Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma• First League, Russia

#80.8:0.615:00Tomorrow · Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl1.4:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.641XBX3.001XB22.981XBMargin at best4.8%Books4Markets39Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.64	3.00	2.98	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.62	2.94	2.96	6.0%
Marathonbet	2.55	2.89	2.88	8.5%
Dafabet	2.38	3.00	2.73	12.0%
Best of all books	2.64	3.00	2.98	4.8%
Average	2.55	2.96	2.89	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma

Last 10#8Table position#41.43Points per game1.935Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6463Defence rating3840Form rating6050H2H rating5046Goals model5448Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 21:01 UTC

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3W 5D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Veles	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	KAMAZ	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Ural	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Rotor Volgograd	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Enisey	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	3-1	W

Spartak Kostroma

7W 0D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Leningradets	2-0	W
13 Oct	H	Chelyabinsk	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Arsenal Tula	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Ural	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Ryazan	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Chelyabinsk	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Rotor Volgograd	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	Torpedo Moskva	0-3	L

Head to head

0Shinnik Yaroslavl wins

2draws

0Spartak Kostroma wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Shinnik Yaroslavl

22 Mar 2026First League	First League	Spartak Kostroma1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
25 Oct 2025First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2Spartak Kostroma

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 8th with 20 points from 14 games, while Spartak Kostroma are 4th with 27 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	14	12	1	1	43:15	+28	37
2	FC Sochi	14	9	2	3	23:14	+9	29
3	Torpedo Moskva	14	8	3	3	26:11	+15	27
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	20:18	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	22:10	+12	25
7	FC UFA	14	5	6	3	18:14	+4	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	18:14	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	14	5	3	6	22:17	+5	18
10	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	20:22	-2	18
11	Arsenal Tula	14	4	4	6	15:26	-11	16
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	18:23	-5	15
13	Enisey	14	3	5	6	16:27	-11	14
14	KAMAZ	14	3	4	7	16:23	-7	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	11:25	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	10:21	-11	12
17	Tekstilshchik	14	2	4	8	10:22	-12	10
18	Ska-khabarovsk	14	1	4	9	15:28	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.55X31%2.96232%2.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.69 → 2.55 -5.2%X2.95 → 2.96 +0.3%22.73 → 2.89 +5.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.49	1.55	4.7%
Pinnacle	2.48	1.52	6.1%
Marathonbet	2.43	1.51	7.4%
Best of all books	2.49	1.55	4.7%
Average	2.47	1.53	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.71	8.7%
Best of all books	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Average	1.99	1.72	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shinnik Yaroslavl 10%Draw 45%Spartak Kostroma 45%

The statistical model rates Shinnik Yaroslavl at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Spartak Kostroma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 2.96 | 2.89, which imply roughly 33.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Shinnik Yaroslavl are 8th (20 pts, 18-14 goals), Spartak Kostroma 4th (27 pts, 20-13).

Over their last five matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Spartak Kostroma averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spartak Kostroma and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.55	2.96	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.46	1.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
3.36	1.88	3.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.92	2.17	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.20	15.5	41.0
HT X	5.60	3.84	6.20
HT 2	41.0	15.5	4.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	6.70	2.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.76
1.5	1.45	2.57
2.5	2.47	1.53
3.5	4.68	1.15
4.5	10.3	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	6.06
1	1.11	5.36
1.25	1.27	3.24
1.75	1.58	2.24
2	1.81	1.92
2.25	2.13	1.67
2.75	2.90	1.36
3	3.85	1.21
3.25	4.25	1.17
3.75	6.01	1.08
4	9.48	1.02
4.25	8.48	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.14	1.31
-0.5	2.60	1.48
-0.25	2.15	1.65
0	1.81	1.98
+0.25	1.52	2.44
+0.5	1.39	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.75	1.04
-1.5	5.65	1.09
-1.25	5.15	1.12
-1	4.65	1.16
+0.75	1.25	3.62
+1	1.11	5.57
+1.25	1.08	6.13
+1.5	1.06	6.66

Next First League matches

23 Oct	Torpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 Oct	FC UFA – Nizhny Novgorod
24 Oct	Tekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 Oct	Arsenal Tula – KAMAZ
25 Oct	Chelyabinsk – Ural

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Veles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
18 Oct	Tekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 Oct	Ural 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 Oct	Ska-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 Oct	Spartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 Oct	KAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik