Chelyabinsk vs Ural• First League, Russia

#121.8:1.410:0025/10 · Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk1.2:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.301XBX3.621XB21.861XBMargin at best4.6%Books4Markets48Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.30	3.62	1.86	4.6%
Pinnacle	4.29	3.59	1.81	6.4%
Marathonbet	4.15	3.50	1.79	8.5%
Dafabet	3.75	3.55	1.82	9.8%
Best of all books	4.30	3.62	1.86	4.6%
Average	4.12	3.57	1.82	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChelyabinskUral

Last 10#12Table position#61.07Points per game1.797Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.260Attack rating4046Defence rating5453Form rating479H2H rating9122Goals model7835Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 18:01 UTC

Chelyabinsk

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Tekstilshchik	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	FK Neftekhimik	4-2	W
26 Sep	H	Enisey	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	FC UFA	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	KAMAZ	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Dinamo Barnaul	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Spartak Kostroma	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	FC Sochi	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Leningradets	1-1	D

Ural

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Nizhny Novgorod	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Veles	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Spartak Kostroma	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Luki-Energiya	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	KAMAZ	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Arsenal Tula	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Rotor Volgograd	1-1	D

Head to head

0Chelyabinsk wins

1draws

3Ural wins

4 meetings · goals 2:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Chelyabinsk

4 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Ural1-1Chelyabinsk
20 Jun 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Ural3-0Chelyabinsk
26 Apr 2026First League	First League	Chelyabinsk1-2Ural
5 Nov 2025First League	First League	Ural1-0Chelyabinsk

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Chelyabinsk sit 12th with 15 points from 14 games, while Ural are 6th with 25 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43:15	+28	37
2	FC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23:14	+9	29
3	Torpedo Moskva	14	8	3	3	26:11	+15	27
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	20:18	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22:10	+12	25
7	FC UFA	14	5	6	3	18:14	+4	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18:14	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22:17	+5	18
10	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20:22	-2	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15:26	-11	16
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18:23	-5	15
13	Enisey	14	3	5	6	16:27	-11	14
14	KAMAZ	14	3	4	7	16:23	-7	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11:25	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	10:21	-11	12
17	Tekstilshchik	14	2	4	8	10:22	-12	10
18	Ska-khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15:28	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.12X26%3.57251%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.84	5.6%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Best of all books	2.04	1.84	3.4%
Average	1.99	1.80	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelyabinsk 10%Draw 45%Ural 45%

The statistical model rates Chelyabinsk at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ural at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.12 | 3.57 | 1.82, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Chelyabinsk are 12th (15 pts, 18-23 goals), Ural 6th (25 pts, 22-10).

Over their last five matches, Chelyabinsk averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ural averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ural.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.12	3.57	1.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.92	1.20	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
4.77	2.14	2.38

2nd half

1	X	2
4.25	2.43	2.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.10	16.0	27.0
HT X	9.10	5.10	4.55
HT 2	43.0	15.5	2.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.70	8.80	1.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.2
1.5	1.30	3.23
2.5	1.99	1.80
3.5	3.44	1.27
4.5	6.67	1.07
5.5	11.6	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	8.27
1	1.04	7.58
1.25	1.17	4.25
1.75	1.40	2.74
2	1.49	2.48
2.25	1.74	2.03
2.75	2.25	1.59
3	2.74	1.41
3.25	3.13	1.30
3.75	4.30	1.17
4	6.03	1.09
4.25	6.36	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.15	1.33
+0.25	2.30	1.56
+0.5	2.00	1.81
+0.75	1.73	2.05
+1	1.49	2.53
+1.25	1.37	2.89

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.03
-1.25	8.68	1.02
-1	8.53	1.03
-0.75	5.20	1.11
-0.5	4.21	1.21
-0.25	3.55	1.25
+1.5	1.29	3.25
+1.75	1.18	4.12
+2	1.08	5.97
+2.25	1.07	6.38
+2.5	1.05	6.81
+2.75	1.01	10.2

Next First League matches

23 Oct	Torpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 Oct	FC UFA – Nizhny Novgorod
24 Oct	Tekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 Oct	Arsenal Tula – KAMAZ
24 Oct	Shinnik Yaroslavl – Spartak Kostroma

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Veles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
18 Oct	Tekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 Oct	Ural 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 Oct	Spartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 Oct	KAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik