Llantwit Major vs 
Cardiff Draconians• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:44 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.85 | 2.55 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 11.0% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 11.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.44 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.44 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.36 | 3.85 | 2.55 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.30 | 3.71 | 2.47 | 11.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC
Llantwit Major
3W 3D 4L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against
| 7 Nov | A | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Newport City | 2-3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Caerau (Ely) | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Trefelin | 1-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Pontardawe Town | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Oct | A | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Carmarthen Town | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | llanelli AFC | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Treowen Stars | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Aberystwyth Town | 1-5 | L |
Cardiff Draconians
4W 2D 4L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against
| 7 Nov | A | Swansea University | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Afan Lido | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Trethomas Bluebirds | 1-3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Radnor Valley | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Carmarthen Town | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Newport City | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Caerau (Ely) | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Baglan Dragons | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | llanelli AFC | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 0:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Llantwit Major
| 26 Dec 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Cardiff Draconians2-0Llantwit Major |
| 27 Sep 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Llantwit Major0-2Cardiff Draconians |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 13 Nov 00:30 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24:5 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 | Caersws | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 28:18 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 34:19 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Rhyl | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:33 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6:40 | -34 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 2.38 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 2.38 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.47 | 2.42 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 2.59 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 2.53 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.42 | 2.59 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.42 | 2.56 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Llantwit Major at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cardiff Draconians at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.69 | 2.46, which imply roughly 27.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Llantwit Major averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Cardiff Draconians averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff Draconians.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 3.71 | 2.47 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.78 | 1.90 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.42 | 2.56 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.76 | 2.39 | 2.93 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | 2.72 | 2.71 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.60 | 14.0 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 6.43 | 6.67 | 6.87 |
| HT 2 | 20.7 | 14.0 | 3.97 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | 17.9 | 1.92 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.47 | 2.42 |
| 3.5 | 2.18 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 2.25 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 2.75 | 1.57 | 2.16 |
| 3 | 1.73 | 1.90 |
| 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.70 |
| 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.42 |
| 4 | 3.05 | 1.28 |
| 4.25 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 5 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.48 | 1.22 |
| -0.75 | 2.67 | 1.37 |
| -0.25 | 2.01 | 1.65 |
| 0 | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| +0.25 | 1.59 | 2.13 |
| +0.75 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.20 | 1.03 |
| -2 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 3.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.13 | 4.55 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.30 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.80 |
Next FAW Championship matches
| 13 Nov | Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic |
| 13 Nov | Swansea University – Treowen Stars |
| 14 Nov | Llanuwchllyn – Rhyl |