Floriana vs Mosta• Premier League, Malta

#32.4:1.616:00Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.2:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X4.41PIN25.75BVCMargin10.3%Books6Markets50Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	4.00	5.75	9.1%
Bet365	1.67	3.70	4.20	10.7%
1xBet	1.46	4.10	5.55	10.9%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.41	5.19	10.9%
William Hill	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.45	4.10	5.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.67	4.41	5.75	-0.1%
Average	1.50	4.05	5.17	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlorianaMosta

Last 10#3Table position#42.00Points per game1.717Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3347Defence rating5357Form rating4393H2H rating741Goals model5964Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Floriana

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Balzan FC	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Hibernians	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	Marsaxlokk	2-5	L
7 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Gzira United	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
28 Jul	A	Drita	1-2	L
21 Jul	H	Drita	1-1	D

Mosta

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

14 Oct	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Birkirkara	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Balzan FC	2-1	W
17 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-0	W
24 Jul	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
17 Jul	H	Birzebbuga	0-4	L
10 May	A	Naxxar Lions	1-0	W

Head to head

16Floriana wins

5draws

2Mosta wins

23 meetings · goals 47:16 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Floriana

25 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-1Mosta
27 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mosta0-1Floriana
27 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana3-0Mosta
5 Mar 2025FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Floriana2-0Mosta
2 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-2Mosta
23 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Floriana1-0Mosta
11 Oct 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mosta1-2Floriana
3 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Mosta0-2Floriana
13 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Floriana4-0Mosta
9 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Mosta0-3Floriana

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 17 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Floriana sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games, while Mosta are 4th with 12 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	8	5	2	1	15:10	+5	17
3	Floriana	7	4	2	1	17:8	+9	14
4	Mosta	7	3	3	1	10:8	+2	12
5	Hamrun Spartans	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
6	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
7	Balzan FC	8	2	4	2	11:9	+2	10
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
10	Hibernians	7	1	3	3	6:11	-5	6
11	Gzira United	7	0	3	4	4:15	-11	3
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X22%4.05218%5.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.51 -7.9%X3.73 → 4.05 +8.6%24.43 → 5.17 +16.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.12	7.4%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.12	4.3%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.75	1.93	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Floriana 45%Draw 45%Mosta 10%

The statistical model rates Floriana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mosta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.05 | 5.17, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Floriana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Floriana are 3rd (14 pts, 17-8 goals), Mosta 4th (12 pts, 10-8).

Over their last five matches, Floriana averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Mosta averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Floriana or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.05	5.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.30	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.34	5.20

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.67	5.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.43	18.0	39.5
HT X	4.58	6.30	11.0
HT 2	19.5	18.0	8.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	12.9	2.77

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.9
1.5	1.19	3.97
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.67	1.39
4.5	4.85	1.12
5.5	10.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.80
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.29	3.10
2.25	1.48	2.40
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.11	1.62
3.25	2.38	1.49
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	3.98	1.17
4.25	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.78	1.35
-1.5	2.34	1.50
-1.25	2.08	1.64
-1	1.81	1.88
-0.75	1.64	2.12
-0.5	1.45	2.53

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.20	1.02
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.5	4.25	1.15
-2.25	3.72	1.20
-2	3.50	1.22
-0.25	1.33	2.92
0	1.16	4.10
+0.25	1.13	4.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.95