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RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#111.4:2.00-0FTToday0.2:0.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.01PINX3.25BFR23.71PINMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets45Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor2.003.253.608.5%
Pinnacle2.003.113.719.1%
1xBet1.953.103.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.933.103.6011.8%
Bet3651.953.203.4011.9%
William Hill2.003.003.4012.7%
Best of all books2.003.253.717.7%
Average1.973.133.5710.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RSD AlcaláReal Madrid III
Last 10#11Table position#171.17Points per game0.674Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.22.0Goals against · last 50.888Attack rating1329Defence rating7157Form rating4336H2H rating64100Goals model051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

RSD Alcalá

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

11 OctACalvo Sotelo0-0D
4 OctHNavalcarnero1-3L
27 SepASalamanca UDS0-3L
20 SepHGimnástica Segoviana5-2W
13 SepAGuadalajara1-2L
6 SepHCF Talavera3-0W
19 AugHGimnástica Segoviana1-1D
3 MayHCD Coria1-2L
26 AprAQuintanar del Rey0-0D
19 AprHRayo Vallecano II3-0W

Real Madrid III

2W 4D 4L · goals 4:9 · per match 0.4 for, 0.9 against

11 OctHAtlético Tordesillas0-0D
7 OctHGuadalajara1-1D
3 OctAAtlético Paso0-1L
27 SepAA Madrid III0-2L
13 SepACF Talavera0-0D
6 SepHAlbacete II0-0D
29 AugAGimnástica Segoviana1-0W
21 AugHAtlético Baleares0-2L
8 AugAReal Valladolid II1-0W
16 MayAEstepona1-3L

Head to head

1RSD Alcalá wins
1draws
2Real Madrid III wins

4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for RSD Alcalá

22 Feb 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Real Madrid III2-2RSD Alcalá
14 Dec 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5RSD Alcalá1-0Real Madrid III
21 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7RSD Alcalá1-2Real Madrid III
2 Dec 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Real Madrid III1-0RSD Alcalá

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, RSD Alcalá sit 11th with 7 points from 6 games, while Real Madrid III are 17th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1A Madrid III742110:7+314
2Real Valladolid II741214:6+813
3Conquense641114:7+713
4Numancia63306:1+512
5Salamanca UDS640210:7+312
6CF Talavera63219:6+311
7SS Reyes63129:6+310
8Gimnástica Segoviana723213:12+19
9Guadalajara622212:10+28
10Navalcarnero62229:908
11RSD Alcalá621310:1007
12Real Ávila72147:11-47
13Albacete II71339:21-126
14Atlético Tordesillas61238:10-25
15Atlético Paso61234:7-35
16Calvo Sotelo61232:8-65
17Real Madrid III60421:4-34
18Getafe II70436:11-54

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X29%3.17225%3.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 03:401 1.97X 3.152 3.56
12.26 → 1.97 -12.8%X3.12 → 3.15 +1.0%22.89 → 3.56 +23.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Pinnacle2.091.706.7%
BetVictor2.101.677.5%
1xBet2.081.649.1%
Marathonbet2.081.649.1%
Best of all books2.151.705.3%
Average2.101.667.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.911.807.9%
BetVictor1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.861.838.4%
Marathonbet1.861.809.3%
Best of all books1.911.837.0%
Average1.881.818.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

RSD Alcalá 35%Draw 35%Real Madrid III 30%

The statistical model rated RSD Alcalá at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Real Madrid III at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.17 | 3.64, which imply roughly 51.3% for a RSD Alcalá win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: RSD Alcalá are 11th (7 pts, 10-10 goals), Real Madrid III 17th (4 pts, 1-4).

Over their last five matches, RSD Alcalá averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Madrid III averaged 0.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : RSD Alcalá or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.973.133.57

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.691.29

Draw no bet

12
1.442.61

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.881.82

1st half

1X2
2.622.034.30

2nd half

1X2
2.382.303.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3017.537.5
HT X4.904.607.60
HT 226.017.55.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.727.852.46

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.00
1.51.332.94
2.52.101.66
3.53.681.20
4.57.701.04
5.517.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.40
1.251.193.82
1.751.412.58
21.552.23
2.251.831.86
2.752.391.48
32.981.32
3.253.281.25
3.754.491.13
46.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.901.35
-0.752.291.55
-0.51.991.77
-0.251.702.03
01.432.62
+0.251.323.06
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.901.02
-2.257.001.10
-26.931.06
-1.754.551.16
-1.53.651.22
-1.253.321.28
+0.51.303.45
+0.751.154.56
+11.067.07
+1.251.115.84
+1.51.018.40

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 OctSalamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 OctNumancia 0-0 CF Talavera
18 OctSS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 OctConquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 OctAtlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara
18 OctReal Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila