AVS vs 
Tondela• Segunda Liga, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 21:24 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.10 | 5.2% |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.46 | 2.03 | 6.3% |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.12 | 6.5% |
| 1xBet | 3.48 | 3.28 | 2.05 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.46 | 3.28 | 2.03 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 9.4% |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 11.3% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.91 | 14.0% |
| SBO | 3.07 | 2.98 | 1.97 | 16.9% |
| Best of all books | 3.55 | 3.46 | 2.12 | 4.2% |
| Average | 3.40 | 3.24 | 2.03 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC
AVS
4W 4D 2L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against
| 17 Oct | H | Moreirense | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Penafiel | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Sintrense | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Farense | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Sep | A | Lusitânia Lourosa | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Feirense | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Chaves | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | Felgueiras 1932 | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | Sporting CP B | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Trofense | 1-1 | D |
Tondela
6W 0D 4L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against
| 18 Oct | H | Alverca | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Torreense | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Imortal Albufeira | 5-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Portimonense | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | FC Porto B | 3-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | União de Leiria | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Academica | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Leixoes | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Amarante | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Rio Ave | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for AVS
| 21 Mar 2026Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Tondela0-0AVS |
| 2 Nov 2025Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | AVS2-2Tondela |
| 19 May 2024Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | AVS0-1Tondela |
| 14 Jan 2024Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Tondela3-2AVS |
Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the Segunda Liga table, AVS sit 12th with 9 points from 7 games, while Tondela are 7th with 12 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 1.79 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 1.73 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 1.73 | 7.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.79 | 3.5% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.74 | 6.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 1.90 | 7.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 1.87 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.90 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.87 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates AVS at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tondela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.24 | 2.02, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda Liga table: AVS are 12th (9 pts, 8-7 goals), Tondela 7th (12 pts, 8-6).
Over their last five matches, AVS averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tondela averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tondela and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 3.24 | 2.03 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 1.27 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.47 | 1.51 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.07 | 2.06 | 2.66 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.69 | 2.35 | 2.43 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.90 | 14.6 | 27.4 |
| HT X | 7.43 | 4.76 | 5.00 |
| HT 2 | 37.1 | 14.5 | 3.28 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | 8.40 | 1.77 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.44 |
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 3.12 |
| 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 3.57 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 7.14 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 14.3 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 34.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 4.11 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| 2 | 1.52 | 2.35 |
| 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.95 |
| 2.75 | 2.29 | 1.55 |
| 3 | 2.80 | 1.37 |
| 3.25 | 3.10 | 1.29 |
| 3.75 | 4.31 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| 4.25 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.94 | 1.35 |
| 0 | 2.51 | 1.48 |
| +0.25 | 1.98 | 1.76 |
| +0.5 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| +0.75 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| +1 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.98 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 7.40 | 1.05 |
| -1.25 | 6.88 | 1.06 |
| -1 | 6.70 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 4.42 | 1.17 |
| -0.5 | 3.48 | 1.30 |
| +1.25 | 1.26 | 3.46 |
| +1.5 | 1.21 | 3.91 |
| +1.75 | 1.12 | 5.11 |
| +2 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| +2.25 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.20 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.02 | 6.87 |
| 6.5 | 1.16 | 3.99 |
| 7.5 | 1.37 | 2.82 |
| 8.5 | 1.68 | 2.08 |
| 9.5 | 2.12 | 1.65 |
| 10.5 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
| 11.5 | 4.01 | 1.19 |
| 12.5 | 6.29 | 1.04 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 1.03 | 6.57 |
| 6 | 1.04 | 6.28 |
| 6.25 | 1.10 | 4.81 |
| 6.75 | 1.18 | 3.78 |
| 7 | 1.21 | 3.56 |
| 7.25 | 1.30 | 3.02 |
| 7.75 | 1.44 | 2.53 |
| 8 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
| 8.25 | 1.61 | 2.16 |
| 8.75 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 9 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| 9.25 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| 9.75 | 2.33 | 1.51 |
| 10 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 10.25 | 2.73 | 1.37 |
| 10.75 | 3.22 | 1.26 |
| 11 | 3.74 | 1.19 |
| 11.25 | 3.92 | 1.17 |
| 11.75 | 4.78 | 1.10 |
| 12 | 5.86 | 1.05 |
| 12.25 | 6.08 | 1.04 |
Next Segunda Liga matches
| 23 Oct | Chaves – Vizela |
| 24 Oct | Sporting CP B – Portimonense |
| 24 Oct | Academica – Leixoes |
| 24 Oct | Feirense – Benfica B |
| 24 Oct | Farense – Penafiel |
| 25 Oct | Felgueiras 1932 – Lusitânia Lourosa |
Latest Segunda Liga results
| 12 Oct | Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 |
| 11 Oct | União de Leiria 0-2 Academica |
| 11 Oct | Farense 2-1 Feirense |
| 11 Oct | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Chaves |
| 10 Oct | Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B |
| 10 Oct | Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B |