Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ• First League, Russia

#111.2:2.414:00Tomorrow · Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula1.4:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.041XBX3.69PIN23.56PINMargin at best4.2%Books4Markets46Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.04	3.62	3.54	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.96	3.69	3.56	6.2%
Dafabet	1.96	3.50	3.55	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.50	3.42	8.6%
Best of all books	2.04	3.69	3.56	4.2%
Average	1.98	3.58	3.52	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal TulaKAMAZ

Last 10#11Table position#141.14Points per game0.936Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 51.446Attack rating5437Defence rating6333Form rating6762H2H rating3857Goals model4349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Arsenal Tula

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	FC UFA	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Spartak Kostroma	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	2-0	W
16 Sep	A	Enisey	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	2-2	D
8 Sep	A	Tekstilshchik	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Ural	2-2	D
24 Aug	A	Veles	0-2	L

KAMAZ

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	FK Neftekhimik	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Ska-khabarovsk	3-3	D
18 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Chelyabinsk	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Dinamo Kirov	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Ural	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Leningradets	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	FC Sochi	2-3	L
19 Aug	H	Tekstilshchik	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Enisey	2-2	D

Head to head

3Arsenal Tula wins

3draws

2KAMAZ wins

8 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Arsenal Tula

27 Feb 2026First League	First League	KAMAZ1-1Arsenal Tula
19 Jul 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tula1-1KAMAZ
1 Mar 2025First League	First League	KAMAZ2-1Arsenal Tula
20 Jul 2024First League	First League	Arsenal Tula1-0KAMAZ
25 Nov 2023First League	First League	Arsenal Tula2-0KAMAZ
21 Aug 2023First League	First League	KAMAZ0-0Arsenal Tula
27 May 2023First League	First League	Arsenal Tula0-1KAMAZ
6 Nov 2022First League	First League	KAMAZ0-1Arsenal Tula

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Arsenal Tula sit 11th with 16 points from 14 games, while KAMAZ are 14th with 13 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43:15	+28	37
2	FC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23:14	+9	29
3	Torpedo Moskva	14	8	3	3	26:11	+15	27
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	20:18	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22:10	+12	25
7	FC UFA	14	5	6	3	18:14	+4	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18:14	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22:17	+5	18
10	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20:22	-2	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15:26	-11	16
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18:23	-5	15
13	Enisey	14	3	5	6	16:27	-11	14
14	KAMAZ	14	3	4	7	16:23	-7	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11:25	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	10:21	-11	12
17	Tekstilshchik	14	2	4	8	10:22	-12	10
18	Ska-khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15:28	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.99X26%3.60227%3.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 1.99 -4.8%X3.44 → 3.60 +4.7%23.38 → 3.51 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.78	5.7%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Best of all books	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Average	2.02	1.78	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.81	1.90	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.87	8.7%
Best of all books	1.81	1.90	7.9%
Average	1.81	1.89	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tula 35%Draw 35%KAMAZ 30%

The statistical model rates Arsenal Tula at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and KAMAZ at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.60 | 3.51, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Arsenal Tula win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tula are 11th (16 pts, 15-26 goals), KAMAZ 14th (13 pts, 16-23).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tula averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; KAMAZ averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.58	3.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.76	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.15	4.15

2nd half

1	X	2
2.38	2.40	3.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.99	15.0	38.0
HT X	5.00	5.25	7.90
HT 2	27.0	15.1	5.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	9.30	2.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.4
1.5	1.31	3.15
2.5	2.02	1.78
3.5	3.51	1.26
4.5	6.83	1.06
5.5	11.6	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.68
1	1.04	7.98
1.25	1.17	4.30
1.75	1.39	2.75
2	1.51	2.42
2.25	1.76	1.99
2.75	2.31	1.58
3	2.84	1.38
3.25	3.14	1.31
3.75	4.39	1.15
4	6.13	1.08
4.25	6.46	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.92	1.36
-0.75	2.26	1.58
-0.5	1.96	1.85
-0.25	1.71	2.06
0	1.48	2.59
+0.25	1.35	2.96

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.27	1.03
-2.25	7.75	1.03
-2	7.39	1.05
-1.75	4.86	1.13
-1.5	3.77	1.23
-1.25	3.32	1.29
+0.5	1.29	3.51
+0.75	1.18	4.26
+1	1.07	6.65
+1.25	1.05	7.17
+1.5	1.04	7.65

Next First League matches

23 Oct	Torpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 Oct	FC UFA – Nizhny Novgorod
24 Oct	Tekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 Oct	Shinnik Yaroslavl – Spartak Kostroma
25 Oct	Chelyabinsk – Ural

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Veles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
18 Oct	Tekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 Oct	Ural 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 Oct	Spartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 Oct	KAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik