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Cacereño vs Lugo• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#80.6:1.418:00Today · Estadio Principe Felipe2.2:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BFRX3.35DAF23.05DAFMargin at best6.1%Books9Markets62Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.273.353.056.7%
Betfair2.303.302.908.3%
Pinnacle2.293.212.978.5%
Betano2.253.203.009.0%
1xBet2.223.162.9510.6%
Bet3652.203.202.8811.4%
Marathonbet2.203.162.8811.8%
William Hill2.253.002.8812.5%
SBO2.143.022.8415.1%
Best of all books2.303.353.056.1%
Average2.243.182.9310.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CacereñoLugo
Last 10#8Table position#11.50Points per game2.504Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 51.421Attack rating7950Defence rating5025Form rating750H2H rating10083Goals model1741Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 06:01 UTC

Cacereño

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

31 OctAAthletic Club II1-3L
24 OctHZamora1-0W
18 OctAPontevedra0-1L
10 OctHUnionistas de Salamanca1-1D
4 OctAMérida AD0-2L
27 SepAUD Ourense0-0D
20 SepHArenas Getxo3-0W
16 SepARecreativo Huelva1-2L
13 SepHCultural Leonesa1-0W
9 SepHUD San Pedro2-0W

Lugo

8W 1D 1L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

1 NovHMérida AD2-1W
23 OctAReal Unión1-4L
17 OctHDeportivo La Coruña II3-0W
12 OctHUD Logroñés3-1W
2 OctAReal Avilés2-1W
26 SepHRacing Ferrol1-0W
20 SepAZamora2-1W
13 SepHCD Coria1-0W
4 SepAPonferradina0-0D
30 AugAUnionistas de Salamanca3-1W

Head to head

0Cacereño wins
0draws
2Lugo wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Cacereño

29 Mar 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Cacereño1-2Lugo
4 Oct 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1Primera División RFEF - Group 1Lugo1-0Cacereño

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Cacereño sit 8th with 15 points from 10 games, while Lugo are 1st with 25 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lugo1081118:9+925
2UD Logroñés1062220:13+720
3Mirandes1052313:10+317
4Racing Ferrol105239:7+217
5Extremadura 19241051419:10+916
6Athletic Club II1043317:13+415
7Pontevedra1043312:11+115
8Cacereño104339:8+115
9Real Avilés1042418:13+514
10Ponferradina103526:6014
11Real Unión1034319:17+213
12Mérida AD1041516:14+213
13Cultural Leonesa1033410:10012
14Zamora1033411:12-112
15Barakaldo102538:10-211
16Deportivo La Coruña II1032511:17-611
17Unionistas de Salamanca1031612:18-610
18CD Coria1023512:17-59
19UD Ourense102264:15-118
20Arenas Getxo102268:22-148

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.24X29%3.18231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 06:006 Nov 12:401 2.24X 3.182 2.93
12.40 → 2.24 -6.7%X3.17 → 3.18 +0.3%22.74 → 2.93 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Pinnacle2.011.795.6%
Betfair2.051.755.9%
SBO2.001.786.2%
Betano1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.931.759.0%
Marathonbet1.931.759.0%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.981.777.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.731.988.3%
Betano1.751.939.0%
Marathonbet1.731.959.1%
William Hill1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.958.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cacereño 10%Draw 45%Lugo 45%

The statistical model rates Cacereño at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lugo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.18 | 2.93, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Cacereño are 8th (15 pts, 9-8 goals), Lugo 1st (25 pts, 18-9).

Over their last five matches, Cacereño averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lugo averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lugo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.243.182.93

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.541.28

Draw no bet

12
1.642.14

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.95

1st half

1X2
2.852.043.52

2nd half

1X2
2.592.363.25

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5813.931.8
HT X5.394.896.68
HT 226.913.84.87

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8210.12.16

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.22
1.51.293.24
2.51.981.77
3.53.361.27
4.56.581.07
5.513.31.02
6.517.0–
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
11.028.00
1.251.144.40
1.751.352.84
21.462.45
2.251.722.00
2.752.221.57
32.731.37
3.253.091.30
3.754.211.15
45.951.07
4.256.351.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.661.41
-0.52.261.61
-0.251.941.80
01.642.15
+0.251.462.52
+0.51.382.95
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.401.02
-28.301.03
-1.755.921.09
-1.54.451.16
-1.254.001.19
-13.561.24
+0.751.233.62
+11.105.47
+1.251.095.94
+1.51.076.50
+1.751.018.78

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.25
7.51.243.32
8.51.502.37
9.51.851.85
10.52.351.51
11.53.161.27
12.54.541.12
13.56.971.02
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.76
81.312.97
91.642.12
102.101.65
112.851.34
124.171.14
136.541.03

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

6 NovReal Avilés – Extremadura 1924
7 NovRacing Ferrol – UD Logroñés
7 NovBarakaldo – Real Unión
7 NovPontevedra – UD Ourense
7 NovUnionistas de Salamanca – Zamora
8 NovArenas Getxo – Deportivo La Coruña II

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

1 NovExtremadura 1924 3-0 Unionistas de Salamanca
1 NovZamora 1-3 Deportivo La Coruña II
1 NovLugo 2-1 Mérida AD
1 NovCD Coria 0-1 Arenas Getxo
1 NovUD Ourense 1-0 Cultural Leonesa
1 NovBarakaldo 0-0 Pontevedra