União de Leiria vs Academica• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#72.0:1.217:00Tomorrow · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria0.8:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.50BFR24.00PINMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets75Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.98	3.50	3.85	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.93	3.37	4.04	6.2%
Betano	1.98	3.45	3.65	6.9%
1xBet	1.88	3.40	3.94	8.0%
Bet365	1.90	3.40	3.80	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.86	3.40	3.92	8.7%
Betfair	1.85	3.50	3.70	9.7%
BetVictor	1.87	3.40	3.70	9.9%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.75	11.3%
SBO	1.84	3.07	3.35	16.8%
Best of all books	1.98	3.50	4.04	3.8%
Average	1.90	3.36	3.77	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

União de LeiriaAcademica

Last 10#7Table position#91.67Points per game1.5013Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.871Attack rating2960Defence rating4063Form rating3850H2H rating5058Goals model4260Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

União de Leiria

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

19 Sep	A	O Elvas	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Amarante	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Portimonense	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Tondela	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Leixoes	4-2	W
15 Aug	H	Benfica B	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Vizela	0-1	L
28 Jul	A	Las Palmas	2-3	L
15 Jul	H	AD Marco 09	2-0	W
11 Jul	H	Alverca	0-1	L

Academica

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

18 Sep	A	Real	4-1	W
11 Sep	H	Benfica B	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Penafiel	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Tondela	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	Feirense	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Chaves	4-1	W
1 Aug	A	Caldas	2-2	D
31 Jul	A	União Santarém	0-0	D
25 Jul	A	FC Porto B	3-1	W

Head to head

2União de Leiria wins

4draws

1Academica wins

7 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 7: 2W 4D 1L for União de Leiria

12 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Academica0-0União de Leiria
15 Jan 2023Liga 3	Liga 3	Academica1-3União de Leiria
3 Sep 2022Liga 3	Liga 3	União de Leiria1-1Academica
20 Jan 2012Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Academica0-0União de Leiria
15 Aug 2011Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	União de Leiria1-2Academica
4 Mar 2011Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Academica0-0União de Leiria
1 Oct 2010Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	União de Leiria2-1Academica

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, União de Leiria sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, while Academica are 9th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14:7	+7	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	8:10	-2	9
10	AVS	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7:6	+1	9
12	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1:8	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.90X27%3.36224%3.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 1.90 -0.5%X3.32 → 3.36 +1.2%23.68 → 3.76 +2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.85	1.91	6.4%
SBO	1.83	1.93	6.5%
1xBet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.88	7.2%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.85	1.90	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

União de Leiria 45%Draw 45%Academica 10%

The statistical model rates União de Leiria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Academica at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.36 | 3.76, which imply roughly 52.6% for a União de Leiria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: União de Leiria are 7th (10 pts, 10-7 goals), Academica 9th (9 pts, 8-10).

Over their last five matches, União de Leiria averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Academica averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : União de Leiria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	3.36	3.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.84	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.16	4.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	11.1	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.63
1.5	1.25	3.59
2.5	1.85	1.90
3.5	3.12	1.32
4.5	6.05	1.10
5.5	11.3	1.04
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.12	4.75
1.75	1.29	3.06
2	1.40	2.71
2.25	1.63	2.17
2.75	2.06	1.69
3	2.44	1.48
3.25	2.72	1.39
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08
5	9.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.04	1.33
-1	2.68	1.42
-0.75	2.16	1.62
-0.5	1.90	1.87
-0.25	1.65	2.15
0	1.39	2.84

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.07
-2.25	6.63	1.07
-2	6.20	1.08
-1.75	4.22	1.17
-1.5	3.41	1.27
+0.25	1.29	3.32
+0.5	1.25	3.85
+0.75	1.13	4.90
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.25	1.01	8.48

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.85
7.5	1.27	3.26
8.5	1.53	2.34
9.5	1.88	1.82
10.5	2.44	1.48
11.5	3.32	1.26
12.5	4.84	1.11
13.5	7.28	1.01

19 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.12	4.51
7	1.14	4.28
7.25	1.21	3.52
7.75	1.33	2.90
8	1.37	2.73
8.25	1.47	2.43
8.75	1.64	2.11
9	1.73	1.98
9.25	1.84	1.86
9.75	2.08	1.66
10	2.25	1.56
10.25	2.38	1.49
10.75	2.76	1.36
11	3.12	1.28
11.25	3.28	1.25
11.75	3.94	1.17
12	4.68	1.11
12.25	4.88	1.10
13	7.02	1.02