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FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod• First League, Russia

#71.0:1.011:00Tomorrow · Neftyanik Stadium, Ufa3.2:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.28PINX3.881XB21.681XBMargin at best4.2%Books4Markets48Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet5.183.881.684.6%
Pinnacle5.283.871.616.9%
Dafabet4.703.801.658.2%
Marathonbet5.003.741.628.5%
Best of all books5.283.881.684.2%
Average5.043.821.647.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC UFANizhny Novgorod
Last 10#7Table position#11.50Points per game2.645Form pts · last 5151.0Goals for · last 53.21.0Goals against · last 50.424Attack rating7629Defence rating7125Form rating7550H2H rating5054Goals model4639Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

FC UFA

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

17 OctHArsenal Tula2-0W
11 OctAFC Sochi0-1L
27 SepHTorpedo Moskva0-0D
18 SepAChelyabinsk1-2L
13 SepHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D
9 SepAKaluga0-1L
5 SepHVeles1-1D
28 AugAFK Neftekhimik1-0W
23 AugHEnisey3-1W
17 AugASpartak Kostroma1-1D

Nizhny Novgorod

9W 1D 0L · goals 31:8 · per match 3.1 for, 0.8 against

18 OctAUral2-1W
14 OctHShinnik Yaroslavl4-0W
10 OctHEnisey5-0W
27 SepACSKA Moscow3-1W
17 SepHLeningradets6-0W
13 SepATorpedo Moskva2-1W
9 SepADinamo Stavropol2-1W
5 SepAFC Sochi1-0W
30 AugHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D
24 AugHSka-khabarovsk4-2W

Head to head

1FC UFA wins
2draws
1Nizhny Novgorod wins

4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for FC UFA

21 Jun 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNizhny Novgorod2-1FC UFA
16 Jun 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNizhny Novgorod2-2FC UFA
12 Mar 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC UFA0-0Nizhny Novgorod
14 Aug 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod1-2FC UFA

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, FC UFA sit 7th with 21 points from 14 games, while Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 37 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod14121143:15+2837
2FC Sochi1492323:14+929
3Torpedo Moskva1483326:11+1527
4Spartak Kostroma1483320:13+727
5Veles1583420:18+227
6Ural1474322:10+1225
7FC UFA1456318:14+421
8Shinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420
9Rotor Volgograd1453622:17+518
10Volga Ulyanovsk1553720:22-218
11Arsenal Tula1444615:26-1116
12Chelyabinsk1443718:23-515
13Enisey1435616:27-1114
14KAMAZ1434716:23-713
15Leningradets1434711:25-1413
16FK Neftekhimik14401010:21-1112
17Tekstilshchik1424810:22-1210
18Ska-khabarovsk1414915:28-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%5.04X24%3.82257%1.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0123 Oct 00:001 5.04X 3.822 1.64
14.85 → 5.04 +3.9%X3.66 → 3.82 +4.4%21.70 → 1.64 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.031.804.8%
Pinnacle2.031.795.1%
Marathonbet1.981.767.3%
Best of all books2.031.804.8%
Average2.011.785.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.941.778.0%
Marathonbet1.941.758.7%
Best of all books1.941.778.0%
Average1.941.768.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC UFA 10%Draw 45%Nizhny Novgorod 45%

The statistical model rates FC UFA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nizhny Novgorod at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.04 | 3.82 | 1.64, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: FC UFA are 7th (21 pts, 18-14 goals), Nizhny Novgorod 1st (37 pts, 43-15).

Over their last five matches, FC UFA averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nizhny Novgorod averaged 3.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nizhny Novgorod.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.043.821.64

Double chance

1XX212
2.171.151.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.76

1st half

1X2
5.512.182.18

2nd half

1X2
4.902.491.98

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.8017.025.0
HT X11.05.404.25
HT 246.016.12.39

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.108.401.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.48
1.51.313.14
2.52.011.78
3.53.451.27
4.56.471.07
5.511.6–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.85
11.057.29
1.251.174.15
1.751.392.77
21.512.43
2.251.772.00
2.752.271.58
32.801.39
3.253.091.31
3.754.201.17
45.781.09
4.256.111.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.691.42
+0.52.311.61
+0.751.951.81
+11.672.15
+1.251.492.49
+1.51.382.90
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-19.051.03
-0.756.111.07
-0.254.321.18
03.781.23
+1.751.263.51
+21.144.72
+2.251.125.06
+2.51.105.45
+2.751.057.02

Next First League matches

23 OctTorpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 OctSka-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 OctTekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 OctArsenal Tula – KAMAZ
24 OctShinnik Yaroslavl – Spartak Kostroma
25 OctChelyabinsk – Ural

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 OctVeles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
18 OctTekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 OctUral 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 OctSka-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 OctSpartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 OctKAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik