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Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay• Premier League, Wales

#150.8:2.419:45Today · Ynys Park, Cwmafan1.2:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.50WHX4.50BFR21.44PINMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets87Rating24 · 77Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet7.004.501.426.9%
Pinnacle5.884.271.449.9%
Betano6.404.101.4210.4%
Bet3656.254.331.4010.5%
1xBet7.254.201.3710.6%
William Hill7.004.001.4010.7%
Marathonbet6.904.201.3611.8%
Betfair6.504.331.3612.0%
SBO6.574.141.3414.0%
BetVictor5.753.601.3320.4%
Best of all books7.254.501.445.5%
Average6.554.171.3811.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TrefelinColwyn Bay
Last 10#15Table position#50.40Points per game1.936Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 50.640Attack rating6020Defence rating8023Form rating770H2H rating10011Goals model8924Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Trefelin

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

30 OctABarry Town0-3L
23 OctHFlint Town United0-2L
17 OctHLlantwit Major4-1W
9 OctACardiff MET3-1W
3 OctAAirbus UK0-3L
26 SepHThe New Saints1-3L
18 SepABriton Ferry1-1D
15 SepHCambrian & Clydach0-4L
11 SepHPenybont0-1L
4 SepAHolywell1-1D

Colwyn Bay

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

30 OctHCambrian & Clydach2-0W
23 OctHCardiff MET2-2D
17 OctABuckley Town2-2D
10 OctAFlint Town United1-0W
3 OctABriton Ferry0-1L
26 SepHHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
18 SepHBarry Town5-2W
15 SepAHolywell5-0W
12 SepHGAP Connah S Quay FC2-1W
5 SepAPenybont0-1L

Head to head

0Trefelin wins
0draws
1Colwyn Bay wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Trefelin

31 Jul 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueColwyn Bay2-0Trefelin

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Trefelin sit 15th with 6 points from 15 games, while Colwyn Bay are 5th with 29 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints15132053:6+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15112232:9+2335
3Penybont14103130:11+1933
4Caernarfon Town1592442:19+2329
5Colwyn Bay1592426:17+929
6Barry Town1591532:26+628
7Airbus UK1590631:22+927
8Cardiff MET1564526:23+322
9Cambrian & Clydach1553723:38-1518
10Llandudno1551922:28-616
11Haverfordwest County AFC1551912:20-816
12Briton Ferry1543816:25-915
13Flint Town United1542919:25-614
14Ammanford AFC15231010:42-329
15Trefelin1513118:36-286
16Holywell14021214:49-352

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg114%6.58X21%4.23265%1.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:006 Nov 14:511 6.58X 4.232 1.38
19.72 → 6.58 -32.3%X5.32 → 4.23 -20.5%21.23 → 1.38 +12.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betano1.752.026.6%
Pinnacle1.791.966.9%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.711.989.0%
BetVictor1.551.8020.1%
Best of all books1.792.054.6%
Average1.711.979.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
Betano1.911.807.9%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.921.778.6%
Marathonbet1.921.759.2%
BetVictor1.701.6519.4%
Best of all books2.101.803.2%
Average1.921.739.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Trefelin 0%Draw 50%Colwyn Bay 50%

The statistical model rates Trefelin at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Colwyn Bay at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.58 | 4.23 | 1.38, which imply roughly 23.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Trefelin are 15th (6 pts, 8-36 goals), Colwyn Bay 5th (29 pts, 26-17).

Over their last five matches, Trefelin averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Colwyn Bay averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Colwyn Bay.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
6.554.171.38

Double chance

1XX212
2.721.061.15

Draw no bet

12
4.831.12

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.73

1st half

1X2
6.432.351.88

2nd half

1X2
6.222.721.71

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 112.418.822.6
HT X14.36.453.99
HT 253.118.21.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.4612.51.35

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.037.96
1.51.203.63
2.51.711.97
3.52.681.36
4.54.661.12
5.57.931.03
6.512.21.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.20
1.251.105.15
1.751.263.28
21.332.88
2.251.502.22
2.751.881.75
32.151.55
3.252.391.42
3.753.291.25
44.351.14
4.254.711.12
4.756.401.05
59.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.821.40
+0.752.391.45
+12.091.61
+1.251.801.87
+1.51.612.11
+1.751.452.39
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.56.801.10
-0.256.101.09
05.531.10
+0.253.551.24
+21.313.07
+2.251.263.38
+2.51.223.71
+2.751.144.67
+31.076.63
+3.251.067.00
+3.51.037.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.47
7.51.233.43
8.51.472.42
9.51.821.90
10.52.301.53
11.53.051.29
12.54.351.13
13.56.621.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.23
71.094.98
7.251.164.01
7.751.253.26
81.293.07
8.251.382.69
8.751.532.30
91.622.14
9.251.712.01
9.751.921.79
102.061.68
10.252.171.60
10.752.481.45
112.761.36
11.252.901.32
11.753.431.23
123.991.16
12.254.171.14
12.755.071.08
136.201.04
13.256.411.03

Next Premier League matches

6 NovCambrian & Clydach – Barry Town
6 NovAmmanford AFC – Briton Ferry
6 NovHaverfordwest County AFC – Cardiff MET
6 NovHolywell – Airbus UK
6 NovLlandudno – The New Saints
6 NovPenybont – Caernarfon Town

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

31 OctThe New Saints 0-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
31 OctCardiff MET 0-5 Penybont
30 OctColwyn Bay 2-0 Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctAmmanford AFC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctBarry Town 3-0 Trefelin
30 OctFlint Town United 5-0 Holywell