Mosta vs Valletta FC• Premier League, Malta

#51.6:2.00-2FTToday · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola2.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.881XBX3.90BVC21.57B365Margin at best6.3%Books9Markets50Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.60	3.90	1.55	8.0%
Betano	5.50	3.75	1.57	8.5%
BetVictor	5.75	3.90	1.50	9.7%
William Hill	5.80	3.50	1.55	10.3%
Pinnacle	5.42	3.79	1.52	10.6%
1xBet	5.88	3.68	1.50	10.8%
Betfair	5.50	3.80	1.50	11.2%
Bet365	4.75	3.75	1.57	11.4%
Marathonbet	5.60	3.68	1.49	12.1%
Best of all books	5.88	3.90	1.57	6.3%
Average	5.53	3.75	1.53	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MostaValletta FC

Last 10#5Table position#11.63Points per game2.384Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 50.642Attack rating5823Defence rating7724Form rating7640H2H rating600Goals model10031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 01:00 UTC

Mosta

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	A	Floriana	3-3	D
14 Oct	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Birkirkara	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Balzan FC	2-1	W
17 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-0	W
24 Jul	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
17 Jul	H	Birzebbuga	0-4	L

Valletta FC

7W 1D 2L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Birkirkara	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Balzan FC	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Floriana	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Hibernians	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Marsaxlokk	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Gzira United	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	4-2	W
30 Jul	H	Raków Częstochowa	0-4	L

Head to head

4Mosta wins

5draws

11Valletta FC wins

20 meetings · goals 16:40 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Mosta

16 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Mosta0-5Valletta FC
24 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC4-1Mosta
30 Aug 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mosta0-2Valletta FC
17 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Mosta1-0Valletta FC
6 Feb 2024FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Mosta2-1Valletta FC
30 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC1-1Mosta
19 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC0-0Mosta
15 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Mosta3-1Valletta FC
30 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC2-3Mosta
5 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Mosta2-2Valletta FC

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 21 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Mosta sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, while Valletta FC are 1st with 19 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	8	4	3	1	20:11	+9	15
4	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
5	Mosta	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
7	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Hibernians	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
11	Gzira United	8	0	4	4	6:17	-11	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.63X24%3.77260%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.11 → 5.52 +8.0%X3.76 → 3.74 -0.5%21.57 → 1.53 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.89	6.7%
Betano	1.88	1.83	7.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.90	5.0%
Average	1.87	1.84	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.92	1.77	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mosta 10%Draw 45%Valletta FC 45%

The statistical model rated Mosta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Valletta FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.63 | 3.77 | 1.51, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Mosta are 5th (13 pts, 13-11 goals), Valletta FC 1st (19 pts, 19-7).

Over their last five matches, Mosta averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Valletta FC averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Valletta FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.53	3.75	1.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.29	1.10	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
4.18	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
5.68	2.20	2.06

2nd half

1	X	2
5.23	2.53	1.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.10	16.8	22.0
HT X	10.7	5.45	4.28
HT 2	49.3	16.0	2.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.07	9.25	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.15
1.5	1.27	3.37
2.5	1.87	1.84
3.5	3.16	1.30
4.5	6.25	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.75	1.31	2.97
2	1.41	2.59
2.25	1.63	2.10
2.75	2.08	1.64
3	2.46	1.45
3.25	2.78	1.35
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.87	1.33
+0.5	2.40	1.50
+0.75	2.07	1.65
+1	1.81	1.89
+1.25	1.58	2.17
+1.5	1.45	2.46

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.90	1.01
-0.25	4.80	1.12
0	4.25	1.15
+1.75	1.32	2.94
+2	1.17	3.98
+2.25	1.12	4.79
+2.5	1.12	4.75
+3	1.01	9.00
+3.5	1.04	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.80	2.00

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct	Birkirkara – Floriana
22 Oct	Hibernians – Gzira United

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk
21 Oct	Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC
18 Oct	Floriana 3-3 Mosta
18 Oct	Hibernians 1-0 Birzebbuga
18 Oct	Gzira United 2-2 Hamrun Spartans