Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#51.3:1.00-2FT03/102.5:1.5#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.72PINX3.321XB22.67PINMargin at best4.3%Books5Markets32Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.68	3.33	2.64	5.2%
Betano	2.60	3.05	2.67	8.7%
Betfair	2.60	3.00	2.55	11.0%
Bet365	2.50	3.00	2.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.58	2.99	2.52	11.9%
Best of all books	2.68	3.33	2.67	4.8%
Average	2.59	3.07	2.60	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PortugaleteDeportivo Alavés II

Last 10#5Table position#31.57Points per game2.177Form pts · last 5131.3Goals for · last 52.51.0Goals against · last 51.533Attack rating6760Defence rating4044Form rating5633H2H rating6747Goals model5342Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Portugalete

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Amorebieta	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Deportivo Alavés II	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Bergantiños	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Coruxo	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Compostela	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Barakaldo	2-0	W
9 May	A	Deportivo Alavés III	2-1	W
3 May	H	Aurrerá Vitoria	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Leioa	1-1	D

Deportivo Alavés II

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Gernika	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Portugalete	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Arosa	5-2	W
20 Sep	H	Real Oviedo II	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Llanera	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Coruxo	0-2	L
17 May	H	Real Jaén	0-1	L
10 May	A	Real Jaén	2-1	W
3 May	A	Gernika	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Tudelano	2-1	W

Head to head

0Portugalete wins

3draws

1Deportivo Alavés II wins

4 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for Portugalete

27 Mar 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Deportivo Alavés II0-0Portugalete
21 Nov 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Portugalete1-1Deportivo Alavés II
6 Feb 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Portugalete0-0Deportivo Alavés II
7 Nov 2020Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Deportivo Alavés II1-0Portugalete

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 18 Oct 16:50 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Portugalete sit 5th with 11 points from 7 games, while Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	6	4	2	0	14:7	+7	14
2	Eibar II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
3	Deportivo Alavés II	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13
4	Sestao River	6	4	1	1	7:3	+4	13
5	Portugalete	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11
6	Compostela	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
7	Amorebieta	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
8	Real Oviedo II	6	3	1	2	10:11	-1	10
9	Ourense CF	7	3	1	3	5:8	-3	10
10	Gernika	7	2	3	2	14:8	+6	9
11	Basconia	7	2	3	2	11:12	-1	9
12	Coruxo	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
13	Llanera	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
14	Atlético Astorga	7	2	0	5	10:11	-1	6
15	Marino de Luanco	6	2	0	4	8:12	-4	6
16	Gimnástica Torrelavega	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
17	Arosa	6	0	4	2	8:15	-7	4
18	Racing Santander II	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.60X31%2.92235%2.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.59 → 2.60 +0.4%X3.07 → 2.92 -4.9%22.60 → 2.56 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.30	1.61	5.6%
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Betano	2.20	1.53	10.8%
Best of all books	2.35	1.61	4.7%
Average	2.29	1.56	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.94	1.75	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.73	9.3%
Betano	1.90	1.72	10.8%
Best of all books	1.94	1.75	8.7%
Average	1.93	1.73	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portugalete 10%Draw 45%Deportivo Alavés II 45%

The statistical model rated Portugalete at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Alavés II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 2.92 | 2.56, which imply roughly 34.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Portugalete are 5th (11 pts, 7-7 goals), Deportivo Alavés II 3rd (13 pts, 13-7).

Over their last five matches, Portugalete averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Deportivo Alavés II averaged 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Alavés II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.07	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.41	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.81	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
3.38	1.96	3.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	7.10	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.53
1.5	1.42	2.58
2.5	2.29	1.56
3.5	4.12	1.17
4.5	6.00	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.23	3.65
1.75	1.50	2.28
2	1.72	1.97
2.25	2.03	1.71
2.75	2.70	1.36
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	4.07	1.18
3.75	5.20	1.12
4	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	4.68	1.12
-0.75	3.20	1.26
-0.25	2.21	1.55
0	1.86	1.85
+0.25	1.57	2.14
+0.75	1.27	3.14

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.00	1.06
-1	4.90	1.11
+1	1.12	4.70
+1.25	1.09	5.25
+1.5	1.07	5.80

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Bergantiños 3-0 Real Oviedo II
18 Oct	Arosa 4-1 Llanera
18 Oct	Marino de Luanco 0-1 Sestao River
18 Oct	Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-5 Deportivo Alavés II
17 Oct	Gernika 1-2 Amorebieta
17 Oct	Compostela 4-1 Atlético Astorga