Hibernians vs Gzira United• Premier League, Malta

#90.8:1.818:30Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.0:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.891XBX3.60DAF23.75DAFMargin at best7.4%Books6Markets44Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.87	3.60	3.75	7.9%
Betano	1.87	3.50	3.70	9.1%
Betfair	1.85	3.50	3.70	9.7%
1xBet	1.89	3.38	3.53	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.87	3.38	3.44	12.1%
Bet365	1.85	3.40	3.40	12.9%
Best of all books	1.89	3.60	3.75	7.4%
Average	1.87	3.46	3.59	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HiberniansGzira United

Last 10#9Table position#111.13Points per game0.505Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5647Defence rating5356Form rating4440H2H rating6053Goals model4749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 03:00 UTC

Hibernians

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Floriana	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
30 Apr	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-3	L
24 Apr	H	Mosta	2-0	W

Gzira United

1W 5D 4L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	H	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	Mosta	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Floriana	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
17 Aug	A	Birkirkara	0-4	L
8 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	1-0	W
24 Jul	H	Mosta	1-1	D

Head to head

14Hibernians wins

2draws

10Gzira United wins

26 meetings · goals 51:34 · last 10: 6W 0D 4L for Hibernians

7 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United1-0Hibernians
25 Feb 2026FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Gzira United3-2Hibernians
6 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians4-1Gzira United
18 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians5-3Gzira United
19 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-2Gzira United
8 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United1-4Hibernians
25 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians2-0Gzira United
7 Feb 2024FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Gzira United1-0Hibernians
28 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians3-2Gzira United
16 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United0-4Hibernians

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 21 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Hibernians sit 9th with 9 points from 8 games, while Gzira United are 11th with 4 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	8	4	3	1	20:11	+9	15
4	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
5	Mosta	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
7	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Hibernians	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
11	Gzira United	8	0	4	4	6:17	-11	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X26%3.46225%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.86 → 1.87 +0.5%X3.43 → 3.46 +0.9%23.52 → 3.59 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.89	1.84	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.94	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hibernians 10%Draw 45%Gzira United 45%

The statistical model rates Hibernians at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gzira United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.46 | 3.59, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Hibernians are 9th (9 pts, 7-11 goals), Gzira United 11th (4 pts, 6-17).

Over their last five matches, Hibernians averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Gzira United averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gzira United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.46	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.79	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.16	4.14

2nd half

1	X	2
2.25	2.45	3.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	15.1	35.3
HT X	4.90	5.25	8.23
HT 2	22.3	15.3	5.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	9.15	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.65
1.5	1.27	3.29
2.5	1.89	1.84
3.5	3.12	1.30
4.5	5.93	1.10
5.5	11.5	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.70
1.75	1.33	2.83
2	1.42	2.49
2.25	1.66	2.01
2.75	2.12	1.60
3	2.56	1.40
3.25	2.88	1.32
3.75	3.90	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.70	1.38
-0.75	2.14	1.57
-0.5	1.87	1.89
-0.25	1.64	2.02
0	1.41	2.52
+0.25	1.31	2.92

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2	6.30	1.06
-1.75	4.39	1.14
-1.5	3.42	1.23
-1.25	3.10	1.29
+1	1.05	6.55
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.78	2.02

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct

Birkirkara – Floriana

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk
21 Oct	Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC
18 Oct	Floriana 3-3 Mosta
18 Oct	Hibernians 1-0 Birzebbuga
18 Oct	Gzira United 2-2 Hamrun Spartans