Sestao River vs Arosa• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#31.0:0.616:30Tomorrow · Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao2.0:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.06PIN26.73PINMargin at best7.5%Books8Markets51Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.48	4.10	6.40	7.6%
Betano	1.50	3.90	6.10	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.44	4.06	6.73	8.9%
1xBet	1.42	4.05	6.45	10.6%
Betfair	1.40	4.10	6.50	11.2%
William Hill	1.44	3.75	6.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.05	6.15	11.9%
Bet365	1.45	3.80	6.00	11.9%
Best of all books	1.50	4.10	6.73	5.9%
Average	1.44	3.98	6.35	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sestao RiverArosa

Last 10#3Table position#132.29Points per game1.0013Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 52.00.6Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6777Defence rating2363Form rating380H2H rating0100Goals model058Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Sestao River

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	Marino de Luanco	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Salamanca UDS	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Gimnástica Torrelavega	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Gernika	2-1	W
30 Sep	H	Terrassa	4-1	W
26 Sep	H	Atlético Astorga	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Compostela	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Comillas	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Real Oviedo II	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Badalona II	2-2	D

Arosa

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	H	Llanera	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	Bergantiños	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Ourense CF	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Deportivo Alavés II	2-5	L
19 Sep	A	Basconia	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Gernika	0-4	L
6 Sep	A	Amorebieta	2-2	D
1 Aug	H	Pontevedra	3-1	W
10 May	H	Celtiga	3-2	W
2 May	A	Cambados	2-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sestao River and Arosa on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Sestao River sit 3rd with 16 points from 7 games, while Arosa are 13th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	7	5	2	0	17:7	+10	17
2	Deportivo Alavés II	7	5	1	1	18:8	+10	16
3	Sestao River	7	5	1	1	8:3	+5	16
4	Eibar II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
5	Portugalete	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11
6	Compostela	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
7	Amorebieta	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
8	Ourense CF	7	3	1	3	5:8	-3	10
9	Real Oviedo II	7	3	1	3	10:14	-4	10
10	Gernika	7	2	3	2	14:8	+6	9
11	Basconia	7	2	3	2	11:12	-1	9
12	Coruxo	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
13	Arosa	7	1	4	2	12:16	-4	7
14	Llanera	7	2	1	4	10:16	-6	7
15	Atlético Astorga	7	2	0	5	10:11	-1	6
16	Marino de Luanco	7	2	0	5	8:13	-5	6
17	Gimnástica Torrelavega	7	1	2	4	7:15	-8	5
18	Racing Santander II	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X23%3.96214%6.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.44 -11.7%X3.60 → 3.96 +10.0%24.55 → 6.37 +40.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.94	5.6%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.72	9.4%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.93	1.76	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sestao River 45%Draw 45%Arosa 10%

The statistical model rates Sestao River at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arosa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.96 | 6.37, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Sestao River win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Sestao River are 3rd (16 pts, 8-3 goals), Arosa 13th (7 pts, 12-16).

Over their last five matches, Sestao River averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Arosa averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sestao River or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.98	6.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.49	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.27	6.15

2nd half

1	X	2
1.79	2.63	5.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	18.8	62.5
HT X	3.97	5.65	13.1
HT 2	21.5	18.8	11.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	9.65	3.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.24	3.40
2.5	1.82	1.91
3.5	2.90	1.32
4.5	5.28	1.11
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.16	4.60
1.75	1.29	3.09
2	1.38	2.70
2.25	1.59	2.18
2.75	2.02	1.68
3	2.38	1.48
3.25	2.69	1.38
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.66	1.39
-1.5	2.27	1.54
-1.25	2.00	1.70
-1	1.76	1.97
-0.75	1.53	2.28
-0.5	1.42	2.69

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.02
-3	7.40	1.03
-2.75	5.20	1.13
-2.5	4.10	1.16
-2.25	3.70	1.23
-2	3.42	1.25
-0.25	1.27	3.14
0	1.12	4.75
+0.25	1.09	5.25

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Eibar II – Bergantiños
24 Oct	Deportivo Alavés II – Racing Santander II
24 Oct	Atlético Astorga – Gernika
24 Oct	Amorebieta – Coruxo
24 Oct	Llanera – Compostela
25 Oct	Marino de Luanco – Real Oviedo II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Bergantiños 3-0 Real Oviedo II
18 Oct	Arosa 4-1 Llanera
18 Oct	Marino de Luanco 0-1 Sestao River
18 Oct	Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-5 Deportivo Alavés II
17 Oct	Gernika 1-2 Amorebieta
17 Oct	Compostela 4-1 Atlético Astorga