Conquense vs Atlético Paso• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#32.4:1.02-2FTToday0.8:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.51PINX3.83PIN26.901XBMargin at best6.8%Books5Markets49Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	3.80	6.50	8.4%
Pinnacle	1.51	3.72	6.28	9.0%
Bet365	1.50	3.75	6.00	10.0%
1xBet	1.45	3.65	6.90	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	3.65	6.55	12.1%
Best of all books	1.51	3.80	6.90	7.0%
Average	1.48	3.71	6.45	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ConquenseAtlético Paso

Last 10#3Table position#152.17Points per game0.8312Form pts · last 552.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.075Attack rating2550Defence rating5071Form rating2950H2H rating5074Goals model2666Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Conquense

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Albacete II	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	A Madrid III	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Getafe II	2-2	D
31 May	H	UD Ourense	0-2	L
24 May	A	UD Ourense	0-1	L
17 May	H	Xerez	0-0	D
9 May	A	Xerez	1-1	D

Atlético Paso

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	CF Talavera	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Real Madrid III	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Albacete II	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	A Madrid III	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Calvo Sotelo	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Numancia	0-2	L
10 May	A	Herbania	1-1	D
3 May	H	Las Palmas III	1-0	W
25 Apr	A	Panadería Pulido	1-1	D
19 Apr	H	Telde	1-1	D

Head to head

1Conquense wins

0draws

1Atlético Paso wins

2 meetings · goals 3:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Conquense

9 Mar 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Atlético Paso1-0Conquense
27 Oct 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Conquense3-0Atlético Paso

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Conquense sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Atlético Paso are 15th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	A Madrid III	7	4	2	1	10:7	+3	14
2	Real Valladolid II	7	4	1	2	14:6	+8	13
3	Conquense	6	4	1	1	14:7	+7	13
4	Numancia	6	3	3	0	6:1	+5	12
5	Salamanca UDS	6	4	0	2	10:7	+3	12
6	CF Talavera	6	3	2	1	9:6	+3	11
7	SS Reyes	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
8	Gimnástica Segoviana	7	2	3	2	13:12	+1	9
9	Guadalajara	6	2	2	2	12:10	+2	8
10	Navalcarnero	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
11	RSD Alcalá	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
12	Real Ávila	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
13	Albacete II	7	1	3	3	9:21	-12	6
14	Atlético Tordesillas	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
15	Atlético Paso	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
16	Calvo Sotelo	6	1	2	3	2:8	-6	5
17	Real Madrid III	6	0	4	2	1:4	-3	4
18	Getafe II	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.48X24%3.74214%6.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.45 → 1.48 +2.1%X3.76 → 3.74 -0.5%26.78 → 6.50 -4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.68	6.7%
BetVictor	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.15	1.68	6.0%
Average	2.10	1.66	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.19	1.59	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.19	1.57	9.4%
Best of all books	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Average	2.19	1.59	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Conquense 45%Draw 45%Atlético Paso 10%

The statistical model rated Conquense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Paso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.74 | 6.50, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Conquense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Conquense are 3rd (13 pts, 14-7 goals), Atlético Paso 15th (5 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Conquense averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atlético Paso averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Conquense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	3.71	6.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.37	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.19	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.09	6.90

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.49	6.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.26	20.5	60.5
HT X	4.00	5.20	13.3
HT 2	25.5	21.5	11.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	7.90	3.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.20
1.5	1.33	2.91
2.5	2.10	1.66
3.5	3.58	1.21
4.5	7.70	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.18	3.82
1.75	1.42	2.55
2	1.57	2.21
2.25	1.83	1.85
2.75	2.38	1.48
3	2.96	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.90	1.35
-1.5	2.43	1.48
-1.25	2.15	1.62
-1	1.86	1.86
-0.75	1.62	2.14
-0.5	1.51	2.45

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.70	1.01
-2.75	5.89	1.10
-2.5	4.63	1.14
-2.25	4.13	1.19
-2	3.83	1.21
-0.25	1.31	3.10
0	1.14	4.77
+0.25	1.11	5.45
+0.5	1.13	5.90

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

18 Oct	Salamanca UDS – Navalcarnero
18 Oct	Numancia – CF Talavera

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 Oct	Atlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara
18 Oct	SS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 Oct	RSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 Oct	Getafe II 2-2 Albacete II
18 Oct	Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila
11 Oct	Guadalajara 4-1 Getafe II