Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#121.6:1.816:0025/10 · Guadalajara2.6:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.68PIN23.80BFRMargin at best5.3%Books8Markets50Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	3.68	3.59	9.1%
Betano	1.93	3.30	3.70	9.1%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.80	9.6%
Dafabet	1.85	3.45	3.75	9.7%
1xBet	1.79	3.62	3.68	10.7%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.70	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	3.62	3.60	11.9%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.50	12.0%
Best of all books	1.93	3.68	3.80	5.3%
Average	1.83	3.51	3.67	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuadalajaraReal Valladolid II

Last 10#12Table position#31.14Points per game1.865Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.61.8Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6236Defence rating6433Form rating670H2H rating063Goals model3743Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:01 UTC

Guadalajara

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

18 Oct	A	Atlético Tordesillas	0-3	L
11 Oct	H	Getafe II	4-1	W
7 Oct	A	Real Madrid III	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Gimnástica Segoviana	3-3	D
27 Sep	A	Numancia	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	RSD Alcalá	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	2-3	L
18 Aug	A	Marchamalo	0-1	L
23 May	H	Real Madrid II	2-2	D
17 May	A	Athletic Club II	1-2	L

Real Valladolid II

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	Real Ávila	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Calvo Sotelo	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	CF Talavera	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Albacete II	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	SS Reyes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	1-0	W
12 Aug	H	Leganés II	3-3	D
8 Aug	H	Real Madrid III	0-1	L
3 May	H	Burgos Promesas	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Guadalajara and Real Valladolid II on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Guadalajara sit 12th with 8 points from 7 games, while Real Valladolid II are 3rd with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	7	4	2	1	16:9	+7	14
2	A Madrid III	7	4	2	1	10:7	+3	14
3	Real Valladolid II	7	4	1	2	14:6	+8	13
4	Numancia	7	3	4	0	6:1	+5	13
5	SS Reyes	7	4	1	2	11:7	+4	13
6	Salamanca UDS	7	4	1	2	11:8	+3	13
7	CF Talavera	7	3	3	1	9:6	+3	12
8	Gimnástica Segoviana	7	2	3	2	13:12	+1	9
9	Navalcarnero	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
10	Atlético Tordesillas	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
11	RSD Alcalá	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
12	Guadalajara	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8
13	Real Ávila	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
14	Atlético Paso	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
15	Albacete II	7	1	3	3	9:21	-12	6
16	Real Madrid III	7	0	5	2	1:4	-3	5
17	Calvo Sotelo	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
18	Getafe II	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.83X26%3.51225%3.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.17	6.7%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Average	1.68	2.09	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Betano	1.57	2.22	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.60	2.22	7.5%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guadalajara 10%Draw 45%Real Valladolid II 45%

The statistical model rates Guadalajara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Valladolid II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.51 | 3.67, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Guadalajara are 12th (8 pts, 12-13 goals), Real Valladolid II 3rd (13 pts, 14-6).

Over their last five matches, Guadalajara averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Real Valladolid II averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Valladolid II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.51	3.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.84	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.23	4.13

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.58	3.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.96	13.6	31.7
HT X	4.90	5.53	8.17
HT 2	21.3	15.8	5.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	12.5	2.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.45
1.5	1.18	3.93
2.5	1.68	2.09
3.5	2.63	1.40
4.5	4.68	1.13
5.5	8.35	1.06

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.16	4.60
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.24
2.25	1.45	2.47
2.75	1.81	1.87
3	2.09	1.63
3.25	2.36	1.50
3.75	3.03	1.30
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.20	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.84	1.34
-1	2.51	1.45
-0.75	2.03	1.67
-0.5	1.88	1.88
-0.25	1.67	2.09
0	1.37	2.74

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-3	9.20	1.02
-2.5	6.55	1.05
-2.25	4.70	1.15
-2	5.70	1.08
-1.75	3.98	1.17
-1.5	3.05	1.30
+0.25	1.29	3.14
+0.75	1.21	3.81
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.25	1.15	4.70
+1.5	1.01	8.30
+2	1.01	9.70

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

24 Oct	Numancia – Navalcarnero
24 Oct	RSD Alcalá – SS Reyes
24 Oct	Atlético Paso – Real Ávila
25 Oct	Getafe II – Calvo Sotelo
25 Oct	Real Madrid III – Conquense
25 Oct	CF Talavera – Salamanca UDS

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 Oct	Salamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 Oct	Numancia 0-0 CF Talavera
18 Oct	RSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 Oct	SS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 Oct	Conquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 Oct	Atlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara