Coruxo vs Gernika• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#151.3:1.01-1FT27/093.3:0.7#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.25BFR23.97PINMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets41Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.40	4.45	9.0%
1xBet	1.68	3.38	4.66	10.6%
Betfair	1.70	3.30	4.60	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.25	4.33	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.38	4.55	11.8%
Best of all books	1.75	3.40	4.66	8.0%
Average	1.70	3.34	4.52	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoruxoGernika

Last 10#15Table position#80.83Points per game1.502Form pts · last 581.3Goals for · last 53.31.0Goals against · last 50.729Attack rating7140Defence rating6036Form rating640H2H rating00Goals model10035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 14:40 UTC

Coruxo

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Compostela	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Bergantiños	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Gernika	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Portugalete	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Racing Santander II	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Deportivo Alavés II	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	Pontevedra	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Lugo	1-2	L
17 May	A	Atlético Baleares	1-1	D
10 May	H	Atlético Baleares	0-3	L

Gernika

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	Deportivo Alavés II	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Sestao River	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Coruxo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Llanera	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Arosa	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	Bergantiños	2-2	D
3 May	H	Deportivo Alavés II	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Basconia	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Tudelano	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Amorebieta	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Coruxo and Gernika on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 15 Oct 02:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Coruxo sit 15th with 5 points from 6 games, while Gernika are 8th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	6	4	2	0	14:7	+7	14
2	Eibar II	6	4	1	1	11:4	+7	13
3	Deportivo Alavés II	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13
4	Sestao River	6	4	1	1	7:3	+4	13
5	Portugalete	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
6	Real Oviedo II	6	3	1	2	10:11	-1	10
7	Ourense CF	6	3	1	2	5:7	-2	10
8	Gernika	6	2	3	1	13:6	+7	9
9	Basconia	6	2	3	1	10:9	+1	9
10	Amorebieta	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7
11	Compostela	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
12	Llanera	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
13	Atlético Astorga	6	2	0	4	9:7	+2	6
14	Marino de Luanco	6	2	0	4	8:12	-4	6
15	Coruxo	6	1	2	3	6:8	-2	5
16	Gimnástica Torrelavega	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
17	Arosa	6	0	4	2	8:15	-7	4
18	Racing Santander II	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X29%3.02224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.90 +11.8%X3.34 → 3.02 -9.6%24.52 → 3.72 -17.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.07	1.60	10.8%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.13	1.62	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.01	1.70	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.01	1.70	8.6%
Average	1.99	1.68	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coruxo 0%Draw 50%Gernika 50%

The statistical model rated Coruxo at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Gernika at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.02 | 3.72, which imply roughly 33.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Coruxo are 15th (5 pts, 6-8 goals), Gernika 8th (9 pts, 13-6).

Over their last five matches, Coruxo averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gernika averaged 3.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Gernika.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.34	4.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.97	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.02	5.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	7.45	2.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.70
1.5	1.35	2.74
2.5	2.13	1.62
3.5	3.74	1.19
4.5	6.85	1.05
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.20	3.72
1.75	1.44	2.43
2	1.59	2.10
2.25	1.86	1.80
2.75	2.46	1.43
3	3.14	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.68	1.12
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.05	1.28
-1.25	2.71	1.37
-1	2.31	1.51
-0.75	1.92	1.78
-0.5	1.78	1.93
-0.25	1.46	2.38

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.45	1.05
-2	5.60	1.08
-1.75	3.85	1.18
0	1.24	3.34
+0.25	1.18	3.86
+0.75	1.09	5.74
+1	1.02	8.90
+1.5	1.01	9.90