Farense vs 
Penafiel• Segunda Liga, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.45 | 3.80 | 5.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.39 | 3.79 | 6.6% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.28 | 3.82 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.28 | 3.80 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 9.4% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 11.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 11.6% |
| SBO | 1.90 | 2.95 | 3.28 | 17.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.01 | 3.45 | 3.82 | 4.9% |
| Average | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.69 | 9.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC
Farense
6W 2D 2L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against
| 17 Oct | H | AD Marco 09 | 3-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Feirense | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Chaves | 4-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Sacavenense | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | AVS | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Sporting CP B | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Felgueiras 1932 | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | FC Porto B | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | Torreense | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Fulham | 1-2 | L |
Penafiel
5W 2D 3L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Oct | H | Leça | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | AVS | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Deportivo La Coruna | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Oliveirense | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Felgueiras 1932 | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Academica | 4-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | FC Porto B | 3-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Sporting CP B | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Torreense | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Portimonense | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 14:11 · last 9: 4W 4D 1L for Farense
| 7 Mar 2026Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Penafiel1-1Farense |
| 26 Oct 2025Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Farense0-0Penafiel |
| 22 Apr 2023Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Farense2-1Penafiel |
| 5 Nov 2022Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Penafiel0-2Farense |
| 19 Mar 2022Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Penafiel1-3Farense |
| 1 Nov 2021Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Farense2-2Penafiel |
| 12 Jan 2020Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Penafiel3-0Farense |
| 19 Apr 2019Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Farense1-1Penafiel |
| 23 Dec 2018Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Penafiel2-3Farense |
Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the Segunda Liga table, Farense sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games, while Penafiel are 4th with 13 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 1.74 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.72 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.71 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 1.71 | 7.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.74 | 5.1% |
| Average | 2.06 | 1.72 | 6.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.87 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.86 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 1.84 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.85 | 8.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.87 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.85 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Farense at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Penafiel at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.25 | 3.69, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Farense win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Farense are 3rd (14 pts, 13-6 goals), Penafiel 4th (13 pts, 14-7).
Over their last five matches, Farense averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Penafiel averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Farense or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.69 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.77 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.69 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.85 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | 2.06 | 4.31 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.31 | 2.37 | 3.91 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.11 | 14.4 | 40.1 |
| HT X | 4.81 | 4.83 | 8.00 |
| HT 2 | 25.7 | 14.7 | 6.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 8.55 | 2.47 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 8.38 |
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 3.12 |
| 2.5 | 2.06 | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 3.64 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 7.48 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 14.1 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 34.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 4.11 |
| 1.75 | 1.40 | 2.68 |
| 2 | 1.53 | 2.32 |
| 2.25 | 1.79 | 1.93 |
| 2.75 | 2.33 | 1.54 |
| 3 | 2.84 | 1.33 |
| 3.25 | 3.23 | 1.27 |
| 3.75 | 4.52 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.85 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.89 | 1.38 |
| -0.75 | 2.23 | 1.58 |
| -0.5 | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| -0.25 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| 0 | 1.40 | 2.71 |
| +0.25 | 1.30 | 3.21 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -2.25 | 7.40 | 1.05 |
| -2 | 6.93 | 1.06 |
| -1.75 | 4.68 | 1.14 |
| -1.5 | 3.63 | 1.24 |
| -1.25 | 3.26 | 1.29 |
| +0.5 | 1.25 | 3.78 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 4.90 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| +1.25 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.10 | 4.96 |
| 7.5 | 1.27 | 3.30 |
| 8.5 | 1.51 | 2.37 |
| 9.5 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 10.5 | 2.42 | 1.49 |
| 11.5 | 3.27 | 1.27 |
| 12.5 | 4.72 | 1.11 |
| 13.5 | 5.83 | 1.05 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.11 | 4.63 |
| 7 | 1.13 | 4.39 |
| 7.25 | 1.20 | 3.61 |
| 7.75 | 1.31 | 2.96 |
| 8 | 1.35 | 2.79 |
| 8.25 | 1.45 | 2.48 |
| 8.75 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| 9 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| 9.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 9.75 | 2.05 | 1.69 |
| 10 | 2.21 | 1.58 |
| 10.25 | 2.34 | 1.51 |
| 10.75 | 2.71 | 1.38 |
| 11 | 3.05 | 1.29 |
| 11.25 | 3.21 | 1.26 |
| 11.75 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| 12 | 4.54 | 1.12 |
| 12.25 | 4.74 | 1.10 |
| 12.75 | 5.82 | 1.05 |
| 13 | 7.25 | 1.01 |
| 13.25 | 5.63 | 1.06 |
Next Segunda Liga matches
| 23 Oct | Chaves – Vizela |
| 24 Oct | Sporting CP B – Portimonense |
| 24 Oct | Academica – Leixoes |
| 24 Oct | Feirense – Benfica B |
| 25 Oct | AVS – Tondela |
| 25 Oct | Felgueiras 1932 – Lusitânia Lourosa |
Latest Segunda Liga results
| 12 Oct | Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 |
| 11 Oct | União de Leiria 0-2 Academica |
| 11 Oct | Farense 2-1 Feirense |
| 11 Oct | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Chaves |
| 10 Oct | Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B |
| 10 Oct | Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B |