Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#161.3:1.50-1FT03/10 · Ourense1.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX3.381XB22.60WHMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets38Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.86	3.50	2.42	4.9%
Betano	2.70	3.25	2.42	9.1%
Betfair	2.75	3.25	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.75	3.12	2.30	11.9%
Bet365	2.60	3.20	2.35	12.3%
Best of all books	2.86	3.50	2.42	4.9%
Average	2.73	3.26	2.36	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético AstorgaAmorebieta

Last 10#16Table position#80.60Points per game1.403Form pts · last 571.3Goals for · last 51.01.5Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4440Defence rating6043Form rating570H2H rating060Goals model4050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Atlético Astorga

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Amorebieta	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Sestao River	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Marino de Luanco	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Basconia	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Portugalete	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Palencia CF	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Salamanca UDS	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	La Bañeza	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruña II	2-2	D

Amorebieta

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Ourense CF	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Racing Santander II	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bergantiños	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Arosa	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Athletic Club II	0-1	L
3 May	A	Mutilvera	2-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sestao River	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	Real Unión	3-3	D
11 Apr	H	Gernika	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Atlético Astorga and Amorebieta on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 9 Oct 03:41 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Atlético Astorga sit 16th with 3 points from 5 games, while Amorebieta are 8th with 7 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	5	4	1	0	12:5	+7	13
2	Eibar II	5	4	0	1	10:3	+7	12
3	Deportivo Alavés II	5	4	0	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Sestao River	5	4	0	1	7:3	+4	12
5	Ourense CF	5	3	1	1	5:3	+2	10
6	Gernika	5	2	2	1	12:5	+7	8
7	Basconia	5	2	2	1	9:8	+1	8
8	Amorebieta	5	2	1	2	5:4	+1	7
9	Portugalete	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
10	Real Oviedo II	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	Marino de Luanco	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
12	Coruxo	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
13	Compostela	5	1	1	3	3:6	-3	4
14	Gimnástica Torrelavega	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
15	Llanera	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4
16	Atlético Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3
17	Arosa	5	0	3	2	6:13	-7	3
18	Racing Santander II	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X30%2.95236%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.73 → 2.69 -1.5%X3.26 → 2.97 -8.9%22.36 → 2.49 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.08	1.75	5.2%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.08	1.80	3.6%
Average	2.01	1.72	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Betano	1.78	1.83	10.8%
Best of all books	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Average	1.79	1.87	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Astorga 35%Draw 35%Amorebieta 30%

The statistical model rated Atlético Astorga at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Amorebieta at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 2.95 | 2.48, which imply roughly 37.5% for a Atlético Astorga win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Atlético Astorga are 16th (3 pts, 5-7 goals), Amorebieta 8th (7 pts, 5-4).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Astorga averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Amorebieta averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Astorga or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.73	3.26	2.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.36	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.90	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.06	3.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	8.45	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	5.90
1.5	1.33	2.90
2.5	2.01	1.73
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	6.48	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.19	4.11
1.75	1.39	2.59
2	1.51	2.26
2.25	1.80	1.91
2.75	2.28	1.50
3	2.83	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.18
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.34	1.24
-0.25	2.34	1.49
0	2.00	1.72
+0.25	1.74	1.96
+0.75	1.36	2.70
+1	1.19	3.74

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.75	1.07
-1.25	5.19	1.10
-1	4.90	1.11
+1.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.13	4.60
+1.75	1.10	5.18
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	9.40