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GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Flint Town United• Premier League, Wales

#21.8:0.420:00Today · Essity Stadium, Flint2.2:0.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40WHX5.00B36527.20DAFMargin at best5.3%Books10Markets87Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.394.896.926.8%
Dafabet1.375.007.206.9%
William Hill1.404.506.509.0%
Betano1.374.606.5010.1%
1xBet1.344.706.8010.6%
Betfair1.334.756.5011.6%
Marathonbet1.334.706.5011.8%
Bet3651.335.005.7512.6%
SBO1.314.386.5714.4%
BetVictor1.293.906.0019.8%
Best of all books1.405.007.205.3%
Average1.354.646.5211.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GAP Connah S Quay FCFlint Town United
Last 10#2Table position#132.33Points per game0.9313Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 52.20.4Goals against · last 50.245Attack rating5533Defence rating6752Form rating4880H2H rating2092Goals model862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:10 UTC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:5 · per match 1.9 for, 0.5 against

31 OctAThe New Saints0-0D
24 OctHLlandudno2-0W
16 OctHPorthmadog4-0W
9 OctABriton Ferry2-1W
3 OctHPenybont1-0W
26 SepABarry Town4-1W
18 SepHCardiff MET1-0W
15 SepHAirbus UK3-0W
12 SepAColwyn Bay1-2L
4 SepHHaverfordwest County AFC1-1D

Flint Town United

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

30 OctHHolywell5-0W
23 OctATrefelin2-0W
17 OctHCaernarfon Town1-3L
10 OctHColwyn Bay0-1L
3 OctAHaverfordwest County AFC1-0W
26 SepHAmmanford AFC3-0W
18 SepAAirbus UK1-4L
15 SepAThe New Saints0-5L
11 SepHCardiff MET1-1D
4 SepACaernarfon Town0-3L

Head to head

13GAP Connah S Quay FC wins
2draws
1Flint Town United wins

16 meetings · goals 35:8 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for GAP Connah S Quay FC

31 Aug 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFlint Town United1-2GAP Connah S Quay FC
26 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFlint Town United0-2GAP Connah S Quay FC
25 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGAP Connah S Quay FC3-2Flint Town United
11 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGAP Connah S Quay FC4-0Flint Town United
25 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFlint Town United2-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
26 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGAP Connah S Quay FC7-2Flint Town United
26 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFlint Town United0-1GAP Connah S Quay FC
9 Dec 2023Welsh CupWelsh CupFlint Town United0-3GAP Connah S Quay FC
31 Dec 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFlint Town United0-0GAP Connah S Quay FC
26 Dec 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGAP Connah S Quay FC2-0Flint Town United

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd with 35 points from 15 games, while Flint Town United are 13th with 14 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints15132053:6+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15112232:9+2335
3Penybont14103130:11+1933
4Caernarfon Town1592442:19+2329
5Colwyn Bay1592426:17+929
6Barry Town1591532:26+628
7Airbus UK1590631:22+927
8Cardiff MET1564526:23+322
9Cambrian & Clydach1553723:38-1518
10Llandudno1551922:28-616
11Haverfordwest County AFC1551912:20-816
12Briton Ferry1543816:25-915
13Flint Town United1542919:25-614
14Ammanford AFC15231010:42-329
15Trefelin1513118:36-286
16Holywell14021214:49-352

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.35X19%4.64214%6.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 00:006 Nov 12:201 1.35X 4.642 6.52
11.46 → 1.35 -7.5%X4.35 → 4.64 +6.7%25.97 → 6.52 +9.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betano1.602.256.9%
Pinnacle1.592.276.9%
1xBet1.532.2110.6%
Marathonbet1.532.2110.6%
BetVictor1.461.9420.0%
Best of all books1.602.355.1%
Average1.552.2010.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.771.928.6%
William Hill1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.771.899.4%
BetVictor1.651.7019.4%
Best of all books1.911.924.4%
Average1.801.8310.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

GAP Connah S Quay FC 45%Draw 45%Flint Town United 10%

The statistical model rates GAP Connah S Quay FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Flint Town United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.64 | 6.52, which imply roughly 74.1% for a GAP Connah S Quay FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (35 pts, 32-9 goals), Flint Town United 13th (14 pts, 19-25).

Over their last five matches, GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Flint Town United averaged 2.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.646.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.871.13

Draw no bet

12
1.114.79

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.84

1st half

1X2
1.782.536.30

2nd half

1X2
1.662.936.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8717.847.1
HT X4.167.5314.3
HT 220.318.812.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3317.13.29

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.7
1.51.154.12
2.51.552.21
3.52.381.48
4.53.951.17
5.56.681.05
6.510.21.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.40
1.751.173.94
21.223.50
2.251.402.65
2.751.661.95
31.891.76
3.252.091.57
3.752.791.36
43.481.22
4.253.801.19
4.755.051.10
56.851.04
5.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.661.39
-1.752.221.53
-1.51.981.70
-1.251.741.90
-11.532.27
-0.751.402.56
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.371.07
-3.255.751.14
-35.651.10
-2.754.131.18
-2.53.311.27
-2.253.041.33
-0.51.353.14
-0.251.223.67
01.115.32
+0.251.095.78
+0.51.116.60
+0.751.027.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.51
7.51.173.90
8.51.372.71
9.51.692.03
10.52.111.62
11.52.721.37
12.53.701.19
13.55.451.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.24
71.055.98
7.251.114.70
7.751.183.76
81.213.56
8.251.293.04
8.751.422.57
91.502.38
9.251.582.21
9.751.761.95
101.911.81
10.251.971.74
10.752.221.57
112.491.46
11.252.561.42
11.752.971.31
123.381.23
12.253.541.21
12.754.241.14
135.061.08
13.255.251.08

Next Premier League matches

6 NovCambrian & Clydach – Barry Town
6 NovAmmanford AFC – Briton Ferry
6 NovHaverfordwest County AFC – Cardiff MET
6 NovHolywell – Airbus UK
6 NovLlandudno – The New Saints
6 NovPenybont – Caernarfon Town

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

31 OctThe New Saints 0-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
31 OctCardiff MET 0-5 Penybont
30 OctColwyn Bay 2-0 Cambrian & Clydach
30 OctAmmanford AFC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC
30 OctBarry Town 3-0 Trefelin
30 OctFlint Town United 5-0 Holywell