Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#180.8:2.011:30Tomorrow2.0:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.69PINX3.40B36522.56PINMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets41Rating22 · 79Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.69	3.10	2.56	8.5%
Dafabet	2.65	3.15	2.55	8.7%
Betano	2.67	3.25	2.45	9.0%
Betfair	2.63	3.10	2.45	11.1%
Bet365	2.55	3.30	2.40	11.2%
William Hill	2.62	3.00	2.50	11.5%
1xBet	2.57	3.10	2.46	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.57	3.10	2.46	11.8%
Best of all books	2.69	3.30	2.56	6.5%
Average	2.62	3.14	2.48	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Las Palmas IICiudad de Lucena

Last 10#18Table position#30.50Points per game1.901Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.229Attack rating7138Defence rating638Form rating920H2H rating012Goals model8822Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Las Palmas II

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:18 · per match 0.5 for, 1.8 against

8 Nov	A	Marbella	1-2	L
1 Nov	H	Atlético Central	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Sanluqueño	1-4	L
18 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Tenerife II	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Recreativo Huelva	0-4	L
27 Sep	H	Badajoz	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Linares Deportivo	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Don Benito	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Real Betis II	0-1	L

Ciudad de Lucena

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	H	Badajoz	1-1	D
1 Nov	H	Sanluqueño	2-1	W
27 Oct	H	Rayo Majadahonda	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Estepona	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Xerez	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Don Benito	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Antoniano	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tenerife II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Las Palmas II and Ciudad de Lucena on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 14 Nov 21:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Las Palmas II sit 18th with 5 points from 10 games, while Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd with 19 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	10	6	3	1	21:8	+13	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	18:13	+5	20
3	Ciudad de Lucena	10	5	4	1	17:10	+7	19
4	Real Betis II	10	5	3	2	13:7	+6	18
5	Badajoz	10	4	5	1	10:7	+3	17
6	Xerez	10	4	3	3	12:7	+5	15
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	10	3	6	1	18:14	+4	15
8	Estepona	10	4	3	3	18:15	+3	15
9	Atlético Central	10	5	0	5	13:15	-2	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	18:16	+2	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	13:13	0	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	11:10	+1	12
13	Tenerife II	9	3	1	5	11:14	-3	10
14	Marbella	10	2	4	4	8:11	-3	10
15	Sanluqueño	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10
16	Antoniano	10	1	3	6	10:19	-9	6
17	Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	8:23	-15	6
18	Las Palmas II	10	1	2	7	5:18	-13	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X29%3.13236%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.59 → 2.61 +0.8%X3.36 → 3.13 -6.8%22.36 → 2.48 +5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.96	1.83	5.7%
Betano	1.88	1.83	7.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.96	1.85	5.1%
Average	1.91	1.82	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.15	4.3%
Average	1.69	2.04	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Las Palmas II 0%Draw 50%Ciudad de Lucena 50%

The statistical model rates Las Palmas II at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ciudad de Lucena at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.13 | 2.48, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Las Palmas II are 18th (5 pts, 5-18 goals), Ciudad de Lucena 3rd (19 pts, 17-10).

Over their last five matches, Las Palmas II averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Ciudad de Lucena averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.62	3.14	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.40	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
3.23	2.08	3.08

2nd half

1	X	2
2.92	2.39	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.28	14.0	25.0
HT X	6.28	5.10	5.95
HT 2	26.0	13.6	4.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.02	8.90	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.37
1.5	1.27	3.26
2.5	1.91	1.82
3.5	3.14	1.30
4.5	5.77	1.10
5.5	14.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.15	4.70
1.75	1.34	2.89
2	1.43	2.53
2.25	1.67	2.05
2.75	2.13	1.61
3	2.54	1.43
3.25	2.86	1.34
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.63	1.44
-0.25	2.22	1.56
0	1.91	1.82
+0.25	1.62	2.12
+0.5	1.48	2.50
+0.75	1.33	2.93

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.40	1.01
-1.5	5.15	1.10
-1.25	4.50	1.17
-1	4.30	1.15
-0.75	3.13	1.29
+1	1.17	4.00
+1.25	1.14	4.40
+1.5	1.11	4.80
+2.5	1.01	9.50

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches

15 Nov	Puente Genil – Atlético Central
15 Nov	Tenerife II – Linares Deportivo
15 Nov	Tamaraceite – Marbella
15 Nov	Mijas Las Lagunas – Estepona
15 Nov	Badajoz – Don Benito
15 Nov	Xerez – Antoniano

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

14 Nov	Sanluqueño 0-1 Real Betis II
8 Nov	Atlético Central 1-0 Antoniano
8 Nov	Sanluqueño 0-4 Xerez
8 Nov	Marbella 2-1 Las Palmas II
8 Nov	Estepona 5-0 Tamaraceite
8 Nov	Don Benito 3-2 Puente Genil