Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#141.3:1.50-1FT03/10 · Ourense1.0:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX3.381XB22.60WHMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets38Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.86	3.50	2.42	4.9%
Betano	2.70	3.25	2.42	9.1%
Betfair	2.75	3.25	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.75	3.12	2.30	11.9%
Bet365	2.60	3.20	2.35	12.3%
Best of all books	2.86	3.50	2.42	4.9%
Average	2.73	3.26	2.36	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético AstorgaAmorebieta

Last 10#14Table position#70.86Points per game1.436Form pts · last 561.3Goals for · last 51.01.5Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4440Defence rating6043Form rating570H2H rating060Goals model4050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Atlético Astorga

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Ourense CF	4-0	W
3 Oct	H	Amorebieta	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Sestao River	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Marino de Luanco	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Basconia	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Portugalete	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Palencia CF	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Salamanca UDS	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	La Bañeza	0-2	L

Amorebieta

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Portugalete	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Ourense CF	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Racing Santander II	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bergantiños	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Arosa	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Athletic Club II	0-1	L
3 May	A	Mutilvera	2-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sestao River	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	Real Unión	3-3	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Atlético Astorga and Amorebieta on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 18 Oct 16:50 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Atlético Astorga sit 14th with 6 points from 7 games, while Amorebieta are 7th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	6	4	2	0	14:7	+7	14
2	Eibar II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
3	Deportivo Alavés II	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13
4	Sestao River	6	4	1	1	7:3	+4	13
5	Portugalete	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11
6	Compostela	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
7	Amorebieta	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
8	Real Oviedo II	6	3	1	2	10:11	-1	10
9	Ourense CF	7	3	1	3	5:8	-3	10
10	Gernika	7	2	3	2	14:8	+6	9
11	Basconia	7	2	3	2	11:12	-1	9
12	Coruxo	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
13	Llanera	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
14	Atlético Astorga	7	2	0	5	10:11	-1	6
15	Marino de Luanco	6	2	0	4	8:12	-4	6
16	Gimnástica Torrelavega	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
17	Arosa	6	0	4	2	8:15	-7	4
18	Racing Santander II	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X30%2.95236%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.73 → 2.69 -1.5%X3.26 → 2.97 -8.9%22.36 → 2.49 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.08	1.75	5.2%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.08	1.80	3.6%
Average	2.01	1.72	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.87	9.3%
Betano	1.78	1.83	10.8%
Best of all books	1.79	1.90	8.5%
Average	1.79	1.87	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Astorga 35%Draw 35%Amorebieta 30%

The statistical model rated Atlético Astorga at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Amorebieta at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 2.95 | 2.48, which imply roughly 37.5% for a Atlético Astorga win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Atlético Astorga are 14th (6 pts, 10-11 goals), Amorebieta 7th (10 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Astorga averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Amorebieta averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Astorga or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.73	3.26	2.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.36	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.90	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.06	3.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	8.45	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	5.90
1.5	1.33	2.90
2.5	2.01	1.73
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	6.48	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.19	4.11
1.75	1.39	2.59
2	1.51	2.26
2.25	1.80	1.91
2.75	2.28	1.50
3	2.83	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.18
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.34	1.24
-0.25	2.34	1.49
0	2.00	1.72
+0.25	1.74	1.96
+0.75	1.36	2.70
+1	1.19	3.74

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.75	1.07
-1.25	5.19	1.10
-1	4.90	1.11
+1.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.13	4.60
+1.75	1.10	5.18
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	9.40

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Bergantiños 3-0 Real Oviedo II
18 Oct	Arosa 4-1 Llanera
18 Oct	Marino de Luanco 0-1 Sestao River
18 Oct	Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-5 Deportivo Alavés II
17 Oct	Gernika 1-2 Amorebieta
17 Oct	Compostela 4-1 Atlético Astorga