Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major• FAW Championship, Wales

2.0:1.62-2FT07/111.6:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX4.34PIN23.40BFRMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets47Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.87	4.20	3.25	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.85	4.34	3.04	10.0%
Betfair	1.80	3.90	3.40	10.6%
Betano	1.90	3.85	3.10	10.9%
1xBet	1.76	4.10	3.37	10.9%
Bet365	1.85	3.80	3.20	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.75	4.10	3.28	12.0%
William Hill	1.80	3.90	3.10	13.5%
Best of all books	1.90	4.34	3.40	5.1%
Average	1.82	4.02	3.22	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Trethomas BluebirdsLlantwit Major

Last 106Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4453Defence rating4750Form rating5050H2H rating5071Goals model2955Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Trethomas Bluebirds

4W 2D 4L · goals 21:21 · per match 2.1 for, 2.1 against

31 Oct	A	Aberystwyth Town	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Cardiff Draconians	3-1	W
16 Oct	A	Cambrian & Clydach	0-5	L
10 Oct	A	Treowen Stars	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Pontardawe Town	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Ynyshir Albions	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Caerphilly Athletic	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Carmarthen Town	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Afan Lido	5-2	W
21 Aug	A	Pontypridd Town	1-2	L

Llantwit Major

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

7 Nov	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-2	D
31 Oct	H	Newport City	2-3	L
23 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Trefelin	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Pontardawe Town	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Pontypridd Town	1-4	L
2 Oct	A	Carmarthen Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	llanelli AFC	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Treowen Stars	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	1-5	L

Head to head

1Trethomas Bluebirds wins

2draws

1Llantwit Major wins

4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Trethomas Bluebirds

5 Dec 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Trethomas Bluebirds2-2Llantwit Major
6 Sep 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Llantwit Major2-1Trethomas Bluebirds
27 Sep 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Trethomas Bluebirds1-1Llantwit Major
27 Jul 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Llantwit Major0-1Trethomas Bluebirds

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 13 Nov 00:30 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	31:12	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	24:5	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	21:14	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	32:17	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	27:24	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	28:18	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	34:19	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	20:19	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	26:26	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	18:21	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	23:32	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	26:28	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	22:25	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	12:24	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	7:33	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	6:40	-34	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X22%4.02228%3.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.82 +11.0%X4.00 → 4.02 +0.5%24.02 → 3.22 -19.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.43	8.3%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.83	0.7%
Average	1.42	2.60	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.82	6.9%
Average	1.37	2.76	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Trethomas Bluebirds 45%Draw 45%Llantwit Major 10%

The statistical model rated Trethomas Bluebirds at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Llantwit Major at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 4.02 | 3.22, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Trethomas Bluebirds win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Trethomas Bluebirds averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Llantwit Major averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Trethomas Bluebirds or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	4.02	3.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.82	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.29	2.52	3.50

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.85	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.86	14.5	25.7
HT X	5.30	7.10	8.37
HT 2	17.7	15.0	5.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	21.5	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.11	6.00
2.5	1.42	2.61
3.5	1.96	1.74
4.5	3.14	1.27
5.5	5.50	1.12

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
2	1.10	5.20
2.25	1.26	3.31
2.75	1.42	2.55
3	1.58	2.18
3.25	1.75	1.93
3.75	2.19	1.57
4	2.58	1.41
4.25	2.86	1.34
5	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.65	1.39
-1	2.29	1.53
-0.75	2.00	1.72
-0.5	1.87	1.85
-0.25	1.61	2.12
0	1.43	2.53

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.60	1.05
-3	6.60	1.06
-2.5	5.78	1.07
-2	5.00	1.11
-1.75	3.63	1.21
-1.5	2.95	1.31
+0.25	1.34	2.83
+1	1.07	5.98
+1.5	1.04	6.90

Next FAW Championship matches

13 Nov	Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
13 Nov	Swansea University – Treowen Stars
14 Nov	Llanuwchllyn – Rhyl
14 Nov	Llantwit Major – Cardiff Draconians

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

7 Nov	Carmarthen Town 0-4 Aberystwyth Town
7 Nov	Porthmadog 1-0 Llanuwchllyn
7 Nov	Rhyl 1-1 Holyhead Hotspur
7 Nov	Buckley Town 1-3 Brickfield Rangers
7 Nov	Swansea University 2-0 Cardiff Draconians
6 Nov	Bala Town 1-0 Guilsfield