15
5.5	9.35	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.19	3.75
1.75	1.30	3.11
2	1.30	3.00
2.25	1.45	2.44
2.75	1.76	1.89
3	2.00	1.67
3.25	2.24	1.52
3.75	2.82	1.32
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	4.26	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.22	1.60
+0.75	2.09	1.63
+1	1.84	1.84
+1.25	1.65	2.05
+1.5	1.49	2.32
+1.75	1.35	2.70

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.00	1.02
-1	9.00	1.01
-0.25	4.20	1.16
0	3.68	1.21
+0.25	2.83	1.33
+2	1.24	3.34
+2.25	1.14	4.38
+2.5	1.16	4.05
+3	1.04	7.00
+3.5	1.03	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.98	1.82

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct	Birkirkara – Floriana
22 Oct	Hibernians – Gzira United

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
21 Oct	Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC
18 Oct	Floriana 3-3 Mosta
18 Oct	Hibernians 1-0 Birzebbuga
18 Oct	Gzira United 2-2 Hamrun Spartans