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Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl• First League, Russia

#51.2:1.41-1FT18/10 · Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo), Domodedovo1.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.411XBX3.141XB23.26PINMargin at best4.0%Books3Markets70Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.433.023.314.5%
1xBet2.413.143.204.6%
Marathonbet2.323.023.088.7%
Best of all books2.433.143.313.2%
Average2.393.063.205.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
Last 10#5Table position#81.80Points per game1.434Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4536Defence rating6445Form rating5564H2H rating3650Goals model5051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Veles

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

10 OctAUral2-1W
4 OctHVolga Ulyanovsk1-2L
17 SepATorpedo Moskva1-1D
14 SepHFC Sochi1-2L
9 SepAMurom0-1L
5 SepAFC UFA1-1D
29 AugATekstilshchik1-0W
24 AugHArsenal Tula2-0W
19 AugHNizhny Novgorod3-2W
15 AugASka-khabarovsk0-2L

Shinnik Yaroslavl

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

14 OctANizhny Novgorod0-4L
10 OctHTekstilshchik2-0W
27 SepHSka-khabarovsk0-0D
18 SepHKAMAZ0-1L
14 SepHUral1-1D
10 SepHTorpedo Moskva2-0W
5 SepHRotor Volgograd2-2D
30 AugAEnisey0-0D
22 AugAVolga Ulyanovsk3-1W
14 AugAFK Neftekhimik2-0W

Head to head

2Veles wins
1draws
1Shinnik Yaroslavl wins

4 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Veles

29 Apr 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueVeles1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
9 Oct 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueShinnik Yaroslavl2-0Veles
29 Nov 2020First LeagueFirst LeagueVeles4-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
22 Aug 2020First LeagueFirst LeagueShinnik Yaroslavl1-2Veles

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the First League table, Veles sit 5th with 27 points from 15 games, while Shinnik Yaroslavl are 8th with 20 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod14121143:15+2837
2FC Sochi1492323:14+929
3Torpedo Moskva1483326:11+1527
4Spartak Kostroma1483320:13+727
5Veles1583420:18+227
6Ural1474322:10+1225
7FC UFA1456318:14+421
8Shinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420
9Rotor Volgograd1453622:17+518
10Volga Ulyanovsk1553720:22-218
11Arsenal Tula1444615:26-1116
12Chelyabinsk1443718:23-515
13Enisey1435616:27-1114
14KAMAZ1434716:23-713
15Leningradets1434711:25-1413
16FK Neftekhimik14401010:21-1112
17Tekstilshchik1424810:22-1210
18Ska-khabarovsk1414915:28-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.39X31%3.06230%3.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 18:2016 Oct 11:301 2.38X 3.042 3.18
12.32 → 2.38 +2.6%X2.97 → 3.04 +2.4%23.10 → 3.18 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.551.525.0%
1xBet2.431.4410.6%
Marathonbet2.431.4410.6%
Best of all books2.551.525.0%
Average2.471.478.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.081.678.0%
Marathonbet2.081.658.7%
Best of all books2.081.678.0%
Average2.081.668.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Veles 35%Draw 35%Shinnik Yaroslavl 30%

The statistical model rated Veles at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Shinnik Yaroslavl at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.06 | 3.20, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Veles win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the First League table: Veles are 5th (27 pts, 20-18 goals), Shinnik Yaroslavl 8th (20 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, Veles averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Veles or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Veles

Coach: A. Stukalov

Goalkeeper

  • 41S. Samok

Defence

  • 23K. Skvortsov
  • 15K. Pliev
  • 5A. Koloskov

Midfield

  • 22Y. Zavezen
  • 77O. Smirnov
  • 97A. Shubin
  • 11K. Korolkov
  • 90V. Galkin
  • 10M. Bammatgereev

Attack

  • 9K. Giraev
Substitutes (11)
  • 99N. Abdokov
  • 70Matvey Zakharzhevskiy
  • 40A. Bezchasnyuk
  • 17P. Kotov
  • 94D. Kuchugura
  • 76I. Kuptsov
  • 6I. Melikov
  • 7A. Murza
  • 87I. Nikin
  • 88D. Sadov
  • 18D. Sergeev

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Coach: D. Boyarintsev

Goalkeeper

  • 66N. Yanovich

Defence

  • 17E. Valiakhmetov
  • 27A. Cherny
  • 23N. Chistyakov
  • 62V. Karpov

Midfield

  • 24I. Azyavin
  • 50A. Golubev
  • 54I. Shmakov

Attack

  • 10A. Gongapshev
  • 88D. Mironov
  • 15D. Samoylov
Substitutes (9)
  • 13D. Yanov
  • 95D. Vambolt
  • 21D. Pushkarev
  • 7D. Martovoy
  • 33A. Lavrenkov
  • 49M. Karaev
  • 14gleb kalinin
  • 19Y. Arbuzov
  • 77A. Antonov

Match Statistics

VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
10Corner Kicks4
6Shots off Goal2
1Shots on Goal1
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%
0Blocked Shots0
7Total Shots3

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.393.063.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.551.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.081.66

1st half

1X2
3.111.924.00

2nd half

1X2
2.732.163.55

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7215.643.0
HT X5.254.056.70
HT 236.016.05.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.916.502.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.59
1.51.512.54
2.52.471.47
3.54.891.13
4.510.51.04
5.520.01.01
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.81
11.105.15
1.251.303.31
1.751.642.20
21.851.85
2.252.171.61
2.752.921.31
34.001.17
3.254.451.14
3.756.251.06
49.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.791.38
-0.52.421.59
-0.252.001.78
01.662.21
+0.251.432.61
+0.51.343.27
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.601.01
-1.756.551.05
-1.54.901.11
-1.254.521.16
-14.001.20
+0.751.203.97
+11.066.05
+1.251.056.65
+1.51.037.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.33
6.51.183.85
7.51.422.61
8.51.761.97
9.52.231.57
10.52.991.31
11.54.261.14
12.56.511.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.37
61.046.08
6.251.114.68
6.751.193.68
71.223.48
7.251.312.96
7.751.452.48
81.542.32
8.251.632.13
8.751.831.87
91.981.76
9.252.081.67
9.752.381.49
102.641.40
10.252.791.35
10.753.301.25
113.851.18
11.254.041.16
11.754.931.09
126.071.04
12.256.291.04

Next First League matches

23 OctTorpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 OctSka-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 OctFC UFA – Nizhny Novgorod
24 OctTekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 OctArsenal Tula – KAMAZ

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 OctTekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 OctUral 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 OctSka-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 OctSpartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 OctKAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik
17 OctFC UFA 2-0 Arsenal Tula