Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#140.8:1.214:0025/10 · Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras1.8:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50PINX3.05BTN23.09PINMargin at best5.1%Books10Markets72Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 21:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.50	3.15	3.00	5.1%
Pinnacle	2.50	2.96	3.09	6.1%
Betano	2.47	3.05	3.00	6.6%
1xBet	2.49	2.88	3.02	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.47	2.88	2.99	8.7%
BetVictor	2.45	3.00	2.80	9.9%
Betfair	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
William Hill	2.50	2.75	2.80	12.1%
Bet365	2.30	2.90	2.88	12.7%
SBO	2.39	2.77	2.56	17.0%
Best of all books	2.50	3.15	3.09	4.1%
Average	2.45	2.93	2.89	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Felgueiras 1932Lusitânia Lourosa

Last 10#14Table position#10.86Points per game2.436Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.031Attack rating6945Defence rating5527Form rating7360H2H rating4017Goals model8340Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Felgueiras 1932

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	H	Fafe	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Benfica B	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Naval 1893	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Penafiel	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Vizela	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Chaves	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Farense	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	AVS	1-1	D
9 Aug	A	Feirense	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	Moreirense	2-1	W

Lusitânia Lourosa

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Os Limianos	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Chaves	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Madalena	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Sporting CP B	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	AVS	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Academica	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Torreense	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Amarante	1-0	W
10 Aug	H	FC Porto B	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Paredes	2-4	L

Head to head

3Felgueiras 1932 wins

3draws

4Lusitânia Lourosa wins

10 meetings · goals 9:11 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Felgueiras 1932

7 Feb 2026Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Lusitânia Lourosa2-1Felgueiras 1932
30 Aug 2025Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Felgueiras 19323-1Lusitânia Lourosa
28 Apr 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	Felgueiras 19322-0Lusitânia Lourosa
2 Mar 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	Lusitânia Lourosa1-0Felgueiras 1932
5 Nov 2023Liga 3	Liga 3	Felgueiras 19322-1Lusitânia Lourosa
8 Aug 2023Liga 3	Liga 3	Lusitânia Lourosa0-0Felgueiras 1932
12 Feb 2022Liga 3	Liga 3	Felgueiras 19320-0Lusitânia Lourosa
7 Nov 2021Liga 3	Liga 3	Lusitânia Lourosa2-0Felgueiras 1932
26 Jan 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B	Lusitânia Lourosa3-0Felgueiras 1932
26 Aug 2019Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B	Felgueiras 19321-1Lusitânia Lourosa

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Felgueiras 1932 sit 14th with 6 points from 7 games, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1st with 17 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	7	5	2	0	12:5	+7	17
2	Sporting CP B	7	5	0	2	10:6	+4	15
3	Farense	7	4	2	1	13:6	+7	14
4	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14:7	+7	13
5	Benfica B	7	4	1	2	8:5	+3	13
6	Academica	7	4	0	3	10:10	0	12
7	Tondela	7	4	0	3	8:6	+2	12
8	Vizela	7	3	2	2	7:6	+1	11
9	União de Leiria	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
10	Leixoes	7	3	1	3	9:8	+1	10
11	Portimonense	7	3	1	3	6:7	-1	10
12	AVS	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
13	FC Porto B	7	2	1	4	6:14	-8	7
14	Felgueiras 1932	7	1	3	3	5:7	-2	6
15	Torreense	7	1	3	3	7:10	-3	6
16	Amarante	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
17	Chaves	7	1	2	4	6:14	-8	5
18	Feirense	7	0	1	6	2:10	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X31%2.91231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.42	1.55	5.8%
Pinnacle	2.49	1.52	6.0%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.40	1.52	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.52	7.5%
Betfair	2.45	1.50	7.5%
BetVictor	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Best of all books	2.50	1.55	4.5%
Average	2.42	1.52	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.71	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Felgueiras 1932 10%Draw 45%Lusitânia Lourosa 45%

The statistical model rates Felgueiras 1932 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lusitânia Lourosa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 2.91 | 2.90, which imply roughly 34.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Felgueiras 1932 are 14th (6 pts, 5-7 goals), Lusitânia Lourosa 1st (17 pts, 12-5).

Over their last five matches, Felgueiras 1932 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Lusitânia Lourosa averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.44	2.93	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.48	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	1.91	3.70

2nd half

1	X	2
2.82	2.20	3.32

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.10	14.8	39.5
HT X	5.50	4.10	6.32
HT 2	34.1	14.7	4.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	6.65	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.52
1.5	1.45	2.54
2.5	2.42	1.52
3.5	4.60	1.16
4.5	9.36	1.04
5.5	17.8	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.70
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.27	3.21
1.75	1.57	2.22
2	1.80	1.91
2.25	2.09	1.66
2.75	2.81	1.36
3	3.60	1.21
3.25	4.06	1.17
3.75	5.65	1.08
4	8.30	1.02
4.25	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.93	1.35
-0.5	2.42	1.53
-0.25	2.07	1.69
0	1.70	2.06
+0.25	1.48	2.48
+0.5	1.38	2.94

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.80	1.01
-1.75	6.87	1.06
-1.5	5.15	1.12
-1.25	4.72	1.15
-1	4.22	1.19
+0.75	1.23	3.72
+1	1.10	5.67
+1.25	1.08	6.21
+1.5	1.07	6.73
+1.75	1.01	8.78

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.36
7.5	1.32	3.09
8.5	1.60	2.24
9.5	1.98	1.78
10.5	2.61	1.43
11.5	3.60	1.23
12.5	5.60	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	7.06
6.25	1.07	5.32
6.75	1.15	4.14
7	1.17	3.92
7.25	1.25	3.28
7.75	1.37	2.71
8	1.42	2.55
8.25	1.53	2.30
8.75	1.72	2.00
9	1.82	1.88
9.25	1.93	1.78
9.75	2.19	1.59
10	2.39	1.49
10.25	2.53	1.43
10.75	2.96	1.31
11	3.39	1.23
11.25	3.56	1.21
11.75	4.30	1.13
12	5.18	1.08
12.25	5.39	1.07
13	7.18	1.01

Next Segunda Liga matches

23 Oct	Chaves – Vizela
24 Oct	Sporting CP B – Portimonense
24 Oct	Academica – Leixoes
24 Oct	Feirense – Benfica B
24 Oct	Farense – Penafiel
25 Oct	AVS – Tondela

All Segunda Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda Liga results

12 Oct	Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932
11 Oct	União de Leiria 0-2 Academica
11 Oct	Farense 2-1 Feirense
11 Oct	Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Chaves
10 Oct	Vizela 0-2 Sporting CP B
10 Oct	Leixoes 1-2 FC Porto B