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Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod• First League, Russia

#51.4:0.810:00Tomorrow · Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg), Yekaterinburg3.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.64PINX3.321XB22.87PINMargin at best2.8%Books3Markets74Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.583.302.804.8%
Pinnacle2.693.002.914.9%
Marathonbet2.473.182.738.6%
Best of all books2.693.302.911.8%
Average2.583.162.816.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UralNizhny Novgorod
Last 10#5Table position#11.92Points per game2.627Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 53.20.8Goals against · last 50.630Attack rating7043Defence rating5743Form rating5715H2H rating8563Goals model3739Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Ural

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

10 OctHVeles1-2L
26 SepASpartak Kostroma2-1W
18 SepAFK Neftekhimik1-0W
14 SepAShinnik Yaroslavl1-1D
10 SepALuki-Energiya1-2L
6 SepHKAMAZ2-0W
29 AugAArsenal Tula2-2D
22 AugHTekstilshchik2-0W
14 AugARotor Volgograd1-1D
8 AugHFC UFA3-0W

Nizhny Novgorod

8W 1D 1L · goals 31:10 · per match 3.1 for, 1.0 against

14 OctHShinnik Yaroslavl4-0W
10 OctHEnisey5-0W
27 SepACSKA Moscow3-1W
17 SepHLeningradets6-0W
13 SepATorpedo Moskva2-1W
9 SepADinamo Stavropol2-1W
5 SepAFC Sochi1-0W
30 AugHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D
24 AugHSka-khabarovsk4-2W
19 AugAVeles2-3L

Head to head

0Ural wins
3draws
3Nizhny Novgorod wins

6 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 6: 0W 3D 3L for Ural

2 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod1-0Ural
29 Jul 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUral0-0Nizhny Novgorod
7 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod0-0Ural
20 Aug 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUral0-1Nizhny Novgorod
26 Feb 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNizhny Novgorod1-0Ural
1 Aug 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUral1-1Nizhny Novgorod

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 16:50 UTC

In the First League table, Ural sit 5th with 25 points from 13 games, while Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 34 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod13111141:14+2734
2FC Sochi1492323:14+929
3Torpedo Moskva1483326:11+1527
4Veles1482419:17+226
5Ural1374221:8+1325
6Spartak Kostroma1373318:13+524
7FC UFA1456318:14+421
8Shinnik Yaroslavl1347217:13+419
9Rotor Volgograd1453622:17+518
10Arsenal Tula1444615:26-1116
11Volga Ulyanovsk1443718:21-315
12Chelyabinsk1343617:21-415
13Enisey1435616:27-1114
14Leningradets1334611:23-1213
15FK Neftekhimik134099:19-1012
16KAMAZ1324714:22-810
17Ska-khabarovsk1314814:26-127
18Tekstilshchik131488:21-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.57X30%3.17234%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 18:4016 Oct 11:301 2.57X 3.172 2.78
12.46 → 2.57 +4.5%X3.12 → 3.17 +1.6%22.75 → 2.78 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.171.704.9%
Pinnacle2.191.685.2%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
Best of all books2.191.704.5%
Average2.161.685.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.841.868.1%
Marathonbet1.841.848.7%
Best of all books1.841.868.1%
Average1.841.858.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ural 10%Draw 45%Nizhny Novgorod 45%

The statistical model rates Ural at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nizhny Novgorod at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.57 | 3.17 | 2.78, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Ural are 5th (25 pts, 21-8 goals), Nizhny Novgorod 1st (34 pts, 41-14).

Over their last five matches, Ural averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nizhny Novgorod averaged 3.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nizhny Novgorod.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.583.162.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.491.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.85

1st half

1X2
3.162.043.47

2nd half

1X2
2.812.313.11

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.0114.532.5
HT X5.784.606.23
HT 231.014.54.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.997.502.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.037.50
1.51.342.93
2.52.161.68
3.53.741.22
4.57.101.04
5.514.01.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.95
11.066.35
1.251.193.74
1.751.432.58
21.582.21
2.251.881.88
2.752.441.48
32.991.30
3.253.341.24
3.754.641.12
46.451.05
4.256.751.04
510.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.031.32
-0.52.671.48
-0.252.161.66
01.821.98
+0.251.542.31
+0.51.422.89
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.01
-29.601.01
-1.756.451.05
-1.54.931.11
-1.254.531.13
-14.331.17
+0.751.273.32
+11.144.83
+1.251.105.10
+1.51.085.53
+1.751.037.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.15
7.51.253.32
8.51.502.39
9.51.851.86
10.52.351.51
11.53.161.27
12.54.521.13
13.57.061.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.96
71.104.72
7.251.183.84
7.751.283.12
81.312.95
8.251.412.60
8.751.572.23
91.652.13
9.251.761.96
9.751.971.74
102.121.66
10.252.241.56
10.752.571.42
112.871.33
11.253.021.30
11.753.591.20
124.211.14
12.254.391.13
12.755.371.07
136.621.03
13.256.841.02