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FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula• First League, Russia

#70.8:1.22-0FT17/10 · Neftyanik Stadium, Ufa1.6:2.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.92PINX3.321XB22.501XBMargin at best4.4%Books3Markets71Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.973.222.524.4%
1xBet2.893.322.504.7%
Marathonbet2.793.202.418.6%
Best of all books2.973.322.523.5%
Average2.883.252.485.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC UFAArsenal Tula
Last 10#7Table position#111.50Points per game1.145Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.433Attack rating6767Defence rating3338Form rating6315H2H rating8590Goals model1047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

FC UFA

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

17 OctHArsenal Tula2-0W
11 OctAFC Sochi0-1L
27 SepHTorpedo Moskva0-0D
18 SepAChelyabinsk1-2L
13 SepHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D
9 SepAKaluga0-1L
5 SepHVeles1-1D
28 AugAFK Neftekhimik1-0W
23 AugHEnisey3-1W
17 AugASpartak Kostroma1-1D

Arsenal Tula

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

17 OctAFC UFA0-2L
9 OctHSpartak Kostroma3-2W
4 OctACSKA Moscow1-3L
26 SepALokomotiv2-0W
16 SepAEnisey1-3L
13 SepHSka-khabarovsk2-2D
8 SepATekstilshchik0-1L
5 SepAVolga Ulyanovsk0-3L
29 AugHUral2-2D
24 AugAVeles0-2L

Head to head

6FC UFA wins
5draws
7Arsenal Tula wins

18 meetings · goals 19:20 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for FC UFA

16 Nov 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueFC UFA1-2Arsenal Tula
20 Sep 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tula2-2FC UFA
18 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueFC UFA1-2Arsenal Tula
29 Sep 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tula0-0FC UFA
26 Mar 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tula2-1FC UFA
2 Sep 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueFC UFA0-2Arsenal Tula
14 May 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC UFA2-1Arsenal Tula
6 Nov 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal Tula0-0FC UFA
16 May 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC UFA2-1Arsenal Tula
14 Aug 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal Tula2-3FC UFA

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the First League table, FC UFA sit 7th with 21 points from 14 games, while Arsenal Tula are 11th with 16 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod14121143:15+2837
2FC Sochi1492323:14+929
3Torpedo Moskva1483326:11+1527
4Spartak Kostroma1483320:13+727
5Veles1583420:18+227
6Ural1474322:10+1225
7FC UFA1456318:14+421
8Shinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420
9Rotor Volgograd1453622:17+518
10Volga Ulyanovsk1553720:22-218
11Arsenal Tula1444615:26-1116
12Chelyabinsk1443718:23-515
13Enisey1435616:27-1114
14KAMAZ1434716:23-713
15Leningradets1434711:25-1413
16FK Neftekhimik14401010:21-1112
17Tekstilshchik1424810:22-1210
18Ska-khabarovsk1414915:28-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.88X29%3.25238%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 11:001 2.87X 3.242 2.46
12.65 → 2.87 +8.3%X3.11 → 3.24 +4.2%22.57 → 2.46 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.131.734.8%
1xBet2.161.714.8%
Marathonbet2.111.677.3%
Best of all books2.161.734.1%
Average2.131.705.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.878.1%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Best of all books1.831.878.1%
Average1.831.868.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC UFA 10%Draw 45%Arsenal Tula 45%

The statistical model rated FC UFA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Tula at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.48, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: FC UFA are 7th (21 pts, 18-14 goals), Arsenal Tula 11th (16 pts, 15-26).

Over their last five matches, FC UFA averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Arsenal Tula averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal Tula.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC UFA

Coach: Omari Tetradze

Goalkeeper

  • 31A. Belenov

Defence

  • 2V. Cherov
  • 99A. Evdokimov
  • 43A. Gilyazetdinov
  • 5D. Kutin

Midfield

  • 11M. Yakuev
  • 6Z. Tarba
  • 8S. Isaev
  • 9D. Lipovoy

Attack

  • 88M. Ageyan
  • 70D. Ortíz
Substitutes (12)
  • 23D. Akhatov
  • 7A. Davlitgereev
  • 10G. Gongadze
  • 15A. Khabalov
  • 69I. Khanenko
  • 1T. Kraykov
  • 19E. Mayorov
  • 17D. Ozmanov
  • 97A. Polesovshchikov
  • 20T. Shipunov
  • 79K. Troyanov
  • 22Z. Yusupov

Arsenal Tula

Coach: D. Alenichev

Goalkeeper

  • 42A. Melikhov

Defence

  • 24K. Gotsuk
  • 4D. Penchikov

Midfield

  • 25A. Biryukov
  • 14M. Brnović
  • 35I. Enin
  • 77D. Plotnikov

Attack

  • 11R. Magomedov
  • 23T. Melekestsev
  • 8D. Shamkin
  • 22G. Uridia
Substitutes (11)
  • 10I. Zhigulev
  • 75T. Zhamaletdinov
  • 18M. Tsulaia
  • 36M. Levashov
  • 5Y. Krashevskiy
  • 45N. Karmaev
  • 17I. Gorbunov
  • 19N. Glushkov
  • 71A. Efremov
  • 9D. Davidyan
  • 82A. Alekhin

Match Statistics

FC UFAArsenal Tula
6Corner Kicks2
0Shots off Goal0
52%Ball Possession48%
1Yellow Cards4
9Shots on Goal0
0Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
9Total Shots0

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.883.252.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.521.401.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.86

1st half

1X2
3.552.043.11

2nd half

1X2
3.162.322.75

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5515.032.0
HT X6.404.605.65
HT 235.014.73.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.138.101.93

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.10
1.51.332.98
2.52.131.70
3.53.821.21
4.57.401.03
5.515.01.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.40
11.046.75
1.251.183.85
1.751.422.61
21.562.25
2.251.861.91
2.752.421.49
32.991.30
3.253.341.24
3.754.701.12
46.701.05
4.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.951.41
-0.252.421.54
02.051.76
+0.251.692.05
+0.51.552.50
+0.751.352.91
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.757.981.02
-1.55.951.07
-1.255.451.08
-15.131.13
-0.753.471.25
+11.194.10
+1.251.144.45
+1.51.114.90
+1.751.066.67
+21.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.60
6.51.134.36
7.51.332.89
8.51.632.13
9.52.051.69
10.52.681.38
11.53.731.19
12.55.441.08
13.56.701.05
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.15
6.251.075.38
6.751.144.19
71.163.96
7.251.253.30
7.751.372.73
81.442.56
8.251.522.31
8.751.712.02
91.831.91
9.251.921.79
9.752.181.60
102.381.51
10.252.511.44
10.752.941.32
113.361.24
11.253.521.21
11.754.251.14
125.111.08
12.255.321.07

Next First League matches

23 OctTorpedo Moskva – Rotor Volgograd
24 OctSka-khabarovsk – Enisey
24 OctFC UFA – Nizhny Novgorod
24 OctTekstilshchik – FC Sochi
24 OctArsenal Tula – KAMAZ
24 OctShinnik Yaroslavl – Spartak Kostroma

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 OctVeles 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
18 OctTekstilshchik 2-1 Chelyabinsk
18 OctUral 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod
18 OctSka-khabarovsk 1-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
17 OctSpartak Kostroma 2-0 Leningradets
17 OctKAMAZ 2-1 FK Neftekhimik