The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC• Premier League, Wales

#15.8:0.617:15Today · Park Hall, Oswestry2.0:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X5.40DAF29.051XBMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets84Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 06:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.31	5.40	8.40	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.33	5.04	8.16	7.3%
William Hill	1.29	5.00	9.00	8.6%
Bet365	1.36	4.75	6.50	10.0%
Betano	1.31	4.85	7.50	10.3%
1xBet	1.26	4.95	9.05	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	4.70	7.30	11.9%
Betfair	1.25	5.00	8.00	12.5%
SBO	1.28	4.68	6.66	14.5%
BetVictor	1.22	4.20	7.00	20.1%
Best of all books	1.36	5.40	9.05	3.1%
Average	1.29	4.86	7.76	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

The New SaintsGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10#1Table position#22.86Points per game2.4315Form pts · last 5155.8Goals for · last 52.00.6Goals against · last 50.474Attack rating2640Defence rating6050Form rating5080H2H rating2086Goals model1466Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC

The New Saints

10W 0D 0L · goals 42:6 · per match 4.2 for, 0.6 against

23 Oct	H	Ammanford AFC	9-0	W
16 Oct	A	Airbus UK	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Holywell	6-1	W
3 Oct	H	Cambrian & Clydach	9-0	W
26 Sep	A	Trefelin	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Llandudno	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Flint Town United	5-0	W
11 Sep	A	Airbus UK	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Barry Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Caernarfon Town	3-2	W

GAP Connah S Quay FC

8W 1D 1L · goals 21:6 · per match 2.1 for, 0.6 against

24 Oct	H	Llandudno	2-0	W
16 Oct	H	Porthmadog	4-0	W
9 Oct	A	Briton Ferry	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Penybont	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Barry Town	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	Cardiff MET	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Airbus UK	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Colwyn Bay	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Haverfordwest County AFC	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Flint Town United	2-1	W

Head to head

38The New Saints wins

7draws

10GAP Connah S Quay FC wins

55 meetings · goals 117:44 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for The New Saints

3 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	The New Saints2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
3 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC1-2The New Saints
31 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC3-1The New Saints
10 Sep 2025League Cup	League Cup	GAP Connah S Quay FC1-3The New Saints
22 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	The New Saints3-0GAP Connah S Quay FC
4 May 2025Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	The New Saints2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
31 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	The New Saints2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
30 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	GAP Connah S Quay FC1-2The New Saints
28 Apr 2024Welsh Cup	Welsh Cup	GAP Connah S Quay FC2-1The New Saints
21 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	The New Saints2-0GAP Connah S Quay FC

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 23:50 UTC

In the Premier League table, The New Saints sit 1st with 40 points from 14 games, while GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 34 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	14	13	1	0	53:6	+47	40
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	14	11	1	2	32:9	+23	34
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	+14	30
4	Caernarfon Town	15	9	2	4	42:19	+23	29
5	Colwyn Bay	15	9	2	4	26:17	+9	29
6	Barry Town	15	9	1	5	32:26	+6	28
7	Airbus UK	15	9	0	6	31:22	+9	27
8	Cardiff MET	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
9	Cambrian & Clydach	15	5	3	7	23:38	-15	18
10	Llandudno	15	5	1	9	22:28	-6	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	15	5	1	9	12:20	-8	16
12	Briton Ferry	15	4	3	8	16:25	-9	15
13	Flint Town United	15	4	2	9	19:25	-6	14
14	Ammanford AFC	15	2	3	10	10:42	-32	9
15	Trefelin	15	1	3	11	8:36	-28	6
16	Holywell	14	0	2	12	14:49	-35	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.29X19%4.86212%7.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.32 → 1.29 -2.3%X4.72 → 4.86 +3.0%27.78 → 7.76 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.26	6.7%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.52	2.24	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.17	10.6%
BetVictor	1.45	1.97	19.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.35	5.1%
Average	1.54	2.21	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Average	1.86	1.78	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

The New Saints 45%Draw 45%GAP Connah S Quay FC 10%

The statistical model rates The New Saints at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and GAP Connah S Quay FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.29 | 4.86 | 7.76, which imply roughly 77.5% for a The New Saints win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: The New Saints are 1st (40 pts, 53-6 goals), GAP Connah S Quay FC 2nd (34 pts, 32-9).

Over their last five matches, The New Saints averaged 5.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : The New Saints and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.29	4.86	7.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.21	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	5.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
1.72	2.57	7.05

2nd half

1	X	2
1.58	3.02	6.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.80	19.8	56.8
HT X	3.94	7.63	17.1
HT 2	21.3	20.6	14.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	16.5	3.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.15	4.14
2.5	1.54	2.22
3.5	2.35	1.49
4.5	3.81	1.18
5.5	6.48	1.05
6.5	10.1	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.17	3.92
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.39	2.65
2.75	1.66	1.95
3	1.88	1.77
3.25	2.09	1.57
3.75	2.82	1.35
4	3.39	1.23
4.25	3.71	1.19
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.68	1.05
5.25	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.78	1.38
-2	2.50	1.43
-1.75	2.09	1.60
-1.5	1.87	1.81
-1.25	1.66	2.02
-1	1.45	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.0	1.01
-3.75	6.50	1.07
-3.5	5.73	1.10
-3.25	5.47	1.11
-3	5.10	1.12
-2.75	3.74	1.22
-2.5	3.06	1.31
-0.75	1.37	2.85
-0.5	1.37	3.04
-0.25	1.19	4.07
0	1.08	6.28
+0.25	1.07	6.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.40
7.5	1.33	2.89
8.5	1.59	2.21
9.5	1.96	1.76
10.5	2.54	1.43
11.5	3.71	1.19
12.5	5.54	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.13
7	1.16	3.96
8	1.43	2.55
8.25	1.50	2.28
8.75	1.69	1.98
9	1.83	1.88
9.25	1.94	1.77
9.75	2.19	1.57
10	2.41	1.49
10.25	2.53	1.42
11	3.36	1.24
12	5.13	1.08

Next Premier League matches

31 Oct

Cardiff MET – Penybont

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

30 Oct	Colwyn Bay 2-0 Cambrian & Clydach
30 Oct	Ammanford AFC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC
30 Oct	Barry Town 3-0 Trefelin
30 Oct	Flint Town United 5-0 Holywell
30 Oct	Airbus UK 3-2 Caernarfon Town
30 Oct	Briton Ferry 3-0 Llandudno