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Rhyl vs Holyhead Hotspur• FAW Championship, Wales

#131.4:2.21-1FT07/11 · Belle Vue, Rhyl2.0:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.04DAFX3.85DAF23.05DAFMargin at best7.8%Books6Markets41Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.043.853.057.8%
1xBet1.973.723.0110.9%
Betano2.023.702.9011.0%
Bet3652.003.802.8811.0%
Betfair2.003.702.8811.7%
Marathonbet1.953.722.9412.2%
Best of all books2.043.853.057.8%
Average2.003.752.9410.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RhylHolyhead Hotspur
Last 10#13Table position#100.93Points per game1.153Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 51.241Attack rating5935Defence rating6517Form rating8350H2H rating5046Goals model5439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Rhyl

1W 5D 4L · goals 17:21 · per match 1.7 for, 2.1 against

7 NovHHolyhead Hotspur1-1D
31 OctAMold Alexandra1-2L
24 OctHNewtown AFC2-2D
9 OctARuthin Town1-1D
3 OctHBrickfield Rangers2-3L
26 SepAGresford Athletic1-3L
12 SepHBuckley Town3-3D
5 SepABangor City 1876 FC2-2D
31 AugADenbigh Town3-1W
28 AugHBala Town1-3L

Holyhead Hotspur

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

31 OctHPenrhyncoch3-1W
24 OctABuckley Town2-0W
17 OctABala Town4-3W
10 OctHCaersws1-1D
2 OctADenbigh Town4-2W
26 SepHGuilsfield0-2L
12 SepHNewtown AFC0-1L
5 SepALlanuwchllyn0-4L
31 AugHPorthmadog2-2D
21 AugHBangor City 1876 FC2-3L

Head to head

1Rhyl wins
0draws
1Holyhead Hotspur wins

2 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Rhyl

26 Dec 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipHolyhead Hotspur3-1Rhyl
25 Aug 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipRhyl4-3Holyhead Hotspur

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Rhyl sit 13th with 13 points from 14 games, while Holyhead Hotspur are 10th with 15 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers14111231:12+1934
2Newtown AFC1393124:5+1930
3Porthmadog1483321:14+727
4Mold Alexandra1374232:17+1525
5Bala Town1473427:24+324
6Caersws1365228:18+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC1364334:19+1522
8Guilsfield1446420:19+118
9Buckley Town1443726:26015
10Holyhead Hotspur1343618:21-315
11Llanuwchllyn1443723:32-915
12Denbigh Town1342726:28-214
13Rhyl1427522:25-313
14Ruthin Town1333712:24-1212
15Gresford Athletic122197:33-267
16Penrhyncoch1301126:40-341

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X24%3.75231%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.532.387.4%
Average1.502.359.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.452.509.0%
Marathonbet1.452.449.9%
Best of all books1.452.509.0%
Average1.452.479.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rhyl 10%Draw 45%Holyhead Hotspur 45%

The statistical model rated Rhyl at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Holyhead Hotspur at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.94, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Rhyl are 13th (13 pts, 22-25 goals), Holyhead Hotspur 10th (15 pts, 18-21).

Over their last five matches, Rhyl averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Holyhead Hotspur averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Holyhead Hotspur.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.003.752.94

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.661.19

Draw no bet

12
1.562.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.47

1st half

1X2
2.502.383.36

2nd half

1X2
2.302.703.17

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1514.325.3
HT X5.806.577.60
HT 220.014.34.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7118.42.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0112.0
1.51.144.80
2.51.502.35
3.52.281.52
4.54.051.17
5.56.501.08
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.50
21.183.90
2.251.332.83
2.751.622.09
31.801.83
3.252.051.63
3.752.671.38
43.341.24
4.253.721.20
57.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.831.33
-0.752.261.51
-0.51.951.67
-0.251.771.93
01.532.27
+0.251.402.60
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.501.03
-26.651.05
-1.53.581.21
-1.253.201.26
+0.751.213.58
+11.095.30
+1.51.066.25

Next FAW Championship matches

13 NovDenbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
13 NovSwansea University – Treowen Stars
14 NovLlanuwchllyn – Rhyl
14 NovLlantwit Major – Cardiff Draconians

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

7 NovCarmarthen Town 0-4 Aberystwyth Town
7 NovPorthmadog 1-0 Llanuwchllyn
7 NovTrethomas Bluebirds 2-2 Llantwit Major
7 NovBuckley Town 1-3 Brickfield Rangers
7 NovSwansea University 2-0 Cardiff Draconians
6 NovDenbigh Town 2-2 Mold Alexandra