Hibernians vs Birzebbuga• Premier League, Malta

#90.8:2.01-0FT18/10 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola0.6:2.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.96PIN24.00BVCMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets46Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	3.50	4.00	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.80	3.96	3.52	9.2%
1xBet	1.83	3.65	3.46	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.70	3.70	11.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.60	3.40	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.65	3.38	12.2%
Best of all books	1.85	3.96	4.00	4.3%
Average	1.81	3.68	3.58	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HiberniansBirzebbuga

Last 10#9Table position#121.13Points per game0.445Form pts · last 510.8Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 52.457Attack rating4355Defence rating4575Form rating250H2H rating032Goals model6855Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 03:00 UTC

Hibernians

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Hamrun Spartans	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Floriana	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
30 Apr	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-3	L
24 Apr	H	Mosta	2-0	W

Birzebbuga

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	A	Hibernians	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Mosta	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Balzan FC	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Floriana	0-3	L
24 Jul	H	Balzan FC	0-0	D
17 Jul	A	Mosta	4-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Hibernians and Birzebbuga on record.

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 21 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Hibernians sit 9th with 9 points from 8 games, while Birzebbuga are 12th with 4 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	9	5	2	2	15:12	+3	17
3	Floriana	8	4	3	1	20:11	+9	15
4	Hamrun Spartans	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
5	Mosta	8	3	4	1	13:11	+2	13
6	Balzan FC	9	2	5	2	12:10	+2	11
7	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Hibernians	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
10	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
11	Gzira United	8	0	4	4	6:17	-11	4
12	Birzebbuga	9	1	1	7	5:17	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X23%4.00221%4.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.81 +6.5%X3.69 → 3.68 -0.3%24.01 → 3.58 -10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.79	2.01	5.6%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.76	1.96	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.04	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hibernians 35%Draw 35%Birzebbuga 30%

The statistical model rated Hibernians at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Birzebbuga at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 4.00 | 4.30, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Hibernians win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Hibernians are 9th (9 pts, 7-11 goals), Birzebbuga 12th (4 pts, 5-17).

Over their last five matches, Hibernians averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Birzebbuga averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hibernians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.68	3.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.84	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.26	4.10

2nd half

1	X	2
2.22	2.48	3.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.83	16.8	33.5
HT X	5.05	5.65	8.55
HT 2	21.5	16.8	6.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	12.6	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.3
1.5	1.21	3.65
2.5	1.76	1.96
3.5	2.92	1.32
4.5	5.33	1.11
5.5	11.3	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.70
1.75	1.27	3.24
2	1.35	2.83
2.25	1.56	2.25
2.75	1.95	1.74
3	2.29	1.53
3.25	2.56	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.78	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.79	1.37
-1	2.47	1.45
-0.75	2.00	1.72
-0.5	1.79	1.97
-0.25	1.67	2.10
0	1.39	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.60	1.05
-2.25	5.75	1.07
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	3.72	1.20
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.34	2.91
+0.75	1.15	4.20
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.25	1.08	5.59
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.90	1.90

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct	Birkirkara – Floriana
22 Oct	Hibernians – Gzira United

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 Oct	Mosta 0-2 Valletta FC
21 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 2-3 Sliema Wanderers
21 Oct	Birzebbuga 2-0 Marsaxlokk
21 Oct	Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Balzan FC
18 Oct	Floriana 3-3 Mosta
18 Oct	Gzira United 2-2 Hamrun Spartans