Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles• First League, Russia

#111.2:1.210:30Today · Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk), Ulyanovsk1.2:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.221XBX3.35DAF23.56PINMargin at best3.0%Books4Markets73Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.20	3.20	3.60	4.5%
1xBet	2.22	3.30	3.40	4.8%
Dafabet	2.05	3.35	3.40	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.18	3.28	8.7%
Best of all books	2.22	3.35	3.60	2.7%
Average	2.15	3.26	3.42	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Volga UlyanovskVeles

Last 10#11Table position#51.20Points per game1.808Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5054Defence rating4658Form rating4293H2H rating744Goals model5661Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 18:01 UTC

Volga Ulyanovsk

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Ska-khabarovsk	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Murom	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Rotor Volgograd	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Veles	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Leningradets	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	FC UFA	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Volgar Astrakhan	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Tula	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Nizhny Novgorod	2-2	D

Veles

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ural	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Torpedo Moskva	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	FC Sochi	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Murom	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	FC UFA	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Tekstilshchik	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	Arsenal Tula	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	Nizhny Novgorod	3-2	W

Head to head

5Volga Ulyanovsk wins

2draws

2Veles wins

9 meetings · goals 12:10 · last 9: 5W 2D 2L for Volga Ulyanovsk

4 Oct 2026First League	First League	Veles1-2Volga Ulyanovsk
2 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Veles0-2Volga Ulyanovsk
28 May 2025Second League A - Spring Season Gold	Second League A - Spring Season Gold	Veles1-2Volga Ulyanovsk
13 Apr 2025Second League A - Spring Season Gold	Second League A - Spring Season Gold	Volga Ulyanovsk3-2Veles
12 Nov 2023Second League A - Fall Season Gold	Second League A - Fall Season Gold	Veles0-0Volga Ulyanovsk
16 Jul 2023Second League A - Fall Season Gold	Second League A - Fall Season Gold	Volga Ulyanovsk1-0Veles
26 Mar 2023First League	First League	Veles0-0Volga Ulyanovsk
4 Sep 2022First League	First League	Volga Ulyanovsk0-2Veles
30 Sep 2020Cup	Cup	Volga Ulyanovsk2-4Veles

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 24 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the First League table, Volga Ulyanovsk sit 11th with 18 points from 15 games, while Veles are 5th with 27 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	15	13	1	1	44:15	+29	40
2	FC Sochi	15	10	2	3	26:15	+11	32
3	Torpedo Moskva	15	8	4	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	20:18	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22:10	+12	25
7	FC UFA	15	5	6	4	18:15	+3	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18:14	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	15	5	4	6	23:18	+5	19
10	Arsenal Tula	15	5	4	6	19:29	-10	19
11	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20:22	-2	18
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18:23	-5	15
13	Enisey	15	3	5	7	16:30	-14	14
14	KAMAZ	15	3	4	8	19:27	-8	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11:25	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	10:21	-11	12
17	Ska-khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	18:28	-10	10
18	Tekstilshchik	15	2	4	9	11:25	-14	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.14X29%3.28228%3.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.16 → 2.14 -0.9%X3.24 → 3.28 +1.2%23.33 → 3.41 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.14	1.72	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.15	1.71	5.0%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
Best of all books	2.15	1.72	4.7%
Average	2.13	1.70	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.86	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.84	8.7%
Best of all books	1.84	1.86	8.1%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Volga Ulyanovsk 45%Draw 45%Veles 10%

The statistical model rates Volga Ulyanovsk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Veles at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.28 | 3.41, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Volga Ulyanovsk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Volga Ulyanovsk are 11th (18 pts, 20-22 goals), Veles 5th (27 pts, 20-18).

Over their last five matches, Volga Ulyanovsk averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Veles averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Volga Ulyanovsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.26	3.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.64	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.05	4.10

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.34	3.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.38	14.7	36.0
HT X	5.10	4.55	7.30
HT 2	29.0	14.7	5.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	7.40	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.45
1.5	1.35	2.97
2.5	2.13	1.70
3.5	3.70	1.24
4.5	6.97	1.05
5.5	11.6	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.92
1	1.07	6.32
1.25	1.21	3.81
1.75	1.44	2.63
2	1.58	2.27
2.25	1.85	1.89
2.75	2.46	1.52
3	3.00	1.34
3.25	3.34	1.27
3.75	4.56	1.15
4	6.32	1.07
4.25	6.61	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.28	1.30
-0.75	2.51	1.48
-0.5	2.19	1.70
-0.25	1.85	1.92
0	1.55	2.44
+0.25	1.39	2.84

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.48	1.02
-2	7.78	1.04
-1.75	5.20	1.11
-1.5	4.06	1.19
-1.25	3.72	1.24
+0.5	1.30	3.54
+0.75	1.19	4.23
+1	1.08	6.10
+1.25	1.07	6.53
+1.5	1.05	6.97

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.49
6.5	1.17	3.94
7.5	1.39	2.67
8.5	1.72	2.01
9.5	2.17	1.60
10.5	2.91	1.32
11.5	4.15	1.15
12.5	6.49	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.39
6	1.04	6.09
6.25	1.11	4.69
6.75	1.19	3.70
7	1.22	3.48
7.25	1.31	2.96
7.75	1.45	2.48
8	1.52	2.38
8.25	1.63	2.13
8.75	1.83	1.87
9	1.94	1.80
9.25	2.07	1.67
9.75	2.37	1.50
10	2.59	1.44
10.25	2.78	1.36
10.75	3.30	1.25
11	3.84	1.18
11.25	4.03	1.16
11.75	4.92	1.09
12	6.05	1.04
12.25	6.27	1.04

Next First League matches

25 Oct	Chelyabinsk – Ural
25 Oct	FK Neftekhimik – Leningradets
26 Oct	Shinnik Yaroslavl – Spartak Kostroma

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

24 Oct	Arsenal Tula 4-3 KAMAZ
24 Oct	Tekstilshchik 1-3 FC Sochi
24 Oct	FC UFA 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
24 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk 3-0 Enisey
23 Oct	Torpedo Moskva 1-1 Rotor Volgograd
18 Oct	Veles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl