OddsFilter
Live

Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#140.5:1.31-0FT03/100.0:0.7#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.361XB22.27PINMargin at best2.4%Books4Markets35Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.953.402.405.0%
Betano2.923.052.379.2%
Bet3652.883.052.3011.0%
Marathonbet2.863.042.2711.9%
Best of all books2.953.402.405.0%
Average2.903.132.339.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético PasoReal Madrid III
Last 10#14Table position#160.86Points per game0.715Form pts · last 530.5Goals for · last 50.01.3Goals against · last 50.7100Attack rating029Defence rating7150Form rating5050H2H rating500Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Atlético Paso

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

18 OctAConquense2-2D
11 OctACF Talavera1-2L
3 OctHReal Madrid III1-0W
27 SepAAlbacete II2-2D
19 SepHA Madrid III0-1L
13 SepACalvo Sotelo0-0D
6 SepHNumancia0-2L
10 MayAHerbania1-1D
3 MayHLas Palmas III1-0W
25 AprAPanadería Pulido1-1D

Real Madrid III

2W 5D 3L · goals 3:6 · per match 0.3 for, 0.6 against

18 OctARSD Alcalá0-0D
11 OctHAtlético Tordesillas0-0D
7 OctHGuadalajara1-1D
3 OctAAtlético Paso0-1L
27 SepAA Madrid III0-2L
13 SepACF Talavera0-0D
6 SepHAlbacete II0-0D
29 AugAGimnástica Segoviana1-0W
21 AugHAtlético Baleares0-2L
8 AugAReal Valladolid II1-0W

Head to head

0Atlético Paso wins
2draws
0Real Madrid III wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Atlético Paso

16 Feb 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Real Madrid III1-1Atlético Paso
6 Oct 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Atlético Paso0-0Real Madrid III

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 23 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Atlético Paso sit 14th with 6 points from 7 games, while Real Madrid III are 16th with 5 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Conquense742116:9+714
2A Madrid III742110:7+314
3Real Valladolid II741214:6+813
4Numancia73406:1+513
5SS Reyes741211:7+413
6Salamanca UDS741211:8+313
7CF Talavera73319:6+312
8Gimnástica Segoviana723213:12+19
9Navalcarnero723210:1009
10Atlético Tordesillas722311:10+18
11RSD Alcalá722310:1008
12Guadalajara722312:13-18
13Real Ávila72147:11-47
14Atlético Paso71336:9-36
15Albacete II71339:21-126
16Real Madrid III70521:4-35
17Calvo Sotelo71243:10-75
18Getafe II70436:11-54

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.41X31%3.00242%2.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 03:513 Oct 13:311 3.40X 3.002 2.17
12.90 → 3.40 +17.2%X3.14 → 3.00 -4.5%22.34 → 2.17 -7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.221.665.3%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Marathonbet2.181.589.2%
Betano2.121.5710.9%
Best of all books2.251.664.7%
Average2.191.617.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.881.818.4%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Betano1.851.7511.2%
Best of all books1.881.818.4%
Average1.871.789.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Paso 35%Draw 35%Real Madrid III 30%

The statistical model rated Atlético Paso at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Real Madrid III at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 3.00 | 2.18, which imply roughly 29.3% for a Atlético Paso win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Atlético Paso are 14th (6 pts, 6-9 goals), Real Madrid III 16th (5 pts, 1-4).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Paso averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Real Madrid III averaged 0 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Paso or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.903.142.34

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.321.29

Draw no bet

12
2.041.66

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.78

1st half

1X2
3.652.003.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.217.051.91

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.056.88
1.51.392.67
2.52.191.61
3.53.831.20
4.57.321.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.075.95
1.251.233.66
1.751.472.35
21.632.03
2.251.931.78
2.752.521.41
33.201.26
3.253.651.22
3.754.901.14
47.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.501.22
-0.252.421.46
02.051.65
+0.251.721.97
+0.751.362.70
+11.193.74
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.201.06
-1.255.461.08
-15.251.09
+1.251.154.20
+1.51.124.65
+2.51.0110.0

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches

24 OctNumancia – Navalcarnero
24 OctRSD Alcalá – SS Reyes
24 OctAtlético Paso – Real Ávila
25 OctGetafe II – Calvo Sotelo
25 OctReal Madrid III – Conquense
25 OctCF Talavera – Salamanca UDS

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 OctNumancia 0-0 CF Talavera
18 OctSalamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 OctRSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 OctSS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 OctConquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 OctAtlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara