Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl• First League, Russia

#121.8:1.810:00Tomorrow · Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk), Chelyabinsk1.0:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.381XBX3.20DAF23.24PINMargin at best4.1%Books4Markets41Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.38	3.13	3.24	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.36	3.04	3.24	6.1%
Dafabet	2.23	3.20	3.15	7.8%
Marathonbet	2.30	3.02	3.12	8.6%
Best of all books	2.38	3.20	3.24	4.1%
Average	2.32	3.10	3.19	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10#12Table position#71.00Points per game1.534Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 50.664Attack rating3625Defence rating7547Form rating5320H2H rating8030Goals model7038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Chelyabinsk

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Ural	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Tekstilshchik	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	FK Neftekhimik	4-2	W
26 Sep	H	Enisey	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	FC UFA	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	KAMAZ	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Dinamo Barnaul	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	FC Sochi	1-2	L

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

26 Oct	H	Spartak Kostroma	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Veles	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	KAMAZ	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Ural	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Rotor Volgograd	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Enisey	0-0	D

Head to head

0Chelyabinsk wins

1draws

1Shinnik Yaroslavl wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Chelyabinsk

16 May 2026First League	First League	Chelyabinsk2-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 Nov 2025First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0Chelyabinsk

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Chelyabinsk sit 12th with 15 points from 15 games, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th with 23 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	15	13	1	1	44:15	+29	40
2	FC Sochi	15	10	2	3	26:15	+11	32
3	Torpedo Moskva	15	8	4	3	27:12	+15	28
4	Ural	15	8	4	3	25:11	+14	28
5	Spartak Kostroma	15	8	3	4	21:15	+6	27
6	Veles	16	8	3	5	20:19	+1	27
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	15	5	8	2	20:15	+5	23
8	FC UFA	15	5	6	4	18:15	+3	21
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	16	6	3	7	21:22	-1	21
10	Rotor Volgograd	15	5	4	6	23:18	+5	19
11	Arsenal Tula	15	5	4	6	19:29	-10	19
12	Chelyabinsk	15	4	3	8	19:26	-7	15
13	Enisey	15	3	5	7	16:30	-14	14
14	Leningradets	15	3	5	7	12:26	-14	14
15	KAMAZ	15	3	4	8	19:27	-8	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	15	4	1	10	11:22	-11	13
17	Ska-khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	18:28	-10	10
18	Tekstilshchik	15	2	4	9	11:25	-14	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.32X30%3.10229%3.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 2.32 -10.1%X3.10 → 3.10 0.0%22.93 → 3.19 +8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.33	1.62	4.6%
Pinnacle	2.30	1.61	5.6%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.58	7.3%
Best of all books	2.33	1.62	4.6%
Average	2.30	1.60	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Average	1.90	1.79	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelyabinsk 10%Draw 45%Shinnik Yaroslavl 45%

The statistical model rates Chelyabinsk at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Shinnik Yaroslavl at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.10 | 3.19, which imply roughly 32.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Chelyabinsk are 12th (15 pts, 19-26 goals), Shinnik Yaroslavl 7th (23 pts, 20-15).

Over their last five matches, Chelyabinsk averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	3.10	3.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.56	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
3.04	1.95	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.25	3.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.70	15.1	41.0
HT X	5.20	4.10	6.80
HT 2	35.0	15.5	5.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	7.30	2.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.37
1.5	1.39	2.78
2.5	2.30	1.60
3.5	4.21	1.19
4.5	8.77	1.02
5.5	11.6	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.71
1	1.08	6.02
1.25	1.23	3.55
1.75	1.50	2.44
2	1.68	2.09
2.25	1.99	1.78
2.75	2.67	1.43
3	3.37	1.27
3.25	3.80	1.21
3.75	5.36	1.11
4	7.90	1.04
4.25	8.38	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.80	1.39
-0.5	2.36	1.59
-0.25	1.97	1.79
0	1.64	2.23
+0.25	1.43	2.67
+0.5	1.34	3.21

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	6.46	1.06
-1.5	4.81	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.18
-1	3.90	1.22
+0.75	1.21	4.02
+1	1.10	6.00
+1.25	1.05	6.81
+1.5	1.04	7.37

Next First League matches

30 Oct	Veles – Spartak Kostroma
30 Oct	Nizhny Novgorod – Arsenal Tula
31 Oct	Leningradets – Enisey
31 Oct	FK Neftekhimik – Ska-khabarovsk
31 Oct	Volga Ulyanovsk – Tekstilshchik
1 Nov	Rotor Volgograd – FC UFA

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

26 Oct	Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-1 Spartak Kostroma
25 Oct	FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Leningradets
25 Oct	Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 Veles
25 Oct	Chelyabinsk 1-3 Ural
24 Oct	Arsenal Tula 4-3 KAMAZ
24 Oct	Tekstilshchik 1-3 FC Sochi