Mijas Las Lagunas vs Estepona• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#71.6:0.816:00Tomorrow2.2:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X3.50B36522.33PINMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets43Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	3.35	2.32	8.0%
Pinnacle	2.85	3.28	2.33	8.5%
Betano	2.85	3.40	2.25	8.9%
Bet365	2.88	3.50	2.15	9.8%
1xBet	2.84	3.24	2.25	10.5%
William Hill	2.80	3.10	2.30	11.5%
Betfair	2.80	3.30	2.20	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.77	3.24	2.23	11.8%
Best of all books	2.88	3.50	2.33	6.2%
Average	2.83	3.30	2.25	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mijas Las LagunasEstepona

Last 10#7Table position#81.50Points per game1.506Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5867Defence rating3353Form rating470H2H rating069Goals model3158Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Mijas Las Lagunas

3W 6D 1L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

10 Nov	H	Real Jaén	1-2	L
7 Nov	A	Recreativo Huelva	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	Marbella	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Real Betis II	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Tenerife II	3-1	W
11 Oct	H	Sevilla Atletico	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Sanluqueño	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Tamaraceite	6-2	W
20 Sep	A	Antoniano	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Ciudad de Lucena	1-1	D

Estepona

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	H	Tamaraceite	5-0	W
1 Nov	A	Antoniano	1-4	L
24 Oct	H	Ciudad de Lucena	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Marbella	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Central	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Don Benito	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tenerife II	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Puente Genil	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Linares Deportivo	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Xerez	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mijas Las Lagunas and Estepona on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 14 Nov 21:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th with 15 points from 10 games, while Estepona are 8th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	21:8	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	18:13	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	17:10	+7	19
4	Real Betis II	10	5	3	2	13:7	+6	18
5	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	10:7	+3	17
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	12:7	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	18:14	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	18:15	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	13:15	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	18:16	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	13:13	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	11:10	+1	12
13	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	11:14	-3	10
14	Marbella	10	2	4	4	8:11	-3	10
15	Sanluqueño	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	10:19	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	8:23	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	5:18	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.82X28%3.29240%2.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.07 → 2.82 -8.1%X3.49 → 3.29 -5.7%22.03 → 2.25 +10.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.03	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.73	2.00	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.21	8.5%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.17	9.4%
Best of all books	1.60	2.21	7.7%
Average	1.59	2.18	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mijas Las Lagunas 45%Draw 45%Estepona 10%

The statistical model rates Mijas Las Lagunas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estepona at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.82 | 3.29 | 2.25, which imply roughly 35.5% for a Mijas Las Lagunas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Mijas Las Lagunas are 7th (15 pts, 18-14 goals), Estepona 8th (15 pts, 18-15).

Over their last five matches, Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Estepona averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mijas Las Lagunas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.83	3.30	2.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.35	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
3.35	2.19	2.79

2nd half

1	X	2
3.06	2.53	2.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.52	14.5	23.0
HT X	6.90	5.63	5.83
HT 2	26.0	14.3	3.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.08	12.3	1.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.0
1.5	1.20	3.70
2.5	1.73	2.00
3.5	2.76	1.37
4.5	4.63	1.14
5.5	9.00	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.31	2.99
2.25	1.51	2.32
2.75	1.92	1.78
3	2.22	1.56
3.25	2.51	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.33	1.14
4.25	4.30	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.78	1.40
-0.25	2.38	1.49
0	2.05	1.67
+0.25	1.75	1.98
+0.5	1.64	2.17
+0.75	1.39	2.66

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.02
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.5	5.65	1.08
-1.25	4.80	1.14
-1	4.80	1.12
-0.75	3.17	1.29
+1	1.24	3.47
+1.25	1.18	3.88
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+1.75	1.15	4.70
+2	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.01	9.00

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches

15 Nov	Puente Genil – Atlético Central
15 Nov	Tenerife II – Linares Deportivo
15 Nov	Las Palmas II – Ciudad de Lucena
15 Nov	Tamaraceite – Marbella
15 Nov	Badajoz – Don Benito
15 Nov	Xerez – Antoniano

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

14 Nov	Sanluqueño 0-1 Real Betis II
8 Nov	Atlético Central 1-0 Antoniano
8 Nov	Sanluqueño 0-4 Xerez
8 Nov	Marbella 2-1 Las Palmas II
8 Nov	Estepona 5-0 Tamaraceite
8 Nov	Don Benito 3-2 Puente Genil