Birkirkara vs Floriana• Premier League, Malta

#80.8:1.416:00Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola2.8:2.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20BVCX3.40BTN22.29DAFMargin at best4.3%Books8Markets41Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.90	3.30	2.29	8.5%
BetVictor	3.20	3.20	2.15	9.0%
Betano	2.92	3.40	2.20	9.1%
Betfair	3.00	3.25	2.20	9.6%
Pinnacle	2.87	3.20	2.25	10.5%
1xBet	2.93	3.20	2.20	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.85	3.20	2.18	12.2%
Bet365	2.90	3.30	2.10	12.4%
Best of all books	3.20	3.40	2.29	4.3%
Average	2.95	3.26	2.20	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirkirkaraFloriana

Last 10#8Table position#31.25Points per game1.884Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 52.022Attack rating7859Defence rating4133Form rating6738H2H rating6221Goals model7935Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 03:00 UTC

Birkirkara

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

16 Oct	A	Marsaxlokk	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Hibernians	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mosta	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Gzira United	4-0	W
25 Jul	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-3	L
18 Jul	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1	W

Floriana

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	Mosta	3-3	D
11 Oct	H	Balzan FC	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Hibernians	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	Marsaxlokk	2-5	L
7 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Gzira United	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
28 Jul	A	Drita	1-2	L

Head to head

10Birkirkara wins

8draws

10Floriana wins

28 meetings · goals 32:31 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Birkirkara

14 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara2-2Floriana
13 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-0Birkirkara
25 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-0Birkirkara
14 May 2025FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Birkirkara2-1Floriana
30 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-1Floriana
12 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana0-2Birkirkara
21 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara0-1Floriana
7 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-3Floriana
3 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-2Floriana
23 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-0Birkirkara

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 21 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birkirkara sit 8th with 10 points from 8 games, while Floriana are 3rd with 15 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	8	4	3	1	20:11	+9	15
4	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
5	Mosta	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
7	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Hibernians	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
11	Gzira United	8	0	4	4	6:17	-11	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.95X28%3.26241%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.39 → 2.95 -13.0%X3.34 → 3.26 -2.4%21.94 → 2.20 +13.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.92	1.83	6.7%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.97	1.72	8.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	2.05	1.83	3.4%
Average	1.94	1.77	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	2.05	5.0%
Average	1.73	1.97	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birkirkara 10%Draw 45%Floriana 45%

The statistical model rates Birkirkara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Floriana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.26 | 2.20, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birkirkara are 8th (10 pts, 9-8 goals), Floriana 3rd (15 pts, 20-11).

Over their last five matches, Birkirkara averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Floriana averaged 2.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Floriana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.95	3.26	2.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.31	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.21	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.08	2.80

2nd half

1	X	2
3.25	2.40	2.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.85	14.1	24.3
HT X	6.85	5.13	5.53
HT 2	28.5	14.6	3.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.16	10.0	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.41
1.5	1.28	3.26
2.5	1.94	1.77
3.5	3.34	1.27
4.5	6.35	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.34	2.87
2	1.45	2.49
2.25	1.69	2.02
2.75	2.18	1.59
3	2.61	1.40
3.25	2.94	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	4.93	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.82	1.37
-0.25	2.52	1.44
0	2.16	1.61
+0.25	1.82	1.88
+0.5	1.67	2.12
+0.75	1.41	2.59

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.45	1.05
-1.25	4.87	1.11
-1	5.40	1.09
-0.75	3.58	1.21
+1	1.23	3.47
+1.25	1.17	4.00
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+2.5	1.02	8.90

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct

Hibernians – Gzira United

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk
21 Oct	Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC
18 Oct	Floriana 3-3 Mosta
18 Oct	Hibernians 1-0 Birzebbuga
18 Oct	Gzira United 2-2 Hamrun Spartans