Chaves vs Vizela• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#171.0:1.817:45Today · Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira, Chavez1.2:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60DAFX3.35DAF22.77PINMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets76Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.60	3.26	2.81	4.7%
Dafabet	2.55	3.35	2.80	4.8%
Betano	2.52	3.25	2.75	6.8%
1xBet	2.51	3.20	2.67	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.51	3.20	2.67	8.5%
BetVictor	2.45	3.25	2.63	9.6%
Betfair	2.45	3.30	2.55	10.3%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.70	11.5%
Bet365	2.38	3.20	2.60	11.7%
SBO	2.25	2.97	2.56	17.2%
Best of all books	2.60	3.35	2.81	3.9%
Average	2.47	3.19	2.67	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChavesVizela

Last 10#17Table position#80.71Points per game1.577Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating5531Defence rating6938Form rating6240H2H rating6036Goals model6439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Chaves

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

16 Oct	H	Os Marialvas	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Lusitânia Lourosa	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Farense	0-4	L
25 Sep	H	Vitória SC	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Guarda	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Feirense	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Felgueiras 1932	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	AVS	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Sporting CP B	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Academica	1-4	L

Vizela

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Atlético CP	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Sporting CP B	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Bombarralense	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	FC Porto B	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Felgueiras 1932	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Torreense	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Amarante	0-0	D
16 Aug	A	Portimonense	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	União de Leiria	1-0	W
1 Aug	H	Celta de Vigo II	0-1	L

Head to head

4Chaves wins

5draws

3Vizela wins

12 meetings · goals 14:13 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Chaves

18 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Vizela1-0Chaves
28 Feb 2026Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Vizela3-2Chaves
4 Oct 2025Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Chaves1-0Vizela
5 Apr 2025Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Chaves1-2Vizela
8 Nov 2024Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Vizela0-1Chaves
15 Apr 2024Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Vizela0-1Chaves
1 Dec 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Chaves2-1Vizela
10 Feb 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Vizela0-0Chaves
22 Nov 2022Taça da Liga	Taça da Liga	Vizela2-2Chaves
20 Aug 2022Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Chaves1-1Vizela

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Chaves sit 17th with 5 points from 7 games, while Vizela are 8th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	7	5	2	0	12:5	+7	17
2	Sporting CP B	7	5	0	2	10:6	+4	15
3	Farense	7	4	2	1	13:6	+7	14
4	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14:7	+7	13
5	Benfica B	7	4	1	2	8:5	+3	13
6	Academica	7	4	0	3	10:10	0	12
7	Tondela	7	4	0	3	8:6	+2	12
8	Vizela	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
9	União de Leiria	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
10	Leixoes	7	3	1	3	9:8	+1	10
11	Portimonense	7	3	1	3	6:7	-1	10
12	AVS	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	FC Porto B	7	2	1	4	6:14	-8	7
14	Felgueiras 1932	7	1	3	3	5:7	-2	6
15	Torreense	7	1	3	3	7:10	-3	6
16	Amarante	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
17	Chaves	7	1	2	4	6:14	-8	5
18	Feirense	7	0	1	6	2:10	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.49X29%3.19235%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.53 → 2.49 -1.6%X3.13 → 3.19 +1.9%22.64 → 2.64 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.98	1.85	4.6%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
SBO	1.93	1.83	6.5%
1xBet	1.92	1.81	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.81	7.3%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.98	1.85	4.6%
Average	1.93	1.82	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.04	6.2%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chaves 10%Draw 45%Vizela 45%

The statistical model rates Chaves at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vizela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.19 | 2.64, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Chaves are 17th (5 pts, 6-14 goals), Vizela 8th (11 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Chaves averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Vizela averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vizela.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.19	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.47	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.94

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.10	3.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.80	2.39	2.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.08	13.7	29.0
HT X	5.84	5.00	6.26
HT 2	27.2	13.4	4.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	9.35	2.02

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.15
1.5	1.29	3.33
2.5	1.93	1.82
3.5	3.29	1.29
4.5	6.38	1.09
5.5	12.6	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.20
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.15	4.36
1.75	1.33	2.89
2	1.46	2.53
2.25	1.69	2.05
2.75	2.17	1.62
3	2.61	1.43
3.25	2.90	1.33
3.75	3.93	1.18
4	5.40	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07
5	9.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.01	1.34
-0.5	2.46	1.52
-0.25	2.13	1.65
0	1.81	1.95
+0.25	1.57	2.29
+0.5	1.45	2.67

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-2	9.20	1.02
-1.75	6.53	1.07
-1.5	4.97	1.13
-1.25	4.54	1.15
-1	4.17	1.19
+0.75	1.30	3.27
+1	1.16	4.62
+1.25	1.13	4.97
+1.5	1.11	5.43
+1.75	1.06	7.07
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.76
6.5	1.15	4.06
7.5	1.37	2.79
8.5	1.66	2.10
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.85	1.35
11.5	4.00	1.18
12.5	6.10	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.77
6	1.03	6.47
6.25	1.09	4.93
6.75	1.17	3.87
7	1.20	3.66
7.25	1.28	3.08
7.75	1.42	2.57
8	1.45	2.55
8.25	1.59	2.20
8.75	1.78	1.92
9	1.87	1.89
9.25	2.01	1.71
9.75	2.30	1.53
10	2.40	1.50
10.25	2.67	1.39
10.75	3.15	1.27
11	3.64	1.20
11.25	3.82	1.18
11.75	4.65	1.11
12	5.67	1.06
12.25	5.89	1.05

Next Segunda Liga matches

24 Oct	Sporting CP B – Portimonense
24 Oct	Academica – Leixoes
24 Oct	Feirense – Benfica B
24 Oct	Farense – Penafiel
25 Oct	AVS – Tondela
25 Oct	Felgueiras 1932 – Lusitânia Lourosa

All Segunda Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda Liga results

12 Oct	Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932
11 Oct	União de Leiria 0-2 Academica
11 Oct	Farense 2-1 Feirense
11 Oct	Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Chaves
10 Oct	Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B
10 Oct	Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B