OddsFilter
Live

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula• First League, Russia

#13.2:0.417:15Today · Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod2.0:2.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.451XBX4.73PIN26.941XBMargin at best4.5%Books5Markets82Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 09:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.454.706.944.7%
Pinnacle1.444.736.815.3%
Dafabet1.454.406.207.8%
Marathonbet1.404.506.658.7%
SBO1.373.825.6117.0%
Best of all books1.454.736.944.5%
Average1.424.436.448.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
Last 10#1Table position#112.67Points per game1.2715Form pts · last 593.2Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 52.462Attack rating3886Defence rating1468Form rating3236H2H rating6495Goals model566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Nizhny Novgorod

9W 1D 0L · goals 28:6 · per match 2.8 for, 0.6 against

24 OctAFC UFA1-0W
18 OctAUral2-1W
14 OctHShinnik Yaroslavl4-0W
10 OctHEnisey5-0W
27 SepACSKA Moscow3-1W
17 SepHLeningradets6-0W
13 SepATorpedo Moskva2-1W
9 SepADinamo Stavropol2-1W
5 SepAFC Sochi1-0W
30 AugHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D

Arsenal Tula

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

24 OctHKAMAZ4-3W
17 OctAFC UFA0-2L
9 OctHSpartak Kostroma3-2W
4 OctACSKA Moscow1-3L
26 SepALokomotiv2-0W
16 SepAEnisey1-3L
13 SepHSka-khabarovsk2-2D
8 SepATekstilshchik0-1L
5 SepAVolga Ulyanovsk0-3L
29 AugHUral2-2D

Head to head

1Nizhny Novgorod wins
1draws
2Arsenal Tula wins

4 meetings · goals 7:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Nizhny Novgorod

1 Jun 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal Tula0-2Nizhny Novgorod
29 May 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod1-2Arsenal Tula
2 May 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal Tula2-2Nizhny Novgorod
19 Sep 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod2-3Arsenal Tula

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st with 40 points from 15 games, while Arsenal Tula are 11th with 19 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940
2FC Sochi15102326:15+1132
3Torpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528
4Ural1584325:11+1428
5Spartak Kostroma1583421:15+627
6Veles1683520:19+127
7Shinnik Yaroslavl1558220:15+523
8FC UFA1556418:15+321
9Volga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121
10Rotor Volgograd1554623:18+519
11Arsenal Tula1554619:29-1019
12Chelyabinsk1543819:26-715
13Enisey1535716:30-1414
14Leningradets1535712:26-1414
15KAMAZ1534819:27-813
16FK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113
17Ska-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010
18Tekstilshchik1524911:25-1410

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.42X21%4.43214%6.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 00:0030 Oct 09:201 1.42X 4.432 6.44
11.40 → 1.42 +1.4%X4.63 → 4.43 -4.3%27.27 → 6.44 -11.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.164.8%
1xBet1.722.144.9%
Marathonbet1.682.097.4%
Best of all books1.722.164.4%
Average1.702.135.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet1.851.838.7%
Best of all books1.851.858.1%
Average1.851.848.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nizhny Novgorod 45%Draw 45%Arsenal Tula 10%

The statistical model rates Nizhny Novgorod at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Tula at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.43 | 6.44, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Nizhny Novgorod win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (40 pts, 44-15 goals), Arsenal Tula 11th (19 pts, 19-29).

Over their last five matches, Nizhny Novgorod averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Arsenal Tula averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Nizhny Novgorod and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.424.436.44

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.651.16

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.84

1st half

1X2
1.922.376.01

2nd half

1X2
1.702.845.85

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0317.144.8
HT X4.096.6913.7
HT 221.417.811.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3514.53.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–11.6
1.51.204.07
2.51.702.13
3.52.701.42
4.54.921.15
5.58.481.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.048.18
1.251.105.35
1.751.233.55
21.313.16
2.251.502.48
2.751.891.88
32.151.66
3.252.431.51
3.753.131.30
44.041.19
4.254.351.16
4.755.801.08
57.881.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.541.48
-1.52.191.65
-1.251.951.82
-11.682.14
-0.751.512.46
-0.51.432.85
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.171.05
-36.531.07
-2.754.701.13
-2.53.781.21
-2.253.561.26
-23.241.31
-0.251.273.47
01.135.00
+0.251.105.47
+0.751.037.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.09
7.51.183.84
8.51.382.66
9.51.712.02
10.52.141.62
11.52.761.36
12.53.821.18
13.55.571.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.11
71.055.85
7.251.114.61
7.751.193.69
81.223.50
8.251.303.00
8.751.432.54
91.522.37
9.251.592.19
9.751.781.93
101.921.81
10.251.991.73
10.752.251.56
112.531.46
11.252.591.41
11.753.021.30
123.441.23
12.253.611.20
12.754.331.13
135.181.08
13.255.371.07

Next First League matches

30 OctVeles – Spartak Kostroma
31 OctChelyabinsk – Shinnik Yaroslavl
31 OctLeningradets – Enisey
31 OctFK Neftekhimik – Ska-khabarovsk
31 OctVolga Ulyanovsk – Tekstilshchik
1 NovRotor Volgograd – FC UFA

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

26 OctShinnik Yaroslavl 2-1 Spartak Kostroma
25 OctFK Neftekhimik 1-1 Leningradets
25 OctVolga Ulyanovsk 1-0 Veles
25 OctChelyabinsk 1-3 Ural
24 OctArsenal Tula 4-3 KAMAZ
24 OctTekstilshchik 1-3 FC Sochi