Numancia vs CF Talavera• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#40.8:0.20-0FTToday1.8:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.20BVC24.95PINMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets46Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	3.20	4.60	8.5%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.15	4.95	9.1%
1xBet	1.78	3.04	4.67	10.5%
Bet365	1.75	3.10	4.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.04	4.55	11.7%
William Hill	1.80	2.90	4.60	11.8%
Best of all books	1.80	3.20	4.95	7.0%
Average	1.77	3.07	4.64	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NumanciaCF Talavera

Last 10#4Table position#62.00Points per game1.839Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 51.80.2Goals against · last 50.631Attack rating6975Defence rating2545Form rating5550H2H rating50100Goals model048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Numancia

5W 3D 2L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against

11 Oct	A	Real Ávila	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Getafe II	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Guadalajara	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	SS Reyes	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	A Madrid III	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Atlético Paso	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Zaragoza	2-1	W
17 May	A	Poblense	1-2	L
10 May	H	Poblense	0-1	L
3 May	H	Marino de Luanco	1-0	W

CF Talavera

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Albacete II	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Real Valladolid II	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Getafe II	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Real Madrid III	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	RSD Alcalá	0-3	L
19 Aug	H	Getafe II	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Illescas	1-1	D
23 May	A	Cacereño	2-1	W

Head to head

1Numancia wins

1draws

1CF Talavera wins

3 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Numancia

28 Apr 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Numancia1-0CF Talavera
16 Dec 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	CF Talavera1-1Numancia
27 Sep 2023Copa Federacion	Copa Federacion	CF Talavera2-0Numancia

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Numancia sit 4th with 12 points from 6 games, while CF Talavera are 6th with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	A Madrid III	7	4	2	1	10:7	+3	14
2	Real Valladolid II	7	4	1	2	14:6	+8	13
3	Conquense	6	4	1	1	14:7	+7	13
4	Numancia	6	3	3	0	6:1	+5	12
5	Salamanca UDS	6	4	0	2	10:7	+3	12
6	CF Talavera	6	3	2	1	9:6	+3	11
7	SS Reyes	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
8	Gimnástica Segoviana	7	2	3	2	13:12	+1	9
9	Guadalajara	6	2	2	2	12:10	+2	8
10	Navalcarnero	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
11	RSD Alcalá	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
12	Real Ávila	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
13	Albacete II	7	1	3	3	9:21	-12	6
14	Atlético Tordesillas	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
15	Atlético Paso	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
16	Calvo Sotelo	6	1	2	3	2:8	-6	5
17	Real Madrid III	6	0	4	2	1:4	-3	4
18	Getafe II	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X29%3.08219%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.90 → 1.77 -6.8%X3.10 → 3.07 -1.0%23.88 → 4.64 +19.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
BetVictor	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.51	1.48	7.4%
1xBet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Best of all books	2.51	1.53	5.2%
Average	2.47	1.49	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.25	1.57	8.1%
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.19	1.59	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.19	1.57	9.4%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.19	1.59	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Numancia 35%Draw 35%CF Talavera 30%

The statistical model rated Numancia at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and CF Talavera at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.08 | 4.67, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Numancia win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Numancia are 4th (12 pts, 6-1 goals), CF Talavera 6th (11 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Numancia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; CF Talavera averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Numancia or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.07	4.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.85	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.19	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
2.49	1.92	5.41

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.18	4.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.84	19.5	50.5
HT X	4.42	4.25	9.50
HT 2	29.0	19.5	7.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	6.30	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.60
1.5	1.46	2.49
2.5	2.47	1.49
3.5	4.80	1.11
4.5	10.5	1.04
5.5	29.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.39
1	1.10	5.20
1.25	1.28	3.20
1.75	1.59	2.16
2	1.84	1.84
2.25	2.15	1.61
2.75	2.95	1.32
3	3.96	1.17
3.25	4.39	1.14
3.75	5.52	1.09
4	8.50	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.30	1.28
-1.25	2.93	1.35
-1	2.52	1.45
-0.75	2.02	1.71
-0.5	1.76	1.99
-0.25	1.56	2.27

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.47	1.05
-2.25	6.00	1.12
-2	6.52	1.07
-1.75	4.00	1.20
0	1.27	3.39
+0.25	1.20	3.94
+0.5	1.22	4.07
+0.75	1.08	6.25
+1	1.04	8.13
+1.5	1.01	9.35

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 Oct	Salamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 Oct	RSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 Oct	SS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 Oct	Conquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 Oct	Atlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara
18 Oct	Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila