Real Madrid III vs Conquense• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#160.2:0.811:0025/102.4:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05DAFX3.15DAF22.49PINMargin at best4.7%Books7Markets41Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.92	3.05	2.40	8.7%
Pinnacle	2.93	2.88	2.49	9.0%
Dafabet	3.05	3.15	2.22	9.6%
1xBet	2.86	3.00	2.36	10.7%
Bet365	3.00	3.10	2.20	11.0%
William Hill	2.88	2.88	2.40	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.79	3.00	2.34	11.9%
Best of all books	3.05	3.15	2.49	4.7%
Average	2.92	3.01	2.34	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real Madrid IIIConquense

Last 10#16Table position#10.71Points per game2.003Form pts · last 5100.2Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 51.28Attack rating9260Defence rating4023Form rating779H2H rating9131Goals model6925Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:01 UTC

Real Madrid III

2W 5D 3L · goals 3:6 · per match 0.3 for, 0.6 against

18 Oct	A	RSD Alcalá	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Tordesillas	0-0	D
7 Oct	H	Guadalajara	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Atlético Paso	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	A Madrid III	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	CF Talavera	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Albacete II	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Atlético Baleares	0-2	L
8 Aug	A	Real Valladolid II	1-0	W

Conquense

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Albacete II	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	A Madrid III	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Navalcarnero	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Salamanca UDS	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Getafe II	2-2	D
31 May	H	UD Ourense	0-2	L
24 May	A	UD Ourense	0-1	L
17 May	H	Xerez	0-0	D

Head to head

0Real Madrid III wins

1draws

3Conquense wins

4 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Real Madrid III

3 May 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Real Madrid III0-1Conquense
5 Oct 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Conquense1-0Real Madrid III
27 Apr 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Conquense1-1Real Madrid III
15 Dec 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Real Madrid III0-1Conquense

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Real Madrid III sit 16th with 5 points from 7 games, while Conquense are 1st with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	7	4	2	1	16:9	+7	14
2	A Madrid III	7	4	2	1	10:7	+3	14
3	Real Valladolid II	7	4	1	2	14:6	+8	13
4	Numancia	7	3	4	0	6:1	+5	13
5	SS Reyes	7	4	1	2	11:7	+4	13
6	Salamanca UDS	7	4	1	2	11:8	+3	13
7	CF Talavera	7	3	3	1	9:6	+3	12
8	Gimnástica Segoviana	7	2	3	2	13:12	+1	9
9	Navalcarnero	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
10	Atlético Tordesillas	7	2	2	3	11:10	+1	8
11	RSD Alcalá	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
12	Guadalajara	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8
13	Real Ávila	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
14	Atlético Paso	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
15	Albacete II	7	1	3	3	9:21	-12	6
16	Real Madrid III	7	0	5	2	1:4	-3	5
17	Calvo Sotelo	7	1	2	4	3:10	-7	5
18	Getafe II	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.92X30%3.01239%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.55	7.3%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.34	1.65	3.3%
Average	2.25	1.58	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.93	1.76	8.6%
Betano	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.74	9.3%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.93	1.80	7.4%
Average	1.91	1.76	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Madrid III 10%Draw 45%Conquense 45%

The statistical model rates Real Madrid III at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Conquense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.92 | 3.01 | 2.34, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Real Madrid III are 16th (5 pts, 1-4 goals), Conquense 1st (14 pts, 16-9).

Over their last five matches, Real Madrid III averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Conquense averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Conquense and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.92	3.01	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.33	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.06	1.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
3.63	1.97	3.05

2nd half

1	X	2
3.27	2.22	2.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.85	15.3	29.7
HT X	6.50	4.52	5.47
HT 2	34.0	15.5	3.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	7.65	1.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.95
1.5	1.39	2.66
2.5	2.25	1.58
3.5	4.12	1.17
4.5	7.10	1.06
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.15
1.25	1.24	3.50
1.75	1.51	2.34
2	1.69	2.02
2.25	2.00	1.71
2.75	2.70	1.38
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.90	1.18
3.75	4.80	1.15
4	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.87	1.38
-0.25	2.40	1.49
0	2.02	1.70
+0.25	1.71	2.03
+0.5	1.50	2.45
+0.75	1.34	2.89

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.65	1.05
-1.25	5.40	1.11
-1	5.50	1.08
-0.75	3.54	1.23
+1	1.16	4.15
+1.25	1.12	4.70
+1.5	1.10	5.20
+2	1.02	8.90
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

24 Oct	Numancia – Navalcarnero
24 Oct	RSD Alcalá – SS Reyes
24 Oct	Atlético Paso – Real Ávila
25 Oct	Getafe II – Calvo Sotelo
25 Oct	CF Talavera – Salamanca UDS
25 Oct	Guadalajara – Real Valladolid II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 Oct	Salamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 Oct	Numancia 0-0 CF Talavera
18 Oct	RSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 Oct	SS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 Oct	Conquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 Oct	Atlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara