Atlético Paso vs 
Real Madrid III• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.05 | 2.37 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.05 | 2.30 | 11.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.04 | 2.27 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.90 | 3.13 | 2.33 | 9.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC
Atlético Paso
2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 11 Oct | A | CF Talavera | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Real Madrid III | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Albacete II | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | A Madrid III | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Calvo Sotelo | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Numancia | 0-2 | L |
| 10 May | A | Herbania | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Las Palmas III | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | A | Panadería Pulido | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | H | Telde | 1-1 | D |
Real Madrid III
2W 4D 4L · goals 4:9 · per match 0.4 for, 0.9 against
| 11 Oct | H | Atlético Tordesillas | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Guadalajara | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | Atlético Paso | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | A Madrid III | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | CF Talavera | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Albacete II | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Gimnástica Segoviana | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Atlético Baleares | 0-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Real Valladolid II | 1-0 | W |
| 16 May | A | Estepona | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Atlético Paso
| 16 Feb 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Real Madrid III1-1Atlético Paso |
| 6 Oct 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Atlético Paso0-0Real Madrid III |
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 17 Oct 00:10 UTC
In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, Atlético Paso sit 14th with 5 points from 6 games, while Real Madrid III are 17th with 4 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | A Madrid III | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Numancia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Salamanca UDS | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Valladolid II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | +7 | 10 |
| 7 | SS Reyes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | RSD Alcalá | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Ávila | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Tordesillas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Calvo Sotelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Albacete II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Madrid III | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Getafe II | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 1.66 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 6.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 1.58 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 2.12 | 1.57 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.25 | 1.66 | 4.7% |
| Average | 2.19 | 1.61 | 7.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 1.81 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.78 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.75 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.88 | 1.81 | 8.4% |
| Average | 1.87 | 1.78 | 9.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Atlético Paso at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Real Madrid III at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 3.00 | 2.18, which imply roughly 29.3% for a Atlético Paso win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: Atlético Paso are 14th (5 pts, 4-7 goals), Real Madrid III 17th (4 pts, 1-4).
Over their last five matches, Atlético Paso averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Real Madrid III averaged 0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Paso or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 3.14 | 2.34 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 1.32 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.04 | 1.66 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.87 | 1.78 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 2.00 | 3.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | 7.05 | 1.91 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 6.88 |
| 1.5 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| 2.5 | 2.19 | 1.61 |
| 3.5 | 3.83 | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 7.32 | 1.04 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.95 |
| 1.25 | 1.23 | 3.66 |
| 1.75 | 1.47 | 2.35 |
| 2 | 1.63 | 2.03 |
| 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| 2.75 | 2.52 | 1.41 |
| 3 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 3.25 | 3.65 | 1.22 |
| 3.75 | 4.90 | 1.14 |
| 4 | 7.00 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -0.25 | 2.42 | 1.46 |
| 0 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| +0.25 | 1.72 | 1.97 |
| +0.75 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 3.74 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.20 | 1.06 |
| -1.25 | 5.46 | 1.08 |
| -1 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| +1.25 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |